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University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri - E-AGRI.

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Presentation on theme: "University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri - E-AGRI."— Presentation transcript:

1 University of Milan: Major interests and expertise (core business) Roberto Confalonieri - E-AGRI kick-off meeting, March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

2 University of Milan Persons involved in the project E-AGRI kick-off meeting, March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium) Roberto Confalonieri Simone Bregaglio Giovanni Cappelli Modeller Modeller Programmer Programmer Modeller Modeller Programmer Programmer Modeller Modeller Programmer Programmer Marco Acutis Modeller Modeller Marta Carpani GIS GIS Caterina Francone Physicist Physicist

3 University of Milan Major interests and expertise 1. Formalization of knowledge in process based biophysical models development of new models and sub-models improvement of existing approaches 2. Implementation of (novel and existing) modelling approaches in framework-independent, extensible, re-usable software components 3. Development of advanced techniques for model evaluation development of new evaluation metrics development of multi-metric evaluation systems use of advanced sensitivity analysis techniques for analyzing model structure and behaviour 4. Development of applications for crop monitoring and yield forecasting, food security, and climate change studies E-AGRI kick-off meeting, March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

4 1. Formalization of knowledge in process-based biophysical models (1) Coordination of the development of the WARM model for rice simulations Projects (most relevant) BECRA: food security in Mali and Burkina Faso (funded by the EC) SEAMLESS: support to the CAP (funded by the EC, FP6) AEZ model: climate change impact in Latin America (funded by the World Bank) Recent ISI publications Confalonieri, R., Rosenmund, A.S., Baruth, B., An improved model to simulate rice yield. Agronomy for Sustainable Development, 29, Confalonieri, R., Acutis, M., Bellocchi, G., Donatelli, M., Multi-metric evaluation of the models WARM, CropSyst, and WOFOST for rice. Ecological Modelling, 220, Confalonieri, R., Bellocchi, G., Tarantola, S., Acutis, M., Donatelli, M., Genovese, G., Sensitivity analysis of the rice model WARM in Europe: exploring the effects of different locations, climates and methods of analysis on model sensitivity to crop parameters. Environmental Modelling & Software, 25, Confalonieri, R., Bellocchi, G., Bregaglio, S., Donatelli, M., Acutis, M., Comparison of sensitivity analysis techniques: a case study with the rice model WARM. Ecological Modelling, 221, E-AGRI kick-off meeting, March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

5 1. Formalization of knowledge in process-based biophysical models (1) E-AGRI kick-off meeting, March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

6 1. Formalization of knowledge in process-based biophysical models (2) Development of generic sub-models for specific processes Projects (most relevant) Recent ISI publications Confalonieri, R., Bregaglio, S., Rosenmund, A.S., Acutis, M., Savin, I., A model for simulating the height of rice plants. European Journal of Agronomy, 34, Confalonieri, R., Debellini, C., Pirondini, M., Possenti, P., Bergamini, L., Barlassina, G., Bartoli, A., Agostoni, E.G., Appiani, M., Babazadeh, L., Bedin, E., Bignotti, A., Bouca, M., Bulgari, R., Cantore, A., Degradi, D., Facchinetti, D., Fiacchino, D., Frialdi, M., Galuppini, L., Gorrini, C., Gritti, A., Gritti, P., Lonati, S., Martinazzi, D., Messa, C., Minardi, A., Nascimbene, L., Oldani, D., Pasqualini, E., Perazzolo, F., Pirovano, L., Pozzi, L., Rocchetti, G., Rossi, S., Rota, L., Rubaga, N., Russo, G., Sala, J., Seregni, S., Sessa, F., Silvestri, S., Simoncelli, P., Soresi, D., Stemberger, C., Tagliabue, P., Tettamanti, K., Vinci, M., Vittadini, G., Zanimacchia, M., Zenato, O., Zetta, A., Bregaglio, S., Chiodini, M.E., Perego, A., Acutis, M., A new approach for determining rice critical nitrogen concentration. Journal of Agricultural Science, doi: /S E-AGRI kick-off meeting, March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

