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Program Management Review Dr. William F. Denig, Chief Solar (and) Terrestrial Physics Division NOAA/NESDIS 303 497-6323 03 April.

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Presentation on theme: "Program Management Review Dr. William F. Denig, Chief Solar (and) Terrestrial Physics Division NOAA/NESDIS 303 497-6323 03 April."— Presentation transcript:

1 Program Management Review Dr. William F. Denig, Chief Solar (and) Terrestrial Physics Division NOAA/NESDIS 303 497-6323 William.Denig@noaa.gov 03 April 2006 2QFY06

2 2 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 OUTLINE STP Program Management Review STP Overview/Status (7) Earth Observation Group (8) Earth Geophysics Group (9) Space Environment Group (11) NPOESS Nunn-McCurdy Update (1) Concluding Remarks (1)

3 3 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Solar-terrestrial Physics Division William Denig/F Chief Janet Brown/F, Secretary Earth Geophysics Group (EGG) Sue McLean/F, Team Lead Patrick Alken/C Ron Buhmann/F Paula Dunbar/F Karen Horan/F Joy Ikelman/F Stefan Maus/C Rob Prentice/C Jesse Varner/C Chris Hammond/S Andrew Kimbrel/S Kelly Stroker/C Vacancies – 4 Earth Observation Group (EOG) Chris Elvidge/F, Team Lead Kim Baugh/C Pat Hayes/C Ara Howard/C Ben Tuttle/C Vacant/C Vacant – Data Manager/F Space Environment Group (SEG) Eric Kihn/F, Team Lead Terry Bullett, AFRL Craig Clark/F Helen Coffey/F Ray Conkright/C Ed Erwin/F Justin Mabie/C Rob Redmon/F Herb Sauer/C Dan Wilkinson/F WHO WE ARE STP Overview Key F – Federal C – CIRES/CIRA S – Student

4 4 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Personnel Changes STP Overview Gains –Janet Brown/F (STP) – Secretary Losses –None Vacancies –EOG data manager (Federal) –EOG EO scientist (CIRES) –EGG data manager (Federal slot on hold) Inbound –EOG – Christof Aubrecht – University of Vienna –SEG – Kristen Mihalka – Univ. Missouri – Hollings scholar Pending –Ron Buhmann/F (EGG) – Probable retirement in 2QFY07 –CIRES PRA Geodesist (EGG) – In process –CIRES PRA Geophysicist (EGG) – Offer extended –CIRES RA Geophysicist (EGG) – Offer extended –CIRES PRA Geomagnetic Manager (EGG) – In process

5 5 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 FY06 Milestones STP Overview AOP

6 6 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Y Y Financial STP Overview TeamIncomeExpensesNetStatus SEG2,414K2,392K +20K EOG 801K 916K-115K EGG1,619K1,630K -11K R G Income = Expenditures Y Income is within 10% of but not equal to Expenditures R Income is not within 10% of Expenditures As of 03 March 2006

7 7 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Travel STP Base Travel STP Allocation Expenditures (uncorrected) Expenditures (corrected) 27 March 2006 As of 27 March 2006

8 8 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 CDMP FY06 Proposals STP Overview

9 9 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 MOUs / MOAs STP Overview STATUS

10 10 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Technology Thrust Areas STP Overview Earth Observation Group (EOG) –DMSP-OLS archive & NRT services –Annual Nighttime Lights Composites Cities, fires, fishing boats, gas flares Earth Geophysics Group (EGG) –Natural Hazards Database –Continuously Operating Reference Station –Geomagnetic Data & Services Space Environment Group (SEG) –Space Physics Interactive Data Resource –Space Weather Analysis –CLASS Recon Force –Satellite SWx Data –Solar Data Services –Ionospheric Digital Database

11 11 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 OUTLINE STP Program Management Review STP Overview/Status Earth Observation Group Earth Geophysics Group Space Environment Group NPOESS Nunn-McCurdy Update Concluding Remarks

