1. CHAPTER 5 Measuring the Economy’s Output 1 Slides prepared by Bruno Fullone, George Brown College © 2010 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Limited PART 2: GDP, GROWTH AND FLUCTUATIONS

2. Learning Objective 5.1: How gross domestic product (GDP) is defined and measured Learning Objective 5.2 : Other measures of a nation’s production of goods and services Learning Objective 5.3 : The distinction between nominal GDP and real GDP Learning Objective 5.4 : The shortcomings of GDP as a measure of domestic output and well-being 2 In This Chapter You Will Learn:

3. 3LO5.1 Gross Domestic Product is: The main measure of the economy’s performance The total market value of all final goods and services produced annually within the boundaries of Canada A Monetary Measure 5.1 Measuring the Economy’s Performance: GDP

4. 4LO5.1 To avoid multiple counting, only final goods and services are counted Final goods: Goods and services purchased for final use and not for resale or further processing or manufacturing Intermediate goods are not counted Intermediate goods: Products purchased for resale or further processing or manufacturing Avoiding Multiple Counting

5. 5LO5.1 (1) Stage of production (2) Sales value of materials or product (3) Value added 0 Firm A, sheep ranch$ 120$120 (= $120 – $ 0) Firm B, wool processor 18060 (= 180 – 120) Firm C, suit manufacturer 22040 (= 220 – 180) Firm D, clothing wholesaler 27050 (= 270 – 220) Firm E, retail clothier 35080 (= 350 – 270) Total sales value$1140 Value added (total income)$350 Value Added in a Five Stage Production Process Table 5-2

6. 6LO5.1 Two types of nonproduction transactions: 1. Financial transactions - Public Transfer Payments - Private Transfer Payments - Stock-Market Transactions 2. Second-hand sales GDP Excludes Nonproduction Transactions

7. Table 5-3 Calculating GDP in 2008: The Expenditures Approach (billions of dollars)

8. .8 Stock of capital January 1 Net investment Stock ofcapital December 31 Depreciation Gross Investment Figure 5-1 Gross Investment, Depreciation, Net Investment, and the Stock of Capital

9. 9LO5.1 The Expenditures Approach: adds up all the expenditures made for final goods and services. The Expenditures Approach adds up: –personal consumption expenditures (C) –gross investment (I g ) –government purchases (G) –Net exports (X n ) = exports (X) – imports (M) Two Ways of Calculating GDP: Expenditures and Income Approach

10. Table 5-4 Calculating GDP in 2008: The Income Approach (billions of dollars)

11. 11 Table 5-3 Calculating GDP in 2008: The Expenditure Approach GDP = C + I G + G + X N Table 5-3GDP ($billions) C891 IGIG 309 G375 XNXN 25 GDP$1600

12. 5-1 Global Perspective

13. 13LO5.1 The Income Approach: adds up expenditures that are allocated as income to those producing the output The Income Approach adds up: –Wages, salaries, and supplementary labour income –Profits of corporations and government enterprises before taxes –Interest and investment income –Net income of farm and unincorporated businesses –Taxes less subsidies on factors of production –Indirect taxes less subsidies on products –Capital consumption allowances The Income Approach

14. ©2006 McGraw-Hill Ryerson Ltd. Chapter 4.114 Table 5-4 Calculating GDP in 2008: The Income Approach Table 5-4GDP ($billions) Wages, salaries, etc.$823 Profits of corporations, etc.2231 Interest & investment income81 Net income of farms & unincorp. businesses93 Taxes less subsidies on factors of prod.70.0 Indirect taxes less subsidies on products93 Capital consumption allowances208 Statistical discrepancy1 GDP at market prices1600

15. 15LO5.2 Gross National Product (GNP) –The total income that residents of a country earn within the year Net Domestic Product (NDP) –Measures the total annual output that the entire economy can consume without impairing its capacity to produce in ensuing years Net National Income at Basic Prices (NNI) –Includes all income earned through the use of Canadian- owned factors, whether they are located at home or abroad 5.2 Other National Accounts

16. 16LO5.2 Personal Income (PI) –Earned and unearned income available to resource suppliers and others before the payment of personal income taxes Disposable Income (DI) –Personal income less personal taxes and other personal transfers to government 5.2 Other National Accounts