7 2. Implementation of modelling approaches in software components Development of generic sub-models for specific processes in framework- independent, extensible, re-usable software components Projects (most relevant) CropML-WOFOST: implementation of the WOFOST model in the CropML library (funded by EC-JRC) APES-BioMA: implementation of the APES model in BioMA (funded by EC-JRC) Product quality: development of a component implementing a variety of approaches for the simulation of the quality of crop products (funded by EC-JRC) Recent ISI publications Confalonieri, R., Bellocchi,G., Donatelli, M., A software component to compute agro-meteorological indicators. Environmental Modelling & Software, 25, Donatelli, M., Bellocchi, G., Habyarimana, E., Confalonieri, R., Micale, F., An extensible model library for generating wind speed data. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture, 69, E-AGRI kick-off meeting, March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

8 2. Implementation of modelling approaches in software components E-AGRI kick-off meeting, March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

9 3. Development of advanced techniques for model evaluation (1) Development of new evaluation metrics Projects (most relevant) Recent ISI publications Confalonieri, R., Monte Carlo based sensitivity analysis of two crop simulators and considerations on model balance. European Journal of Agronomy, 33, Confalonieri, R., Bregaglio, S., Acutis, M., A proposal of an indicator for quantifying model robustness based on the relationship between variability of errors and of explored conditions. Ecological Modelling, 221, E-AGRI kick-off meeting, March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

10 3. Development of advanced techniques for model evaluation (2) Development of multi-metric evaluation systems Projects (most relevant) Recent ISI publications Confalonieri, R., Acutis, M., Bellocchi, G., Donatelli, M., Multi-metric evaluation of the models WARM, CropSyst, and WOFOST for rice. Ecological Modelling, 220, Bregaglio, S., Donatelli, M., Confalonieri, R., Acutis, M., Orlandini, S., An integrated evaluation of thirteen modelling solutions for the generation of hourly values of air relative humidity. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 102, Confalonieri, R., Bregaglio, S., Bocchi, S., Acutis, M., An integrated procedure to evaluate hydrological models. Hydrological Processes, 24, E-AGRI kick-off meeting, March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

11 3. Development of advanced techniques for model evaluation (2) E-AGRI kick-off meeting, March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

12 3. Development of advanced techniques for model evaluation (3) Use of advanced sensitivity analysis techniques for analyzing model structure and behaviour Projects (most relevant) STAMINA: development of a model for simulating wheat in hilly areas (funded by the EC, FP5) Recent ISI publications Confalonieri, R., Monte Carlo based sensitivity analysis of two crop simulators and considerations on model balance. European Journal of Agronomy, 33, Richter, G.M., Acutis, M., Trevisiol, P., Latiri, K., Confalonieri, R., Sensitivity analysis for a complex crop model applied to Durum wheat in the Mediterranean. European Journal of Agronomy, 32, Confalonieri, R., Bellocchi, G., Tarantola, S., Acutis, M., Donatelli, M., Genovese, G., Sensitivity analysis of the rice model WARM in Europe: exploring the effects of different locations, climates and methods of analysis on model sensitivity to crop parameters. Environmental Modelling & Software, 25, Confalonieri, R., Bellocchi, G., Bregaglio, S., Donatelli, M., Acutis, M., Comparison of sensitivity analysis techniques: a case study with the rice model WARM. Ecological Modelling, 221, E-AGRI kick-off meeting, March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

13 3. Development of advanced techniques for model evaluation (3) E-AGRI kick-off meeting, March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

14 4. Applications for forecasts, food security and climate change studies Development of applications for crop monitoring and yield forecasting, food security and climate change studies Projects (most relevant) BECRA: food security in Mali and Burkina Faso (funded by the EC) AEZ model: climate change impact in Latin America (funded by the World Bank) MARS: rice yield forecasts in Europe Recent ISI publications E-AGRI kick-off meeting, March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

15 4. Applications for forecasts, food security and climate change studies E-AGRI kick-off meeting, March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

16 4. Applications for forecasts, food security and climate change studies E-AGRI kick-off meeting, March 2011, VITO (Mol, Belgium)

17 …Thank you for your kind attention


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