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Demonstration of capabilities of a bi- regional CGE model to assess impacts of rural development policies (RURMOD-E) Demonstration Workshop Brussels, 26.11.2008.

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Presentation on theme: "Demonstration of capabilities of a bi- regional CGE model to assess impacts of rural development policies (RURMOD-E) Demonstration Workshop Brussels, 26.11.2008."— Presentation transcript:

1 Demonstration of capabilities of a bi- regional CGE model to assess impacts of rural development policies (RURMOD-E) Demonstration Workshop Brussels,

2 POLICY- SCENARIOS RESULTS Eudokia Balamou and Demetrios Psaltopoulos Department of Economics University of Patras

3 Scenarios Prod Sub DP RDP public fundinig TotalDistribution to Axes Axis 1Axis 2Axis 3 FULDEC Decoupling 0100%0 MODUL Support exclusively to investment in constructions 087%13% Pillar 2 + nat. coffin. SOFTMOD Support to investment (construction, equipment), training, etc. 087%13% Pillar 2 + nat. coffin. RDM-AGRI Agricultural centered RD measures (axis 1 and Axis 2) 087%13% Pillar 2 + EAFRD(1,2)+ nat. coffin. RDIVERS Diversification of rural economy (311,312) Project RENOV Renovation and Development of Villages (322) Project

4 ARCHANES – HERAKLION Impacts on GDP at Factor Cost (% change from base-year) FULL DEC.MODULSOFT MOD RDM-AGRI (Axes 1, 2) RDIVERSRENOV Rural Primary Secondary Tertiary Urban Primary Secondary Tertiary Total

5 ARCHANES-HERAKLION Impacts on Domestic Production FULL DEC. MODULSOFT MOD RDM- AGRI (Axes 1,2)RDIVERSRENOV Primary Secondary Tertiary Total FULL DEC MODULSOFTMOD RDM- AGRI (Axes 1,2)RDIVERSRENOV Primary Secondary Tertiary Impacts on Producer Prices

6 ARCHANES-HERAKLION Factor Income Effects FULL DEC.MODULSOFTM OD RDM- AGRI (Axes 1,2)RDIVERSRENOV Uns.Lab Sk.Lab Capital RAgrLand RLandH ULandH AGCAP AGRENTS

7 ARCHANES-HERAKLION Employment Effects FULL DEC.MODUL SOFT MOD RDM-AGRI (Axes 1,2)RDIVERSRENOV Unskilled Labor Rural Urban Skilled Labor Rural Urban

8 ARCHANES-HERAKLION Household Income Effects FULL DEC. MODULSOFT MOD RDM- AGRI (Axes 1,2) RDIVERSRENOV R- P/M Comm R-W Comm R-Comm-ROW R-P/M Other R-W Other U-P/M Comm U-W Comm U-Comm.ROW U-P/M Other U-W Other RAGHHS UAGHHS

9 DISTRICT BRUNTAL Impacts on GDP at Factor Cost (% change from base year) FULL DEC. MODUL SOFTMOD RDM- AGRI (Axes 1,2)RDIVERSRENOV Rural Primary Secondary Tertiary Urban Secondary Tertiary Total

10 DISTRICT BRUNTAL Impacts on Domestic Production Impacts on Producer Prices FULL DEC.MODULSOFTMOD RDM- AGRI (Axes 1,2)RDIVERSRENOV Primary Secondary Tertiary Total FULL DEC. MODULSOFTMOD RDM-AGRI (Axes 1,2)RDIVERSRENOV Primary Secondary Tertiary

11 DISTRICT BRUNTAL Factor Income Effects FULL DEC. MODUL SOFT MOD RDM- AGRI (Axes 1,2)RDIVERSRENOV R-Uns. Lab R-Sk. Lab U-Uns. Lab U-Sk. Lab Capital R.Agr. Land R-LandH U-LandH AGCAP AGRENTS

12 DISTRICT BRUNTAL Employment Effects FULL DEC. MODUL SOFT MOD RDM-AGRI (Axes 1,2)RDIVERSRENOV Unskilled Labor Rural Urban Skilled Labor Rural Urban

13 DITRICT BRUNTAL Household Income Effects FULL DEC. MODU L SOFT MOD RDM-AGRI (Axes 1,2)RDIVERSRENOV R-Commuter R-Other U-Commuter U-Other RAGHHS Introduction of Direct payments LFA and Early Retirment payments

14 Comparison of Results Greece Rural Czech Rural Greece Urban Czech Urban Greece Total Czech Total FULL DEC MODUL SOFTMOD RDM-AGRI (Axes 1,2) RDIVERS RENOV Impacts on GDP at Factor Cost

15 Comparison of Results Impacts on Domestic Output FULL DEC. MODUL SOFT MOD RDM- AGRI (Axes 1,2)RDIVERSRENOV Greece Total Czech Total

16 Comparison of Results Employment Effects FULL DEC. MODUL SOFT MOD RDM-AGRI (Axes 1,2)RDIVERSRENOV Unskilled Labor GR-Rural CZ-Rural GR-Urban GR-Urban Skilled Labor GR-Rural CZ-Rural GR-Urban CZ-Urban

17 THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!!!


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