12 12 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Earth Observation Group Overview The mission of the EOG is to provide archive data management (ingest, archive and access) for NOAA and other earth observation remote sensing data, development and production of higher-level products, development of data delivery / customer base, and participation with scientific communities Team Lead: Dr. Chris Elvidge DMSP-OLS Average visible band DN color composite of Shanghai (2003, 1998, 1992 as red, green, blue) Archive grows 15 GB/day Archive now at 56 TB 1 Annual composites are distilled from about 1 TB of geolocated OLS data 1 Does not include DMSP “raw” data backup

13 13 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Earth Observation Group Core Competencies Data managers for EO data Large volume data ingest Large volume data processing Large volume data delivery Flagship product – Nighttime Lights (Annual Composites and NRT)

14 14 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/EOG Task DMSP NightTime Lights Background – DMSP OLS (visible and infrared) imagery from 1973 to present is used to observe lights from cities, fires, gas flares and fishing boats. Purpose – DMSP NightTime lights are used to map changes in economic activity, population numbers and constructed area. The products are widely recognized as a key satellite observation of humanities presence on the land and ocean surface. Upcoming Milestones 4QFY06 – Increase volume of DMSP tape library archive by 4 TB 4QFY06 – Deliver 3 TB of DMSP data on line 4QFY06 – Generate 1st global DMSP OLS imagery constructed on a 1-km grid 1QFY07 – Implement new near-real time satellite data processing & delivery system for DMSP OLS Team Members: Chris Elvidge, Kim Baugh, Ara Howard, Pat Hayes, Ben Tuttle Status: Version 2 time series posted on the www. 400+ sets downloaded in first month. www.ngdc.noaa.gov/dmsp/global_composites_v2.html NightTime Lights of the World Marine Transportation System program

15 15 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/EOG Milestone DMSP NightTime Lights Milestone – Increase the volume of the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) tape library archive by four Terabytes. Background – Primary EOG data stream. Completion Date - Planned: (Q4) 9/30/2006Current: (Q4) 9/30/2006 Status – Continuing on-track – 8.5 GB raw data incoming plus 6.5 GB processed data being added to the archive daily. Cognizant Person: Ed ErwinProgram: Marine Transportation System Updated: 28 Mar 06

16 16 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Milestone – Delivery of three Terabytes of Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) data on-line. Background – Core service to DMSP data customers. Completion Date - Planned: (Q4) 9/30/2006Current: (Q4) 9/30/2006 Status – Continuing on-track. Cognizant Person: Chris ElvidgeProgram: Marine Transportation System STP/EOG Milestone DMSP NightTime Lights Updated: 28 Mar 06

17 17 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Milestone – Generation of first global constructed area grid at one kilometer resolution for year 2000-01. Background – For use in modeling development impacts on terrestrial carbon dynamics under NASA funded research project. Completion Date - Planned: (Q4) 9/30/2006Current: (Q4) 9/30/2006 Status – Continuing on-track. A Landsat derived 30 meter constructed area grid cover about a third of the USA was obtained from the USGS. This was aggregated to a one km grid and a statistically significant relationship was found for predicting constructed area using radiance calibrated nighttime lights. EOG is now producing a global radiance calibrated nighttime lights product for the 2000-2001 time period using specially request fixed gain OLS data acquired by satellite F-15. Cognizant Person: Chris ElvidgeProgram: Marine Transportation System STP/EOG Milestone DMSP NightTime Lights Updated: 28 Mar 06

18 18 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Milestone – Implementation of new near-real time satellite data processing and delivery system for Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) Operational Linescan System (OLS). Background – Current system is person intensive to maintain, it is difficult to add or remove customers and product set is limited to OLS sub-orbits and geolocated visible and thermal band grids. Completion Date - Planned: (Q4) 12/30/2006Current: (Q4) 12/30/2006 Status – Just about complete. New system is up and running. Continuing system diagnostics and internal training. Cognizant Person: Chris ElvidgeProgram: Marine Transportation System STP/EOG Milestone DMSP NightTime Lights Updated: 28 Mar 06

