1. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Summary of the ELPEN project results, May 2003

2. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Introduction to the ELPEN project

3. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN The Consortium

4. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN A network that: can answer specific questions about the economic, environmental and social impacts of policy related to livestock systems uses state of the art technology: the ELPEN system What is ELPEN?

5. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN The ELPEN system was developed on the basis of the End User Group requirements, which were: Integrating economic, environmental and social impacts (DG Agri & Env) Spatially explicit (DG Agri & Env) regional scale Focus on land dependent systems initial focus on dairy systems (DG Agri) A flexible expert tool, not a desktop tool

6. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN A decision support system containing: EU statistical and geographical data An ELPEN farm typology A reference farm database Expert knowledge (simple rules and models) Meta data explaining data and knowledge Fast procedures to process large amounts of data Procedures to display output maps and tables The ELPEN system is:

7. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN An expert who supports policy makers to answer specific questions by: Adding and combining the stored EU statistical and geographic data Adding relevant expert knowledge and meta data for each new policy question Generating output maps and tables Reporting on the results Maintaining and improving the utility of the system for policy impact assessment: The ELPEN system user is:

8. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Policy Impact Assessment with the ELPEN system Spatially explicit socio-economic and environmental impacts Policy question Statistical and Geographic data Farm typologies, simple models and expert rules Spatially explicit modeling results (maps, tables)

9. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Explanation of The ELPEN System

10. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Explanation of The ELPEN System System data (e.g units) ELPEN Farm typology Statistical data Reference Farms (examples of ELPEN farm types) Schemes (knowledge rules) Cases (results, obtained by applying schemes on data) Geographic data

11. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Browser Table view Mapview Meta data view and technical details ELPEN system: User interface

12. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Statistical Data: A part of the following EU data sets are incorporated in the ELPEN system: Farm Accountancy Data Network (FADN) Commission of the European Communities, DG Agriculture in ELPEN (March 2003): 1990-91, 1997-98, 1999-2000 Farm Structure Survey (FSS/Eurofarm) Eurostat in ELPEN (March 2003): 1990, 1997 Regional data bank (REGIO) Eurostat: in ELPEN (March 2003): 1980 - 2001 Relation tables Stored relations between different data sets

13. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Statistical Data: Relation tables Stored relations between different data sets: e.g: The geographic relations between the different statistical data sets is established by: Harmonised regions (Harm)

14. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Geographic relations: harmonised regions HARMonised regions make it possible to integrate data from different statistical sources by applying them to the same geographic entities

15. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN HARMonised regions make it possible to integrate data from different statistical sources by applying them to the same geographic entities Geographic relations: harmonised regions Harm1 Harm2

16. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Geographic relations: harmonised regions ELPEN regions: 23 Harm1 Region Country 12 & 15 EU Other geographic regions in ELPEN: ELPEN regions: a clustering of Harm regions, a pragmatic solution to enlarge regions in order to prevent disclosure problems when displaying data concerning less than 15 farms in one region

17. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Example data Example of stored data: Subsidies on livestock total in kEuro per Harm1 (1999) Note: Switzerland is not EU member

18. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Example of computed data: Subsidies on livestock per Livestock Unit in kEuro per Harm1 (1999) Note: Switzerland is not EU member

19. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Example data Nr of livestock units of Total Bovine per Harm2 (1990) Note: Finland, Sweden, Eastern Germany and Austria were not EU members in 1990 Switzerland is not EU member

20. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Inhabitants per HARM2 (1999 )

21. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Geographic Data: overview Administrative Regions Designated areas Land cover: Corine & Pelcom Elevation Soil, Climate Environment (Nitrogen Vulnerable Zones, N-leaching) Landscape (not yet available)

22. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN ELPEN Regions: cluster of administrative regions

23. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Designated areas: Less Favoured Areas 1997

24. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Corine Land Cover e.g: pastures ( grid map: 1.1x1.1km) An extract of the meta data on Corine Land Cover (CLC): “CLC was elaborated based on the visual interpretation of satellite images (SPOT, LANDSAT TM and MSS). Ancillary data (aerial photographs, topographic or vegetation maps, statistics, local knowledge) were used to refine interpretation and the assignment of the territory into the categories of the CORINE Land Cover nomenclature. The smallest surfaces mapped (mapping units) correspond to 25 hectares. Linear features less than 100 m in width are not considered. The scale of the output product was fixed at 1:100.000. Thus, the location precision of the CLC database is 100 m.”

25. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Pelcom Land Cover: e.g: grass (grid map: 1.1x1.1km) An extract of the meta data on Pelcom: “The Pelcom land cover database is calculated from Earth Observation images using an algorithm that computes the first and second minimum distances for each AVHRR image pixel based on the spectral signatures, and as a result, it derived the first best class ('highest probability') and the second best class ('second highest probability') for each pixel.”

26. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Elevation

27. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Elevation Elevation: classified below 300m 300-600m above 600m This classification corresponds with the FADN data

28. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN ELPEN Farm Typology: why? to differentiate farms according to: responses to policy impact on the social and bio- physical environment and: to aggregate FADN farm level data into farm types that: can be associated with reference farms in the field

29. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN ELPEN Farm Typology: how? Selection of classifying variables using expert knowledge of systems in the field (e.g. CEAS-study 2000) Cluster analysis on FADN-data to determine usefulness of variables and threshold values

30. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN ELPEN Farm typology: result Sector: Grazing livestock farms (>50% production value from grazing livestock) Intensity (input costs for fertilizers, pesticides and concentrates) Low input (< 150 €/ha)Medium input (150-600 €/ha)High input (>600 €/ha) Land use (% grass in total Utilised Agricultural Area (UAA), LU per ha and grazing outside UAA) Off farm grazing Off farm produced fodder systems Permanent grass systems Grassland systems Arable systems DairyMixedBeef Dairy grazing Mixed Dairy&meatDairyMixedDairyMixedMeat Meat grazing Grazing livestocksectors (% cattle and % milk in production value) Cattle SheepGoat Size (Livestock Units (LU) grazing livestock) Small scale < 20 LUMedium scale 20-100 LULargel scale > 100 LU All farms in EU ELPEN Farm typology

31. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN How many and what ELPEN farm types are located in what regions? Number of farm types per region Click on region

32. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN What ELPEN farm types are in what regions? Number of farm types per region Sector: Grazing livestock Production type: Meat Livestock type: Cattle Land use type: Permanent grass Intensity: Low input Size: Medium scale

33. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN example time-series Example time series: Change in LU on dairy cattle farms 1990 - 1999 (Index 1990=1) decrease Increase < 15 dairy cattle farms or missing data Switzerland is not EU member Note: Finland, Sweden, Eastern Germany and Austria were not EU members in 1990

34. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Example time series: Change in nr of dairy cattle farms 1990 - 1999 (Index 1990=1) Switzerland is not EU member decrease Increase < 15 dairy cattle farms or missing data Note: Finland, Sweden, Eastern Germany and Austria were not EU members in 1990

35. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN For each (group of) farm type(s) in a region, several profiles can be computed that characterise these farm types: Profiles: Environmental Structural Economic Social Regional

36. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Profiles of farms per region e.g: arable medium input system Nr of represented farms per region Click on region

37. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Profiles of farms per region e.g: arable medium input system Nr of represented farms per region Click on region Structural profile Total livestock units present on all farms of this type in the region of Acquitaine, being 1.2 % of the total LU of all farms of this type in the EU

38. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Profiles of farms per region e.g: arable medium input system Nr of represented farms per region Click on region Structural profile Total livestock units present on all farms of this type in the region of Acquitaine, being 1.2 % of the total LU of all farms of this type in the EU Environmental profile Stocking density on grassland, being 6.6% under EU average for this farm type

39. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN A)General questions B)Land related questions C)Grass and Fodder D)Mechanisation E)Dairy cows F)Beef cattle G)Sheep H)Goats J)Other grazing livestock K)Livestock housing / welfare L)Questions about Agricultural Policy Changes Reference farms are: Real example farms of ELPEN farm types The data are gathered using a questionnaire with 93 questions about 10 aspects of the farm and 7 policy questions

40. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN A)General questions B)Land related questions C)Grass and Fodder D)Mechanisation E)Dairy cows F)Beef cattle G)Sheep H)Goats J)Other grazing livestock K)Livestock housing / welfare L)Questions about Agricultural Policy Changes Reference farms are: Real example farms of ELPEN farm types The data are gathered using a questionnaire with 93 questions about 10 aspects of the farm and 7 policy questions K) LIVESTOCK HOUSING / WELFARE 86) type of livestock 87) duration of housing 88) housing type 89) housing 90) grazing management 91) transport 92) visits by 93) main health problem B) LAND RELATED QUESTIONS 18) altitude 600m 19) gradient of land (estimate 20) soil quality (1 excellent - 5 poor) 21) layout of farmland (scattered - consolidated) 22) farm size 23) policy status 24) use of land 25) ownership of farm: land owned/rented/leased 26) types of crops (excluding fodder and grass) 27) fodder production (roughage other than grass) 28) conservation of grass 29) arable land with vegetation cover 30) fertiliser use 31) pesticide use

41. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Data on reference farms can be viewed as follows Data on reference farms per region (HARM1) Nr. of reference farms per region Click on region

42. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Data on reference farms can be viewed as follow Data on reference farms per region (HARM1) Nr. of reference farms per region Click on region Data on Sheep

43. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Data on reference farms can be viewed as follow Data on reference farms per region (HARM1) Nr. of reference farms per region Click on region Data on Sheep Data on land

44. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Schemes Schemes contain the knowledge rules that are used to compute results Scheme-displays can be generated automatically by the system e.g. Rules to allocate livestock types per grid cell:

45. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Schemes Schemes contain the knowledge rules that are used to compute results Scheme-displays can be generated automatically by the system e.g. Rules to allocate livestock types per grid cell: Suppliers Scheme: Allocation of Dairy Cows (automatically generated by the system) FSS data: nr. lu dairy cows / Harm2 (1990) Corine / grid cell Pelcom / grid cell % grazing area / grid cell Result: nr LU Dairy cows / grid cell (1990)

46. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Cases: Cases use the schemes to compute results. Different results can be computed, using the same pre-programmed schemes and selecting different input data At the end of the ELPEN project (March 2003), the following cases were stored in the ELPEN system:

47. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Allocation of Livestock basis: FSS / HARM2 and Land cover on 1km2 Allocation of ELPEN Farm type groups basis: FADN / HARM1, Land cover, LFA, Altitude on 1km2 Economic Impacts of milk price reduction basis: economic model, input: FADN data / farm type group Environmental impacts of milk price reduction Social: who stops and who continues decision path for LFA regions, input: reference farms Cases: overview

48. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Case: Allocation of livestock per grid cell Grazing livestock in LU / ha, 1997 Allocation of livestock per grid cell

49. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Case: allocation of farm type groups Small scale farms: harm1 level less farms < 15 small scale farms (left) more farms and desaggregated to grid no grazing area available (right)

50. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Case: Economic impact of milk price reduction Example: specialised dairy cattle farms 1 ) Computation of full costs of milk: input: 250 FADN variables, e.g: labour land capital feed Full production costs of milk of spec. dairy cattle farms in €/dt per Harm1 < 15 spec. dairy farms (or non EU member Switserland)

51. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Case: Economic impact of milk price reduction Example: specialised dairy cattle farms Full production costs of milk of spec. dairy cattle farms in €/dt per Harm1 < 15 spec. dairy farms Average herd size of specialist dairy cattle farms per Harm1 < 15 spec. dairy farms Small herd size (or non EU member Switzerland) High production costs The results show that there is a correlation between production costs and herd size

52. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Case: Economic impact of milk price reduction 2) Computation of surplus: surplus = milk price - costs In our example: costs on long term: Cash costs + depreciation + full opportunity costs (land, labour, capital, feed, etc) A large surplus is an incentive to expand production, and it provides capital for more investment Economic impact of milk price reduction Surplus: stop continue increase negative small large Milk production

53. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Nitrate vulnerable zones Environmental Impact of milk price reduction This is a political map, which is not very useful for the impact assessment of milk price reduction. Instead, we used the following map…

54. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Nitrate vulnerability expressed as leaching fraction ≈ sensitivity to leaching This map was computed outside the ELPEN system Fragment of the meta data on Nitrate vulnerability To determine the nitrate leaching fraction the Burns model is used (Burns, 1976). This model, defined in 1975, calculates a nitrate leaching fraction (f) on nitrate present in the soil, using soil and climate factors. f = (Ed / (Ed + Vm/100)) x f = nitrate leaching fraction (-) Ed = amount of water drain- ing to the sub soil(cm/yr) Vm = volumetric soil moisture content at field capacity (%) x = depth factor depending on the nitrate repartition considered in the soil (cm) Environmental Impact of milk price reduction

55. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Environmental Impact of milk price reduction Nitrate vulnerability expressed as leaching fraction ≈ sensitivity to leaching Grazing livestock in LU / ha, 1997 Surplus after 20% reduction of milk price Expected increase of milk production Environmental Hotspots

56. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Economic impact of milk price reduction on farm types with environmental consequences Low-input systems will come under pressure Surplus in €cent / l milk

57. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Low-input systems will come under pressure Surplus in €cent / l Economic impact of milk price reduction on farm types with environmental consequences % Low intensity dairy cattle farms of total dairy cattle farms 1997 per ELPEN region

58. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Economic impact of milk price reduction on farm type with environment consequences % Low intensity dairy cattle farms of total dairy cattle farms 1997 per ELPEN region 1,1 0,7 31 11 52 Environmental profile of low-input system EU average for all dairy cattle farms index = 100

59. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Assumption of previous cases: Only dairy farmers with a surplus income from milk production will continue farming, but... Social and cultural aspects may have a big influence on decisions of farmers. An example of rules that simulate social behaviour is the following…

60. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Pluriactivity High No /Low Self Processing PDO Yes No Self marketing Yes No Networks No High No / Low Support Age <55 >55 Yes No Continue farming Might continue farming Stop farming Might stop farming Added value Social factors influencing farmers decisions in LFAs Input: Reference Farm data

61. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN The previous social scheme uses as input stored reference farm data in the ELPEN system. Unfortunately the number of reference farms in the current system is too limited to apply social schemes like these to predict representative social behaviour. We need to interview more farmers in order to gather representative data to be able to assess social impacts.

62. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Conclusions The ELPEN consortium offers: Support for integrated and targeted policy development by: Making available integrated statistical and bio-geographical data for the whole EU in one system Providing regionally differentiated information in maps (using expert knowledge for desegregation) Differentiating farm responses using a flexible typology that can be associated with reference farms in the field Enabling a better understanding of linkages between economic, environmental and social impacts of policy measures Maintaining and improving the utility of the ELPEN system for policy impact assessment

63. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN Accessing ELPEN The ELPEN software is available free of charge at: http://www.objectvision.nl For general information on the ELPEN project visit the ELPEN website: http://macaulay.ac.uk/elpenhttp://macaulay.ac.uk/elpen If you are interested in using our services or the ELPEN system, please contact us…

64. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN If you are interested in using our services or the ELPEN system, please contact us: Organisation CountryContact person Coordinates: Macaulay Institute Scotland Iain Wright Project Coordinator, Reference Farm Collection Macaulay InstituteIain Wright Alterra, Green World ResearchAlterra, Green World Research Netherlands Berien Elbersen Geographic Data, Regional Indicators, Desaggregation ProceduresBerien Elbersen Agricultural Economics Research Institute (LEI)Agricultural Economics Research Institute (LEI) Netherlands Frans Godeschalk FADN data provision, preparation of Eurostat data FSS and RegioFrans Godeschalk Danish Forest and Landscape Research Institute (FSL)Danish Forest and Landscape Research Institute (FSL) Denmark Erling Andersen Elpen Farm Typology, Environmental Indicators Federal Agricultural Research Centre (FAL) Germany Peter Hinrich Farm Cost Model, Economic Farm Behaviour Model, Economic Indic. Agricultural University of Athens (AUA) GreeceLeonidas Louloudis Socio-cultural indicators and farmers' behaviour Object Vision Netherlands Maarten Hilferink DMS and Elpen system softwareErling Andersen Federal Agricultural Research Centre (FAL)Peter Hinrich Agricultural University of Athens (AUA)Leonidas Louloudis Object VisionMaarten Hilferink

65. IntroELPEN SystemData StatisticalData FADN FSS REGIO RelationTables GeographicData AdmRegions DesignatedAreas LandCover Elevation Soil, Climate Environment Farm Typology ReferenceFarms Schemes Cases AllocationFss AllocationElpFarmGroups Economic Social File Edit View Insert Tools Window Help ELPEN