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Regional Programme for Economic Statistics: Capacity Screening Results Zeynep Orhun Girard Regional Seminar on Developing a Programme for the Implementation.

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Presentation on theme: "Regional Programme for Economic Statistics: Capacity Screening Results Zeynep Orhun Girard Regional Seminar on Developing a Programme for the Implementation."— Presentation transcript:

1 Regional Programme for Economic Statistics: Capacity Screening Results Zeynep Orhun Girard Regional Seminar on Developing a Programme for the Implementation of the 2008 SNA and Supporting Statistics in the ECO member countries Ankara, Turkey September 2013

2 We all know that economic policy decisions are made with incomplete and unreliable information in many countries in Asia and the Pacific.

3 About Capacity Screening Developed by the Steering Group as a rapid assessment tool based on RPES and Core Set Provides a baseline for the implementation of the Core Set of Economic Statistics 48 out of 58 ESCAP member countries responded (March-May 2013) Analysis is done at the regional and sub- regional levels. Results are presented in national summary sheets for each respondent 2 advocacy reports (for development partners and countries) are in preparation

4 Structure of Capacity Screening RPES Technical Cooperation (existing capacity building agreements and interest) Institutional setting (legislation, planning, national statistical coordination and dissemination and advocacy for economic statistics) Information technology and Human Resources Statistical infrastructure (quality assurance, metadata, BR, data collection instruments Availability of Core Set of Economic Statistics (based on the seven components)

5 15 countries dont have a centralised BR 21 countries dont have a Quality Assessment Framework available and used to monitor quality of economic statistics outputs 15 countries feel they have adequate HR to produce and disseminate the Core Set of Economic Statistics 23 countries carry out an economic census 20 countries produce quarterly GDP (e) 10 countries produce monthly commodity price index 13 countries produce annual productivity measures 23 countries produce annual integrated national accounts 7 countries are able to produce indicators related to natural resources Regional facts from the Capacity Screening

6 What about ECO respondents? Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Pakistan, Tajikistan and Turkey responded 4 respondents considered upper middle income countries and one as low income country by the WB Pakistan and Turkey are on Steering Group for RPES and 2 out of remaining 3 countries are interested in participating in RPES, as a provider or receiver of technical assistance

7 Statistical law and strategy Legislation –Principles of confidentiality, transparency and independence from political pressures are covered in the statistical laws of all countries –3 countries have plans for revising their statistical law 4 countries have statistical strategic plan; one is in the process of designing

8 National statistical coordination All but one country stated that the distribution of responsibilities among agencies was clear and that there are plans of improving coordination

9 Dissemination and advocacy All countries responded: Dissemination procedures in place and regular assistance to users available Ongoing activities to improve awareness and use economic statistics from official sources Ongoing activities to build analytical/research capacities, develop data analysis methodologies targeting users Sufficient awareness among users of relevance of statistics for economic policy Seminars regularly organized by producers of economic statistics

10 IT and human resources All but one country reported that IT and human resources were adequate for producing the Core Set of Economic Statistics Staff manuals and guidelines are available for internal use in all countries Internal processes documented for referencing and use by new staff in all countries

11 Statistical infrastructure All countries provide metadata in statistical releases All but 2 countries have a centralized metadata repository and implement a metadata format standard Only 2 countries implement a metadata quality standard In 3 countries the use of BR is shared by a number of agencies NOE and informal economy not in key data collections in 2 countries All participate in ICP





16 Standards/Classifications All countries implement 1993 SNA and have plans to update to 2008 SNA Tajikistan ISIC Rev.2, Turkey ISIC Rev.3, and Pakistan ISIC Rev.4 Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan NACE Rev. 2, aligned with ISIC Rev.4 Tajikistan and Turkey plan to update to CPC Ver.2 from a CIS classification and CPC Ver.1.0 Kazakhstan has a national classification based on CPA 2008 Pakistan uses CPC Ver.2 All countries use COICOP and COFOG

17 Table 11: Prices and CostsDesiredMBAUX Consumer price index (CPI)Quarterly60000 Producer price index (PPI)Quarterly60000 Commodity price indexMonthly10023 External merchandise trade price indicesMonthly21012 Wages / Earnings dataQuarterly60000 Labour costs index / Wage indexQuarterly20013

18 Table 12: Demand and OutputDesiredMBAOUX GDP (Production)Quarterly GDP (Expenditure)Quarterly External Trade – Merchandise Monthly External Trade – Services Quarterly Short-term Indicators – Industry Output Quarterly Short-term Indicators – Services Output Quarterly Short-term Indicators – Consumer DemandQuarterly Short-term Indicators – Fixed Investment Quarterly Short-term Indicators – Inventories Quarterly Economy structure statisticsEvery 5 years ProductivityAnnually300003

19 Table 13: Income and WealthDesiredMBAOUX Integrated National AccountsAnnually Institutional Sector AccountsAnnually Balance of Payments (BOP)Quarterly International Investment Position (IIP)Annually External debtQuarterly Income distribution Every 5 years400002

20 Table 14: Money, Labour and GovernmentDesiredMBAUX Assets/liabilities of depository corporationsMonthly30003 Broad money and credit aggregatesMonthly31002 Interest rate statisticsMonthly51000 General government operationsQuarterly51000 General government debtQuarterly51000 Labour supply and demandAnnually40101 Hours workedQuarterly50001 Natural resourcesAnnually00132

21 To conclude Half of ECO member countries have not responded so the picture remains partial Every country has weaknesses and strengths There are subjective questions, e.g. adequacy of IT and HR The Core Set information gives us a broad picture of where things are at In planning activities other assessments such as the GA will be used to supplement the information with further detail

22 Thank you!

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