19 19 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Special Interest Item Earth Observation Group Global Poverty Index Population density / brightness of lights DOE-ORNL LandScan 2004 population density divided by NGDC’s 2003 average visible band digital number for persistent lights First consistently derived estimate of number of people living in poverty

20 20 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Special Interest Item Earth Observation Group DMSP Lights Versus Gas Flaring Estimates Azerbaijan Quatar Iraq Iran Russia Nigeria F15 F16 Reported Flaring versus Lights - 2004 2004 GGFR Reported Flaring (BCM) Sum Lights 500,000 1,000,000 0 2,500,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 0 51015202530

21 21 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Initiative - NRT Global Mosaics Earth Observation Group Assume implementation of new NRT system as described Planned NRT system with 4 nodes could accommodate the load A single node can geolocate all the nighttime data from 4 DMSPs Two nodes could do the geolocation + mosaic assembly Development needed to optimize override rules for best composites Middles of orbits best, discard sunlit and glare Standard format would be UTD – spanning longitudes -180 o to 180 o Mosaic would be regenerated each time new data became available Finished UTD mosaics would be archived Web access allow unrestricted browse of decimated mosaics [TBD] Access to full resolution mosaics & interactive sub-setting via password protected subscription services [ TBD] Improved public/customer access to NRT global mosaics would be a great publicity draw

22 22 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Future Directions Earth Observation Group Focus on service to NESDIS by providing data center functionality for NOAA and other EO data. Continue DMSP archive and flagship nighttime lights products. DMSP built out to F-20 (2015 – or possibility 2022 per latest NPOESS schedule alternative) Building data center functionality for additional EO data sets: MODIS and VIIRS (they go together) NOAA NOS scanned aerial photography (NOS has submitted a CDMP proposal for scanning the archive) Other NASA EO data covered by 1989 MOU (e.g. HCMM) Develop capability to provide nighttime lights data and products from the VIIRS DNB data. Data from the IDPS will have to be reprocessed to fix scanline offsets and apply a terrain correction. EOG plans to work on the algorithms and develop a processing system for NRT users and global lights. Propose a Nightsat specifically designed for global mapping of nighttime lights. Mission concept submitted to NRC Decadal Survey Nightsat manuscript in review at IJRS

23 23 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Accomplishments Earth Observation Group 2 peer review publications Demonstrated potential for 800 GB per day a transfer rate from NGDC to MAFF Japan Conducted first global assessment of gas flaring trends – finding that global levels have been stable since the early 1990’s and that Russian flaring is vastly underestimated Developed prototype for a satellite data derived global poverty index NOAA Proposals submitted to PRIDE, North Gulf Coast Initiative and Education Initiative

24 24 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Issues & Concerns Earth Observation Group Additional funds are needed to cover projected FY06-07 expenses. NASA project ($100 K) is entering final year – funding gap narrowed to $115 K To what extent should data services be funded by data sales and science projects – see Initiative – NRT Global Mosaics How can experimental products and services be migrated to operational? DMSP archive and nighttime lights support multiple NOAA programs – is Marine Transportation System the best program for the EOG? How about Satellite Data Services?

25 25 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 OUTLINE STP Program Management Review STP Overview/Status Earth Observation Group Earth Geophysics Group Space Environment Group NPOESS Nunn-McCurdy Update Concluding Remarks

26 26 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Earth Geophysics Group Overview The focus of the EGG is to provide scientific stewardship, products, & services for data from Earth's physical environment supporting safe navigation and mitigating the impact of geophysical hazards. The EGG also supports international data collection, exchange and visiting scientists through the WDC. Team Lead: Susan McLean

27 27 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Earth Geophysics Group Core Competencies Management for GPS & geophysical datasets Monitor societal impacts of natural hazards Geomagnetic field modeling Flagship products –Integrated Historic Hazard DB World Magnetic Model GPS ground network datasets

