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Futuring the changing world for Industrial Technologies Augusta Maria Paci Maria Stella Chiacchio ITIA-CNR Third International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented.

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Presentation on theme: "Futuring the changing world for Industrial Technologies Augusta Maria Paci Maria Stella Chiacchio ITIA-CNR Third International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented."— Presentation transcript:

1 Futuring the changing world for Industrial Technologies Augusta Maria Paci Maria Stella Chiacchio ITIA-CNR Third International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA): Impacts and implications for policy and decision-making 16th- 17th October 2008

2 Futuring the changing world for Industrial Technologies Rationale 1.FTA in research and innovation is the relevant process for planning collaborative development of future industrial technologies. 2.New approach to technology foresight – coupled with the roadmapping and impact assessment for implementation. 3.The Rolling programme method to bring R&I forward processing multiple inputs from multiple stakeholders to produce a unique common direction for multiple stakeholders serving as a new input for action.

3 Futuring the changing world for Industrial Technologies Rolling Programme: FRIM cycle FR I M VISION Foresight: demand driven process for future technologies with attractiveness and feasibility analysis. Roadmapping: open process for screening and planning of the RTD prioritization of next generation technologies with feasibility and traceability of industrial expected impacts by time horizons. Implementation: the process towards consistency of efforts for stakeholders interventions. Plans of priorities to minimizing threats, maximizing opportunities and reducing risks for new HAV products/services, processes and business models. Monitoring: the assessment and evaluation process towards innovation knowledge capture and CBA.

4 Futuring the changing world for Industrial Technologies Rolling Programme visibility Rolling Programme ensures through Knowledge Management for Innovation effectiveness, efficiency and consistency to futuring-oriented technologies for production systems emerging paradigms. The goal is to track and make the end to end visibility of the advancements towards turning knowledge into innovation. EPPLab, 2008

5 Futuring the changing world for Industrial Technologies The empirical study: Impact assessment The autonomous study Transectoral technologies impact on sectors, carried on by EPPLab in the FP6 SSA Leadership project, deals with: RTD pre-competitive areas analyzing the industrial expected impact at European level; Industrial targets of innovation of 25 manufacturing sectors that are analyzed with regard to the futuring expected impact of 49 RTD areas; the synthetic Impact view that is in the Initial Impact Matrix consistent with the ManuFuture reference model. Leadership Information Base 25 manufacturing sectors and Sectoral roadmaps; 147 industrial targets from the industrial survey of 120 KOLs; 49 RTD macro areas published in the Overall ManuFuture Roadmap; 491 technology fact sheets produced by the Leadership Roadmapping. The Background: Leadership SSA project

6 Futuring the changing world for Industrial Technologies www.leadership-ssa.org Empirical study: Initial Impact Matrix Main results: the cross-referenced demand driven prioritization of RTD areas 100 top topics for Call Topics for the Stakeholders and for the European Commission multi-annual planning in the FP7 Programme 4.3 New Production. 6 ManuFuture SRA Pillars Interested Sectors temporal distribution of sectors innovation

7 Futuring the changing world for Industrial Technologies Application of demand driven Futuring Model Demand driven FRIM cycle

8 Futuring the changing world for Industrial Technologies Empirical study: Operative method flow INFORMATION ANALYSIS of sectoral Roadmaps Focus on: sectors HVA targets; Time horizon; multi-sectoral perspective; multi-technological perspective. EXTRACTION Sectors targets CATCHING RELATIONSHIP Sectors targets content and time horizon Macro areas and sectors, giving: Traceability of transectoral macro areas by the multiple sectors demand; Visibility of time horizon; Prioritization of macro areas. Hierarchy of precompetitive innovation needs: 1. A transectoral technology need 2. A multisectoral need 3. A sector need Initial Impact matrix Twofold view matrix SCOPERESULTS

9 Futuring the changing world for Industrial Technologies Development of FTA in research and innovation RESEARCH (RTD Macro area) INNOVATION (Sector) Focus Technological driverInnovation driver Relation 1 macro area: n sectors1 sector: n macro areas RESULTS Assess Multi-sectoral impact of RTD areas Impact of transectoral technologies at sector level Trace Transectoral featureR&D direction of sector innovation Identify time distribution Time distribution of macroareasTime distribution of sector innovation Prioritize Macro areas (Common and advanced) Transectoral technologies at sector level Show the perspective Multi-sectoralMulti-technological Empirical Study: twofold view

10 Futuring the changing world for Industrial Technologies FTA in research: example of RTD Macro Area view Demand: 25 Sectors Offer: RTD Macro area Direct element: Time horizon Continuous need Indirect element: Traceability Expected impact (grey color) Indirect element: Traceability No expected impact (white color)

11 Futuring the changing world for Industrial Technologies FTA in research and innovation for policy and decision making The empirical study: supports European stakeholders, researchers, Industries and Policy Bodies at multilevel for competitiveness and sustainability to develop new capabilities to generate anticipatory initiatives that require impact assessment analysis to understand the entire transformation process. contributes to the direct involvement of stakeholders on planning and coordinating future actions in terms of R&D programmes, competitive calls and funded projects. responds to the need of Sound Intelligence support already envisaged by CREST Multilevel Policies Report, 2007.

12 Futuring the changing world for Industrial Technologies Conclusions: a new futuring context to build an open environment networking industrial research and innovation communities; to develop new foresight method - from a linear to a complex approach - to respond to the increasingly complex, interdependent and uncertain realms of todays business and policy strategy in the Knowledge economy; to create a value upstream through availability of existing competences and of sound directions; to support FTA for Industrial Research with the rolling programme. A new futuring context for research and innovation requires: This is the new futuring context of research and industry stakeholders to operate more effectively and to proceed faster toward the common goal.

13 Futuring the changing world for Industrial Technologies Acknowledgments The authors are pleased to acknowledge Mr. Andrea Gentili, Coordinator for the European Commission of the ManuFuture Platform, and Mr. Jyrki Suominen, Scientific Officer of European Commission and Project Officer of Leadership project, for their precious collaboration and suggestions. Acknowledgements are also due to ManuFuture European Technology Platform, to ManuFuture National Technological Platforms and to the Leadership Consortium. A particular appreciation is to industrial key opinion leaders of about 120 companies and to roadmappers of research organizations involved in the roadmapping activity of the Leadership project.

14 Futuring the changing world for Industrial Technologies Augusta Maria Paci EPPLab Responsible Maria Stella Chiacchio doctoral student in Economic and Management Engineering at Tor Vergata University in Rome EPPLab of ITIA-CNR (Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche) Via dei Taurini, 19 00185 Rome, Italy +39 06 4993 7870 maria.chiacchio@itia.cnr.it


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