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Gross Fixed Capital Formation

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Presentation on theme: "Gross Fixed Capital Formation"— Presentation transcript:

1 Gross Fixed Capital Formation
Concepts Total value of acquisitions, less disposals, of fixed assets during the accounting period, plus certain additions to the value of non-produced assets owing to the productive activity of institutional units. Fixed assets are tangible or intangible assets which are produced as outputs from production processes and which are themselves used repeatedly or continuously in other production processes for more than one year.

2 Tangible Fixed Assets Acquisitions, less disposals, of new and existing tangible fixed assets, sub-divided by type of asset into: Dwellings; Other buildings and structures; Machinery and equipment; Cultivated assets – trees and livestock - that are used repeatedly or continuously to obtain products such as fruit, rubber, milk, etc.

3 Intangible Fixed Assets
Aquisitions, less disposals of new or existing intangible fixed assets, sub-divided by type of asset into: Mineral exploration; Software; Entertainment, literary or artistic originals; Other intangible fixed assets.

4 Others Major improvements to non-produced tangible assets, including land. Costs of transfers of ownership of produced and non-produced assets.

5 Gross Fixed Capital Formation Business and Government
Three main categories: Residential Construction Non-Residential Construction Machinery and Equipment

6 Business Residential Construction
Millions of dollars 2003 2004 2005 2006 New Construction 36724 42136 43927 47652 Alterations and Improvements 24209 27100 30270 33631 Transfer Costs 11781 13682 15594 17103 Total 72714 82918 89791 98386

7 New Residential Construction
Singles, doubles, rows and apartments – (Work-put-in-place) housing starts – Central Mortgage and Housing Corporation ( CMHC ) average value of building permits – Building Permits Survey work put in place coefficients

8 Other New Construction
Cottages, mobile homes and conversions Building Permits Survey Supplementary costs Goods and services Tax Provincial Sales Tax Land developer fees Other supplementary costs Data published on a monthly basis by Investment and Capital Stock Division ( ICSD)

9 Alterations and Improvements
Included are all works that improve the quality of the dwelling and extend its service life e.g. - replacement of carpets - replacement of roof - installation of fixed electrical home appliances Repair work is recorded in personal consumer expenditures under services.

10 Alterations and Improvements (Annual Estimates)
National and provincial annual estimates Renovation expenditures undertaken by: Owner – occupants Landlords Cottage owners Renters Survey of Household Spending –SHS Homeowners Repairs and Renovations Survey - HRRS

11 FAMEX /SHS – Family Expenditure Survey or Survey of Household Spending
HRRS – Homeowners Repair and Renovations Survey (discontinued in 2002) IEAD – SNA estimate

12 Alterations and Improvements (Quarterly Sources)
Building permits for renovations (source: ICSD ) Sales of building materials such as building supplies, metal products, lumber and millwork. ( source: Wholesale Trade Survey ) And information for home furniture stores, home centres and hardware stores and other building material and garden equipment dealers. (source: Retail Trade Survey )

13 Ownership Transfer Costs
Annual sources of data: Real Estate Agents and Brokers Survey Multiple Listing Service – MLS Survey of Household Spending – SHS Quarterly source the number of units sold and the average sale price.

14 Deflation New residential construction
New House Price Index – NHPI excluding land (Prices Division) Single family dwellings Semi-detached dwellings Row houses Apartment Building Construction Price Index Apartments

15 Deflation Alterations and Improvements:
Renovations Price Index (estimated in IEAD) Cost of Labour ( 60% ) ( Survey of Employment, Payrolls and Hours) Cost of Materials ( 40% ) ( Materials by type such as lumber, pipes, etc. ) Transfer Costs Indexed average selling price of existing homes sold from Multiple Listing Services (MLS)

16 Non-Residential Construction
New non-residential construction (work put in place) Additions and major renovations Conversions and alterations that extend the life of an existing asset Transfer costs Capitalized costs (architectural, legal and engineering fees and interest)

17 Total Non-residential Construction
Millions of Dollars 2003 2004 2005 2006 Buildings 27237 29867 32388 35914 Engineering 47029 53477 65175 78056 Highways 7303 7693 9283 10650 Railways 905 970 1172 1338 Other engineering 38821 44814 54720 66068 Total 74266 83344 97563 113970

18 Business & Public Administrations
Two categories Building construction e.g. hotels, office buildings, railway stations, schools and shopping centres Engineering construction e.g. bridges, roads, highways, waterworks, sewage systems, airports, transmission lines, oil well drilling, mine development, railway tracks, etc.

19 Sources of Data Annual sources of data Input/Output tables
Capital Expenditure Survey (CES), Actual, Preliminary and Intentions Estimates Quarterly projectors and related indicators Quarterly sources of data There is no quarterly survey. Related indicators are used to measure non-residential construction for the current year.

20 Global Approach Total Construction Activity is obtained by combining data on: Material costs (shipments - exports + imports + ∆ inventories) + Labour costs (employment, hours and average earnings) + Overhead costs and profits = Total value of construction activity - Estimates of residential construction (New Construction, A&I) + Value added in oil and gas drilling = Value of spending on non-residential construction

21 Non Residential Construction
Resulting estimates are compared with annual estimates from the Capital Expenditure Survey and the survey by asset type Quarterly estimates are benchmarked during the annual revision cycle Annual estimates reflect the most recent data from Input-Output tables

22 Detailed approaches I. Buildings:
Institutional, industrial and commercial non-residential construction (ICSD) based on monthly building permit values and monthly work put in place (WPIP) coefficients The monthly Building Permits Survey of Canadian municipalities collects data on the value of construction intentions for buildings in the non-residential sector and the number of dwellings authorized and value of construction projects in the residential sector. The WPIP coefficients measure, by quarter of start, by province and by type of building, the volume of work normally executed in each construction period.