28 28 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/EGG Task Natural Hazards Database Background – NGDC acquires, processes, analyzes & disseminates socio-economic & technical data on natural hazards, including earthquakes, tsunamis & volcanoes. Purpose – Long-term data from natural hazards, including photographs, can be used to establish the past record of natural hazard event occurrences. These data are also important for planning, response and mitigation of future events. Team Members: Susan McLean, Paula Dunbar, Joy Ikelman, Karen Horan, Kelly Stroker, Jesse Varner Status: Two new hires in process through CIRES to replace K. Brantley & expanded effort to address additional Program duties. Upcoming Deliverables: Data Management Assessment (5 Apr), CORL (17 Apr), US Hazard Assessment (Nov), Data Manage- ment Report (Dec) Upcoming Milestones 2QFY06 – Review and document 60% of the deadly past tsunami events (done) 2QFY06 – Increase volume of historic tsunami, DART, bathymetric, and model data described, archived, and accessible on-line (done) Tsunami program Prince William Sound Alaska Tsunami - 1964 Milestone in the AOP

29 29 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/EGG Milestone Natural Hazards Database Completion Date - Planned: (Q2) 3/31/2006Current: (Q2) Completed (3/28/2006) Status – 60% of the events satisfying the criteria of  5 m runup or  5 deaths (above) have been reviewed and documented, including the locations and magnitudes of the source events, maximum runups and total effects. There are 2373 total events and 1,701 valid events (validity  1) in the database. Cognizant Person: Paula DunbarProgram: Tsunami Updated: 28 Mar 06 Milestone – Review and document 60% of the deadly past tsunami events. Background – We cannot prevent natural hazards such as tsunami and volcanic eruptions, but we can improve warnings and mitigate the impact. An essential component of mitigation and warning is knowing the history of past events - where, when, and how severe. This is especially important with events that occur infrequently, but can kill or displace thousands. NGDC and the co-located WDC began maintaining a global historic tsunami database more than 30 years ago. NGDC is working with Humboldt State University to update this database. Significant Tsunami Events from -1410 to 2004

30 30 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/EGG Milestone Natural Hazards Database Milestone – Establish archive of tsunami program Deep-ocean Assessment and Reporting of Tsunami (DART) Buoy and Bottom Pressure Recorder (BPR) historical data (three Gigabytes). Background – After the devastating tsunami of December 2004, NOAA implemented a tsunami hazard improvement team and formed the NOAA Tsunami Program. Under both of these activities, NGDC has the role for the long-term archive of tsunami-related data, including NOAA’s BPR / DART LTA. In August 2005, PMEL transferred the first installment of BPR data. We are now developing the transfer, archive, and access protocols and methods for the future. Completion Date - Planned: (Q2) 3/31/2006 Current: (Q2) Completed – 3/28/2006 Updated: 28 Mar 06 Status – The combined DART & BPR archive within NGDC has been established. The quantitative metric of 3 GB (edited data) has been achieved. Web: http://ngdc.noaa.gov/seg/hazard/DARTData.shtml http://ngdc.noaa.gov/seg/hazard/DARTData.shtml Note: Within the NOAA Tsunami program this milestone is written as: Increase volume of historic tsunami, DART, bathymetric, and model data described, archived, and accessible on-line. Cognizant Person: Kelly Stroker Program: Tsunami

31 31 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 AOP 2Q FY06 Milestone National Geophysical Data Center Milestone: Establish archive of tsunami program Deep-ocean Assessment and Reporting of Tsunami ( DART) Buoy & Bottom Pressure Recorder (BPR) historical data (3 Gb) Program: Tsunami (Weather & Water) POC: Kelly Stroker – 303 497-4603 Status: Completed (28 March 2006) Description: After the devastating tsunami of December 2004, NOAA implemented a tsunami hazard improvement team and formed the NOAA Tsunami Program. Under both of these activities, NGDC has the role for the long-term archive of tsunami-related data, including NOAA’s BPR / DART LTA. Significance: DART buoys are deployed near U.S. coastal regions having a history of tsunami generation. Historical records provide the baseline against which real-time measurements can be compared to assess the tsunami threat. Future Work: Improve user access & functionality of DART / BPR data available through the existing hazard web page.

