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China, global imbalances and global restructurings Andrew M. Fischer Institute of Social Studies.

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Presentation on theme: "China, global imbalances and global restructurings Andrew M. Fischer Institute of Social Studies."— Presentation transcript:

1 China, global imbalances and global restructurings Andrew M. Fischer Institute of Social Studies

2 Krugman (2009). The Chinese Disconnect. NYT, 22 October. Chinas bad behavior is posing a growing threat to the rest of the world economy. The only question now is what the world and, in particular, the United States will do about it… Many economists, myself included, believe that Chinas asset-buying spree helped inflate the housing bubble, setting the stage for the global financial crisis. But Chinas insistence on keeping the yuan/dollar rate fixed, even when the dollar declines, may be doing even more harm now… with the world economy still in a precarious state, beggar-thy-neighbor policies by major players cant be tolerated. Something must be done about Chinas currency.

3 US deficit (reversed) and China surpluses

4 China BoP current value in USD (reserves -)

5 China BoP relative to GDP (current), 1982-2008

6 China Trade Balances with World Regions, 1997-2007

7 China Regional Trade Volumes 1997-2007

8

9 China financial account, composition 1990-2008

10 China financial account, composition / GDP, 1990-2008

11 China selected external accounts, 1990-2008


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