1. test data set 1 50,000 iterations run starting points chosen from eyeballing and fiddling with data and guessing at a good fit. relatively poor mixing (parameter draws made independently despite known correlations) burn-in: 10,000

8. 95% credible intervals: Vbak:19.993940.6203 K:34.900943.7138 P:3.41353.4168 chi:0.34580.4481 e:0.22620.5009 omega:1.04091.6849

9. test data set 2 10,000 iterations run (this morning!--not enough time for more.) starting points chosen from eyeballing and fiddling with data and guessing at a good fit. relatively poor mixing (parameter draws made independently despite known correlations) no convergence at all, so no distributions drawn or intervals constructed