32 32 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/EGG Task Continuously Operating Reference Station Background – NOAA / NGS coordinates a network of continuous GPS receivers for 3- dimensional positioning activities throughout the US and its territories. Purpose – NGDC is an operational backup for the primary NGS site (in Silver Spring, MD). NGDC also supplies CORS data in near real-time to NOAA SEC and GSD for use in ionospheric and weather specification and forecast models. Team Members: Susan McLean, Ron Buhmann, Ernie Joynt, Rob Prentice, Karen Horan, Vacancy – CIRES PRA Status: CORS planning meeting held at NGDC on March 17. Number of CORS ground sites increasing beyond expectations. Working 2 possible NGS employees at NGDC. CORS Coverage Upcoming Milestones 2QFY06 – Increase volume of CORS GPS data ingested annually & placed into the archive by 2 TB (done) Marine Transportation System program MOU Status – A 1-year extension to the NGS / NGDC Agreement for CORS-West is in draft stage (at NGS) - work on a new 3- year agreement deferred until fall 2006.

33 33 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/EGG Milestone Continuously Operating Reference Station Milestone – Increase volume of Continuously Operating Reference Stations (CORS) Global Position System (GPS) data ingested annually and placed into the archive by two Terabytes. Cognizant Person: Susan McLeanProgram: Marine Transportation System Updated: 28 Mar 06 Background – NGDC operates a parallel CORS processing site - ingesting, supplying near-real time data, archiving data and space weather products, and providing Web access to these data and products. In FY05 NGDC ingested the entire backlog of CORS data, over 7 Tb. In FY06, we will add several more terrabytes to the archive. Completion Date Planned: (Q2) 3/31/2006 Current: (Q2) Completed (3/28/2006) Status – The CORS archive increased from 7.4 Tb to 12 Tb by the end of 2QFY06. The total increase of 4.6 Tb exceeds the milestone by 130%. This larger increase is due to the rapid expansion of the CORS network during the previous 6 months. Network expansion should continue at a rate exceeding the expected growth as planned with NGS in FY05. Web: Public accessibility to archive not available at this time

34 34 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Marine Transportation System program STP/EGG Task Geomagnetic Data & Services Background – The WMM is the standard magnetic model used by US military/civilian agencies and allied nations. The WMM is a product of the United States National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency. NGDC and the British Geological Survey jointly produce the WMM. Purpose – The WMM satisfies requirements supporting navigation and attitude/heading referencing systems. Team Members: Susan McLean, Stefan Maus, Karen Horan, Chris Hammond, Andrew Kimbrel, Patrick Alken Status: Continuing on track. Stefan Maus has initiated a weekly lecture series on magnetism. SWARM downlink via NPOESS in currently stalled awaiting ESA decisions (Mr Withee action). Funding to NGDC for real-time SWx product is at risk. Upcoming Milestones 4QFY2006 – Improve resolution of crustal mag field from degree 90 to degree 720 to improve Electronic Navigation Chart (ENC) navigation models Crustal Magnetic Field

35 35 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/EGG Milestone Geomagnetic Data & Services Milestone – Improve resolution of crustal magnetic field model from the current degree 90 model to degree 720 to improve Electronic Navigation Chart (ENC) navigation models. Background – NGDC produces the World Magnetic Model navigation product for the National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency. The WMM is the standard navigation model for the US DoD, DOC, DOT; NATO, and others. Current navigations models accurately account for approximately 90% of the magnetic field influencing the compass at the Earth’s surface. The next major improvement is to accurately model the Earth’s crust and capture this temporally stable magnetic field. Current best models are of degree 90. A 720 degree model represents a significant improvement. Completion Date - Planned: (Q4) 9/30/2006Current: (Q4) 9/30/2006 Status – Continuing on-track. Most data acquired and methodology established. Cognizant Person: Stefan MausProgram: Marine Transportation System Updated: 28 Mar 06