17. Global Perspective 5-1: C omparative GDP Source: World Bank Selected Nations GDPs, 2007 United States Japan Germany China United Kingdom France Italy Canada Spain Brazil Russia India South Korea Mexico Australia 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 GDP in Trillions of Dollars

18. 18LO5.3 Nominal GDP –GDP measured in terms of the price level at the time of measurement (unadjusted for inflation) Real GDP –Nominal GDP adjusted for inflation. 5.3 Nominal GDP versus Real GDP

19. 19LO5.3 Year(1) Units of output (Q) (2) Price of pizza per unit (P) (3) Price index (year 1 = 100) (4) Unadjusted, or nominal, GDP (Q) x (P) (5) Adjusted, or real, GDP 15$10100$50 272020014070 382525020080 41030??? 51128??? Table 5-5 Calculating Real GDP

20. 20LO5.3 a measure of the price of a specified collection of goods and services, called a “market basket,” in a specific year as compared to the price of an identical (or highly similar) collection of goods and services in a reference year Price Index

21. 21LO5.3 How do we calculate a price index? For example, if in year 2, price of basket is $20, and price of same basket in base year is $10, then:

22. 22LO5.3 For example, if in year 2, nominal GDP is $140 and price index is 200, then: How do we calculate Real GDP?

23. 23LO5.3 Year(1) Units of output (Q) (2) Price of pizza per unit (P) (3) Price index (year 1 = 100) (4) Unadjusted, or nominal, GDP (Q) x (P) (5) Adjusted, or real, GDP 15$10100$50 272020014070 382525020080 41030300 100 51128280308110 Revisiting Table 5-5 Calculating Real GDP

24. 24LO5.3  An implicit price index  For example, if in year 2, nominal GDP = 140, real GDP = 70, then, GDP Deflator

25. 25LO5.3 Method 1: 1.Find nominal GDP for each year. 2.Compute a price index. 3.Divide each year’s nominal GDP by that year’s price index, then multiply by 100 to determine real GDP. Table 5-6 Steps for Deriving Real GDP from Nominal GDP

26. Method 2: 1. Break down nominal GDP into physical quantities of output and prices for each year. 2. Find real GDP for each year by determining the dollar amount that each year’s physical output would have sold for if base-year prices had prevailed. 26LO 5.3 Table 5-6 Steps for Deriving Real GDP from Nominal GDP

27. 27LO5.3 Links each year to the previous year through the use of both the prior-year prices and current- year prices. For example, the calculation of the chain- weighted index would use both 2008 and 2009 prices to calculate real GDP growth in 2009. Since the 2008 chain-weighted index was arrived at using both 2007 and 2008 prices, the year 2009 is linked back—as the links of a chain are— to 2008, 2007, and previous years as well. Chain-Weighted Index

28. 28LO5.4 Measurement Shortcomings: Non-Market Transactions  not included: services of self-supplied household services etc (hiring a nanny vs. doing it yourself) The Underground Economy  not included: illegal drugs, prostitution etc. Leisure  amount of leisure not included: two countries might have same GDP, but one achieves with population working half time, therefore has more leisure time Improved Quality: quality of g & s not included 5.4 Shortcomings of GDP

29. 29LO5.4 Shortcomings of the Well-Being Measure GDP and the environment: environment not considered (two countries with same GDP, but one produces with clean technology) Composition and Distribution of Output: GDP doesn’t tell us if composition of output is welfare enhancing (g & s) or not (output for war); also doesn’t tell us if the wealth in a country is concentrated or equally distributed. Non-material sources of well-being: material output doesn’t necessarily measure “total happiness” 5.4 Shortcomings of GDP

30. The Last Word: Value Added and GDP The value added approach sums up the value of total output less the value of intermediate goods and services. The expenditure approach sums up the expenditure on final goods and services. The income approach tallies earnings of all factors of productions.

31. 31LO5.1 The value added approach sums up the value of total output less the value of intermediate goods and services The expenditure approach sums up the expenditure on final goods and services The income approach tallies earnings of all factors of productions The Last Word: Value Added and GDP

32. 32 5.1 Measuring the Economy’s Performance: GDP 5.2 Other National Accounts 5.3 Nominal GDP versus Real GDP 5.4 Shortcomings of GDP Chapter 5 Summary