23 Detailed Approaches II. Engineering: Highways:
Material costs based on asphalt sales in cubic metres * Industry Product Price Index (IPPI) for asphalt Labour costs (SEPH) Railways: Material costs (e.g. ties, sand, stone, steel, etc.)

24 Detailed Approaches Other engineering Material costs
iron and steel pipes, other metal building products, wires and cables, concrete products, prefabricated metal structures, glass products, etc. Labour costs based on estimates of Hours Average weekly earnings Number of employees. Information based on Labour Force Survey ( LFS ) and Survey of Employment, Payrolls and Hours ( SEPH )

25 Non Residential Construction
Other information used: Construction estimates reported in the Quarterly Survey of Financial Statistics for Enterprises (large companies in mining, telecommunications, railways…etc.) Capital spending by provincial electric utilities – Public Institutions Division Cubic metres drilled in the oil and gas industry – Industry Accounts Division – Monthly GDP Department of Natural Resources (general exploration expenditures )

26 Deflation Buildings Non-Residential Building Construction Price Indexes (commercial, industrial and institutional) – Prices Division The Non-residential Building Construction Price Index (NRBCPI) is a quarterly series measuring the changes in contractors' selling prices of non-residential building construction (i.e. commercial, industrial and institutional)

27 Deflation Engineering
In the absence of output price indexes – Input price indexes are constructed in IEAD: Material costs: IPPI for prefabricated metal building and structure, line pipe, other insulated wires and cables, concrete basic products, sand, stone, ready-mix concrete, etc. Labour costs: Average weekly earnings (SEPH) Overhead costs: Average weekly earnings indexes and consumer price indexes

28 Machinery and Equipment
Spending on durable and tangible goods that have a productive life of one year or more (whether owned or leased) including: purchase, construction and installation costs feasibility studies, tooling, progress payments exploration and development costs net portion of used assets

29 Business Machinery and Equipment
2003 2004 2005 2006 Furniture 4046 4557 4882 5348 Agricultural Machinery 2972 2938 3108 2644 Industrial Machinery 20357 21606 23974 25128 Computers 8223 9315 9632 10072 Software 10806 11000 11364 12053 Automobiles 6465 6216 6353 6620 Trucks 11337 12110 13140 13679 Other transportation 5089 5338 6780 6532 Telecommunication 6189 5979 5728 5926 Other 5347 5376 5648 5797 Total 80831 84435 90609 93801

30 Sources of Data (Annual)
Benchmark data are from the final demand matrix of the Input-Output tables (IOT). Current estimates are based on the Capital Expenditures Survey Actual, Preliminary and Intentions of Investment and Capital Stock Division and The sum of the quarterly estimates coming from a Supply Disposition approach.

31 Sources of Data (Quarterly)
Supply / Disposition model: GFME = GO + M – X + change in inventories, where GO - gross output estimated using shipments M - imports from International Trade Division X - exports from International Trade Division Done at a very detailed level (39 groups), such as for Telecommunication equipment Telephone and related equipment including facsimile Broadcasting and radio communication equipment Radar & radio navigation equipment ( Re. Supply/disposition models sent to the NBS on March 2007 )

32 Sources of Data (Quarterly)
Industrial machinery Machine tools Conveyors, elevators & hoisting machinery Packaging and bottling machinery Construction & mining machinery Logging, pulp & paper industry machinery Power generation & marine prop., non-electric Electrical generators & motors

33 Sources of Data (Quarterly)
Other transportation equipment Aircraft Commercial trailers & semi-trailers Truck & bus bodies & cargo containers Locomotive, railway & urban trans. rolling stock Ships, boats & parts, excl. pleasure And other groups

34 Investment in Cars and Trucks
A more direct approach is used to estimate investment in cars and trucks: Total sales by type from Survey of New Motor Vehicle Sales Government and business shares based on data from Motor Vehicles Manufacturers Association.

35 Software Investment Own account software Pre-packaged software
Custom-design software Own-account software ( software developed by in-house employees to meet specific organization needs ) is based on the labour costs of computer programmers and system analysts and other costs (non-salary) of in-house software development. Investment in pre-packaged and custom-design software is estimated residually (domestic production, plus imports, plus margins, less exports, less personal expenditure).

36 Deflation Machinery and equipment price indexes (MEPIs) are used for all commodities except computers and software. The MEPI tracks price movements on a domestic and imported basis (producer price indexes published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics are used for the import component). The Machinery and Equipment Price Index (MEPI) provides quarterly estimates of price changes for machinery and equipment purchases, relative to annual gross additions to capital by Canadian Industry of purchase.

37 Deflation The deflator for computers is a weighted average of import and export computer price indexes. Own-account software is deflated using a fixed weighted average of hourly earnings of programmers and systems analysts and an index of costs of non-labour inputs. The Commercial Software Price Index from Prices Division is used to deflate pre-packaged software. Custom-design software is deflated using a weighted average of the pre-packaged and own-account price indexes.

38 Total Investment on Plant and Equipment, 2005

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