36 36 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Issue For The Director Geomagnetic Data & Services Issue: Lack of Progress with SWARM Background: Senior leaders within NESDIS (G. Withee, Ltd dtd 28Oct05 and ESA (Dr. Volker Liebig, Ltr dtd 28Nov05) have agreed in principle to work together on a SWARM downlink strategy. A C-175 clearance memo on a proposed SWARM MOU was approved on 12Dec05. Mr. Withee and Dr. Liebig are schedule to meet in late spring/early summer to discuss areas of mutual interest including SWARM. Action Plan: The ball is currently in ESA’s court. Dr. Liebig stated in his 28-Nov letter, “I suggest we come back to you once the end-to-end ground segment scenario... has been fully analyzed...” Since that time we have been getting mixed messages on how this proposed interaction is being accepted within Europe. Action for the Director: Request that the Director alert Mr. Withee on the current SWARM status (attached chart) and ask him to include SWARM in his upcoming discussions with Dr. Liebig.

37 37 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Status of SWARM – 03 Apr 06 National Geophysical Data Center The objective of the Swarm mission is to provide the best ever survey of the geomagnetic field and its temporal evolution, and gain new insights into improving our knowledge of the Earth’s interior and climate. The Swarm architecture consists of a constellation of three identical satellites in three different polar orbits between 300 and 530 km altitude. The satellites provide magnetic field and ionospheric plasma measurements which are valuable for real-time space weather monitoring. NESDIS has entered into discussions with ESA regarding the use of the NPOESS SvalSat antenna to download the SWARM data in near-real time. SWARM data satisfies the NPOESS Magnetic Field EDR requirement and the NGDC (DoD) needs for producing the World Magnetic Model. ESA is currently assessing the utility of SvalSat for SWARM command and control.

38 38 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Report to Congress on NOAA’s Data Management complete DART Retrospective Archive established; data and metadata online Completed QA / QC of ~35% of the historic tsunami database 100% of US coastal runups Contributed to March 2006 National Geographic map on earthquake hazards Added 4,457 Volcanic Events to historic event database Ingested and archived over 12 Tb CORS data (FY05Q1- FY06Q2) Supplied SEC with CORS data at 5-minute latency and archive / distribute SW products with 24-hour latency Served over 1 million online field values from the IGRF (Q205-Q206) Staff attended several major conferences, presented papers / posters, worked with data providers 14 papers published in peer-reviewed journals (2005-2006) 6 papers submitted or in print Accomplishments Earth Geophysics Group

39 39 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Issues & Concerns Earth Geophysics Group Vacancies – Data Manager retired August 2005(advertised – expect offer May 1) – CIRES PRA Geodesist (advertised – expect offer May 1) – CIRES RA & PRA Physical scientist (offers submitted to CIRES) Hazards QA / QC Partnerships (i.e. Humboldt State) – Ensure quality and quantity – Developing and funding foreign expertise Expanding uses of “SPIDR” – New interest in SPIDR geomagnetic data sites – Utilizing SPIDR applets to serve hazards time-series – SPIDR serving of CORS station data – Expanding station histories in SPIDR CIRES funding – tracking project budgets Funding of visiting scientists/projects via WDC structure

40 40 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 OUTLINE STP Program Management Review STP Overview/Status Earth Observation Group Earth Geophysics Group Space Environment Group NPOESS Nunn-McCurdy Update Concluding Remarks

41 41 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Space Environment Group Overview The Space Environment Group is focused on the archive and management of NOAA’s space environmental data. The SEG also supports international data exchange and collection through World Data Center activities. Team Lead: Eric Kihn

42 42 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Space Environment Group Core Competencies Management of space environmental data Publisher of solar–geophysical indices Archivists of GOES/POES/DMSP space data Development of ionosonde QA/QC tools Flagship product – SPIDR

