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Types of study designs Arash Najimi

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1 Types of study designs Arash Najimi
PhD. Candidate Department of health education & health promotion Isfahan University of Medical Sciences

2 Types of Studies Descriptive Studies Observational Analytic Studies
Cross Sectional studies Ecologic studies Case Control studies Cohort studies Experimental Studies Randomized controlled trials

3 Hierarchy of Study Types
Analytic Descriptive Case report Case series Survey Observational Cross sectional Ecologic Case-control Cohort studies Experimental Randomized controlled trials Field Trials Community Trials Strength of evidence for causality between a risk factor and outcome

4 Descriptive studies Getting a “lay of the land”
Surveys (NHIS, MCBS) Describing a novel phenomena Case reports or case series

5 Descriptive studies Cannot establish causal relationships
Still play an important role in describing trends and generating hypotheses about novel associations The start of HIV/AIDS research Squamous cell carcinoma in sexual partner of Kaposi sarcoma patient. Lancet Jan 30;1(8266):286. New outbreak of oral tumors, malignancies and infectious diseases strikes young male homosexuals. CDA J Mar;10(3):39-42. AIDS in the "gay" areas of San Francisco. Lancet Apr 23;1(8330):923-4.

6 Analytic Studies Attempt to establish a causal link between a predictor/risk factor and an outcome. You are doing an analytic study if you have any of the following words in your research question: greater than, less than, causes, leads to, compared with, more likely than, associated with, related to, similar to, correlated with

7 Hierarchy of Study Types
Analytic Descriptive Case report Case series Survey Observational Cross sectional Ecologic Case-control Cohort studies Experimental Randomized controlled trials Field Trials Community Trials Strength of evidence for causality between a risk factor and outcome

8 Cross-sectional Study: Pluses
+ Prevalence (not incidence) + Fast/Inexpensive - no waiting! + No loss to follow up + Associations can be studied

9 Cross-sectional study: minuses
- Cannot determine causality Cigarette smoking Depression time

10 Cross-sectional study: minuses
- Cannot determine causality - Cannot study rare outcomes

11 Case control studies Investigator works “backward” (from outcome to predictor) Sample chosen on the basis of outcome (cases), plus comparison group (controls)

12 Study multiple exposures in a Case-control Study
B Exposed to A Not Exposed Disease No Disease

13 Case control studies Determines the strength of the association between each predictor variable and the presence or absence of disease Cannot yield estimates of incidence or prevalence of disease in the population (why?) Odds Ratio is statistics

14 Case-control Study: pluses
+ Rare outcome/Long latent period + Inexpensive and efficient: may be only feasible option + Establishes association (Odds ratio) + Useful for generating hypotheses (multiple risk factors can be explored)

15 Case-control study-minuses
Causality still difficult to establish Selection bias (appropriate controls) Recall bias: sampling (retrospective) Cannot tell about incidence or prevalence

16 Cohort studies A cohort (follow-up, longitudinal) study is a comparative, observational study in which subjects are grouped by their exposure status, i.e., whether or not the subject was exposed to a suspected risk factor The subjects, exposed and unexposed to the risk factor, are followed forward in time to determine if one or more new outcomes (diseases) occur Subjects should not have outcome variable on entry The rates of disease incidence among the exposed and unexposed groups are determined and compared.

17 Study multiple outcomes in a cohort Study
Exposed Not Exposed C B Develop Disease A Do not

18 Elements of a cohort study
Selection of sample from population Measures predictor variables in sample Follow population for period of time Measure outcome variable Famous cohort studies Framingham Nurses’ Health Study Physicians’ Health Study Olmsted County, Minnesota

19 Prospective cohort study structure
The present The future Top USMLE scorers Everyone else time

20 Strengths of cohort studies
Know that predictor variable was present before outcome variable occurred (some evidence of causality) Directly measure incidence of a disease outcome Can study multiple outcomes of a single exposure (RR is measure of association)

21 Weaknesses of cohort studies
Expensive and inefficient for studying rare outcomes Often need long follow-up period or a very large population Loss to follow-up can affect validity of findings

22 Other types of cohort studies
Retrospective cohort Identification of cohort, measurement of predictor variables, follow-up and measurement of outcomes have all occurred in the past Much less costly than prospective cohorts Investigator has minimal control over study design

23 Other types of cohort studies
Nested case-control study Case-control study embedded in a cohort study Controls are drawn randomly from study sample Case cohort Study

24 Hierarchy of Study Types
Analytic Descriptive Case report Case series Survey Observational Cross sectional Ecologic Case-control Cohort studies Experimental Randomized controlled trials Field Trials Community Trials Strength of evidence for causality between a risk factor and outcome

25 Randomized controlled trials
Investigator controls the predictor variable (intervention or treatment) Major advantage over observational studies is ability to demonstrate causality Randomization controls unmeasured confounding Only for mature research questions

26 Basic Trial Design Treatment Dx No Dx Control Dx No Dx Placebo
Population Treatment Dx No Dx Randomization Sample Control Dx No Dx Placebo For example, select persons with high LDL-cholesterol from among patients presenting to the metabolic clinic at the SFVA and treat with lovastatin to see if this results in lower LDL cholesterol. Note can have an uncontrolled trial or time series design. These have no concurrent control group and can produce the wrong answer due to learning, regression to the mean or secular trends. Note, for example, that it is common to have a 30-50% improvement in depression scores, pain scores, hot flash scores. Can have a controlled trial without randomization. This addresses learning, regression to the mean and secular trends, but introduces the issue of baseline differences in the groups. This design is really no different from a double cohort study. Can have a randomized controlled trial without placebo (blinding). This allows (as will be discussed later) for co-intervention and biases outcome ascertainment. Also note that these three elements - treatment, randomization and blinding result in the major ethical concerns regarding randomized trials.

27 Steps in a randomized controlled trial
Select participants Measure baseline variables Randomize Eliminates baseline confounding Types (simple, stratified, block)

28 Steps in a randomized controlled trial
Blinding the intervention As important as randomization Follow subjects Measure outcome Clinically important measures Adverse events

29 Comparing Cohort Studies with Randomized Trials
Interventional Study Observational Study Study group Study group Random Allocation No Allocation Cannot randomize people to receive a putatively harmful substance, such as a suspected carcinogen, the “exposure” in most randomized trials is a treatment or preventive measure Critical to interpreting study findings In a nonrandomized study, when we observe an association of an exposure with a disease, we are left with uncertainty as to whether the association may be a result of the fact that people were NOT randomized to the exposure; Perhaps it is not the exposure, but rather the factors that led people to be exposed, that are associated with the disease. E.g., If an increased risk of a disease is found in workers at a certain factory, and if workers at this factory tend to live in a certain area, the increased risk of disease could result from an exposure associated with their place of residence rather than with their occupation or place of work. Group A Group B Group A Group B

30 Hierarchy of Study Types
Analytic Descriptive Case report Case series Survey Observational Cross sectional Ecologic Case-control Cohort studies Experimental Randomized controlled trials Field Trials Community Trials Strength of evidence for causality between a risk factor and outcome


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