1 A HIGH RESOLUTION SPATIALLY EXPLICIT CONTINENTAL SCALE MULTIMEDIA MODEL OF FATE AND TRANSPORT OF CHEMICALS A.Pistocchi D.Pennington
2 Novel Methods for Integrated Risk Assessment of Cumulative Stressors in Europe FP6 In the context of EC Environment and Health Strategy http://nomiracle.jrc.it
3 NoMiracle Project Commitment of DG-JRC for model development a novel multimedia fate and exposure model with regionalised spatial resolutions at the European level focus on improvements to the soil module by using spatial data from the European Soils Database various resolutions account for different temperate zones and periods.
4 FATE MAPPE FATE is an initiative aimed at providing cross- cutting insights into the FAte of Chemicals in Terrestrial and coastal ecosystems in Europe, developed at the RWER Unit of EC- DG JRC, Institute for Environment and Sustainability The acronym MAPPE stands for Multimedia Assessment of Pollutant Pathways in Europe, and is the Italian word to denote maps A GIS-based strategy for screening level modeling of the fate and transport of chemicals over large regions
5 Coupling of environmental media Soil water budget Erosion Soil contaminant budget Stream network + lakes loading Stream network + lakes Routing: Removal + advection Atmosphere Contaminant Budget Advection Removal Volatilization Oceans sources Gas Abs+Deposition Presentation at SETAC Europe 2005 - Lille
6 FATE MAPPE The model accounts for the partitioning of chemicals between phases, degradation, advection through the different environmental media (soil, inland water bodies, oceans, and the atmosphere) and exchanges between media due to atmospheric deposition, volatilization and the contribution of soil washoff to water discharges.
7 FATE MAPPE The model is built in a geographic information system (GIS) shell to manage data and to perform simplified modeling through map- algebraic and context analysis operators, such as local drainage delineation, weighted distance and zonal aggregation.
8 FATE MAPPE This provides a spatially resolved multimedia model suitable for the detailed simulation of chemical concentrations from point and diffuse sources of emissions for Europe. an efficient tool to compute concentrations from emissions over large domains simplified conceptualization with limitations (e.g. site-specific exposures to local sources).
9 FATE MAPPE Spatial resolution is currently 1 km. The model provides time dependent insights according generally to monthly climatology. Landscape and climate parameters required to perform calculations are included as maps for model application. Among distributed landscape and climate parameters, inland water retention times, atmospheric advection and deposition terms, soil properties and ocean circulation have been defined based on specific analyses.
10 Algorithms Thanks to source receptor relations in space and time, atmospheric modeling is performed through map-overlaying of standard plumes generated within the ADEPT model (Roemer et al., 2005) Soil: 1D approach Water-column processes in oceans: 1D approach Input to oceans from the river network: penetration depth approach (exponential decay following a weighted distance from the coast, no directional modeling of plumes; calculations at the level of ocean compartments individuated on the basis of hydrodynamic patterns
11 Emissions and receptors Emissions data that can be associated with –e.g. agro-chemical use, –population distribution, –emission inventories such as the EEAs EPER. Spatially resolved insights of ecosystem and human exposure at a pan-European scale.
12 Example 1 : 1,2-Dichloroethane Example fact sheet: http://www.epa.gov/OGWDW/dwh/t-voc/12- dichl.html http://www.epa.gov/OGWDW/dwh/t-voc/12- dichl.html Assumptions: Half life in air: 1 month Half life in water: 10 hrs, mainly due to volatilization Degradation is negligible in water Main multimedia mechanisms: volatilization, advection
32 Comparison with MSCE-POP highlights that: Gas phase exchange plays a relevant role and should be better parameterised for soil-air interface Orders of magnitude are correct apart from the soil compartment –this is a common problem seen in many model comparison exercises Patterns in ocean concentration are wrong: –Importance of removal rate patterns over emissions
33 Concentration to (potential) risk is a trivial GIS overlay operation Example: air C + pop. density
34 Forthcoming Applications Generic fate and transport modeling of widely dispersed chemicals such as –Pharmaceuticals and biocides (following pop. Density) –Pesticides (following agriculture) To obtain Indicators of Chemical Density of Europe –large-scale average trends –hot spots
35 Conclusions A screening-level tool that compares reasonably with detailed, distributed model MSCE-POP, and supports more detailed assessment (1km grid, freshwater) Suitable for soft-computational applications (concept of chemical density from given pressure factors) Needs tuning with experimental evidence – suitable for dialoguing btw. lab- and math-people
36 Info Info and this presentation on our web sites: dr Alberto Pistocchi European Commission Joint Research Centre, Institute for Environment and Sustainability (IES) Rural, Water and Ecosystem Resources (RWER) Unit Via E. Fermi 1, TP 460 I-21020 Ispra (VA), Italy Tel.: +39 0332 785591 e-mail firstname.lastname@example.org http://ensure.jrc.it/ http://email@example.com http://ensure.jrc.it/ http://nomiracle.jrc.it