43 43 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/SEG Task Space Physics Interactive Data Resource Background – SPIDR is a distributed net- work of synchronous databases and 100% Java middle-ware servers accessed via the World Wide Web. SPIDR 4.0 is in test phase. Purpose – SPIDR allows a solar terrestrial physicist to intelligently access and manage historical space data for integration with environmental models and space weather forecasts. Team Member: Eric Kihn, Rob Redmon (Mikhail Zhizhin) Status: E. Kihn and W. Denig visited the GSFC to discuss coupling SPIDR with CDAWeb. Initial work on the POES SEM conducted at NGDC and GSFS was discussed and de-conflicted. Global SPIDR mirror sites Milestones 1QFY06 – Complete PCI data rescue (done) 4QFY06 – Publish SWA derived products such as indices via the web 1QFY07 – Integrate CDAWeb with SPIDR Space Weather program SPIDR nodes as of January 2006. Milestone in the AOP

44 44 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/SEG Milestone Space Physics Interactive Data Resource Milestone – Complete the rescue of the Polar Cap Index (PCI) data including, archive preservation, integration in the Space Physics Interactive Data Resource (SPIDR) and quality analysis. Background – The PCI was introduced by Troshichev et al. [1979, 1988] as an index for monitoring geomagnetic activity over the polar caps caused by changes in the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) and solar wind. This important index was missing in SPIDR. Completion Date - Planned: (Q1) 12/31/2005Current: (Q1) Completed (12/15/05) Status – Done. The PCI data was received from Troshichev, quality controlled using the SWA database and ingested into SPIDR. The PCI will be publicly available with the release of SPIDR 4.0. Web: http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/stp/SOLAR/pcindex.htmlhttp://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/stp/SOLAR/pcindex.html Cognizant Person: Eric KihnProgram: Space Weather Ref. Troshichev et al., Planet. Space Sci., 27, 217, 1979 Troshichev et al., Planet. Space Sci., 36, 1095, 1988 Updated: 28 Mar 06

45 45 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/SEG Milestone SWx Derived Products Milestone – Publish Space Weather Analysis (SWA) derived products such as indices via the web. Background – The SWA produces output which may be considered as the level-0 or raw space weather data. In order to maximize the utility for the STP community we need to convert this raw archive through post-processing into more standard products such as indices. This will generate very valuable resources currently missing in the community such as CPCP and AE. Completion Date - Planned: (Q4) 9/30/2006Current: (Q4) 9/30/2006 Status – Indices being generated, validation underway. On track for September delivery. Cognizant Person: Eric KihnProgram: Space Weather Updated: 28 Mar 06

46 46 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/SEG Milestone Space Physics Interactive Data Resource Milestone – Integrate the NASA Coordinated Data Analysis (CDA)Web data resources with the Space Physics Interactive Data Resource (SPIDR) system. Background – Several years ago under Herb Kroehl NGDC started the process of integrating the CDAWeb and SPIDR systems. Funding received from NASA was used to process the POES SEM data into a format compliant with web-based services. The current effort is focused on incorporating these data into SPIDR and then linking with CDAWeb. Completion Date - Planned: (Q1) 12/31/2006Current: (Q1) 12/31/2006 Status – EAK and WFD visited Jim McGuire and staff of NASA’s National Space Science Data Center (NSSDC) on 26 Jan 06 to review the status of CDAWeb and SPIDR interactions. This trip was combined with a visit to Michael Hesse and staff of NASA’s Community Coordinated Modeling Center (CCMC) on 27 Jan 06. The NASA CDAWweb staff is using the SPIDR_WS services interface in a proto-typing mode. Cognizant Person: Eric KihnProgram: Space Weather Updated: 28 Mar 06

47 47 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Issue For The Director Space Physics Interactive Data Resource Issue: Problems with Ionospheric Data Available through SPIDR Background: SEC has brought to our attention various problems with the ionosonde database included in SPIDR. There are three issues that need to be addressed (see next slide). Some of these problems have been known for some time. The utility of data within SPIDR and the credability of NGDC are at stake. Action Plan: STP will investigate the issues involved and develop aa action plan. STP needs to more actively engage the scientific community to assess the reliability of the ionosonde data. Immediate target is the upcoming IRI Workshop 2006 – “New Measurements for Improved IRI TEC Representation” in Buenos Aires, Argentina (16-20 October 2006) Action for the Director: Info only. No action required at this time.

48 48 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Issue For The Director Space Physics Interactive Data Resource Issue 1 – There are artifacts in the ionosonde data that appear to be due to repeating values. These appear as stripes in the figure to the left. Issue 2 – The resolutions with which ionospheric heights are determined have changed with time. Issue 3 – Data within SPIDR is different from that available through other SPIDR nodes. Annual SPIDR “synch” may have corrupted other data sets.

49 49 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 BACKUP SLIDE

50 50 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 BACKUP SLIDE

51 51 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 BACKUP SLIDE

52 52 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/SEG Task Space Weather Analysis Purpose – The objective of this project is to generate a complete 16-yr space weather representation using physically consistent data-driven space weather models. The project will create a consistent, integrated, historical record of the near Earth space environment by coupling observational data from space environmental monitoring systems archived at NGDC with data- driven, physically based numerical models. Team Members: Eric Kihn, Rob Redmon and Aaron Ridley Status: This project has now created a consistent, integrated historical record of the near-Earth space environment by coupling observational data with physics- based numerical models. Effort supported by AF/CCC funding. SWA Data Flow Upcoming Milestones 2QFY06 – Construct a 15-year gridded database of results from linked assimilation models (done) Space Weather program Milestone in the AOP

53 53 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/SEG Milestone SWx Derived Products Milestone – Construct a 15-year gridded database of results from linked assimilation models: Assimilative Mapping of Ionospheric Electrodynamics, a coupled ionosphere-thermosphere model-Global Ionosphere Thermosphere Model and an inner magnetosphere model- Simulation of the Inner Magnetosphere Model. Background – This output is the data driven description of the near-Earth space environment minus the radiation belts. Completion Date - Planned: (Q2) 3/31/2006Current: (Q2) Completed (3/20/2006) Status – Done. This project has created a consistent, integrated historical record of the near-Earth space environment by coupling observational data with physics-based numerical models. These data are crucial for military planners to understand daily SWx forecasts as well as long-term climatic changes, both of which can affect mission outcome. The final report has been submitted to AF/CCC (program sponsor) Web: TBD Cognizant Person: Eric KihnProgram: Space Weather Updated: 28 Mar 06

54 54 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 AOP 2Q FY06 Milestone National Geophysical Data Center Milestone: Construct a 15-year gridded database of results from linked assimilation models. Program: Space Weather (Weather & Water) POC: Dr. Eric Kihn – 303 497-6346 Status: Completed (28 March 2006) Description: Create a consistent, integrated historical record of the near-Earth space environment by coupling observational data with physics-based numerical models. Significance: Data are crucial for civilian and military planners to understand daily SWx forecasts and to recognize long-term climatic changes. Future Work: Incorporate additional datasets including satellite data for improved accuracy and precision.

55 55 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/SEG Task CLASS Recon Force Background – CLASS is the archive and distribution system for NOAA’s large array data. NGDC is getting a node. Purpose – NGDC would like to rapidly proto-type and develop an “open-CLASS” architecture capable of integrating many of NGDC’s diverse data sets with the CLASS- ADS. Team Members: Eric Kihn, Rob Redmon, Rob Prentice, Mikhail Zhizhin, Ted Habermann Status: The project plan is complete and will be presented at the CLASS workshop – WV. The CIRES personnel have been selected and development will begin in early April. Comprehensive Large Array-data Stewardship System Status 2QFY06 – Project plan to C. Fox 3QFY06 – Interface specification complete 4QFY06 – Proto-type system operational Space Weather program

56 56 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/SEG Task Satellite SWx Data Background – NGDC maintains a 30-yr historical database of satellite SWx data from DMSP, POES, and GOES Purpose – Satellite data are used to determine extremes in SWx conditions and monitor long-term variations in the space environment. These data are also used in specific case studies in coordination with other space data. Team Members: Dan Wilkinson, Ed Erwin Status: A “Looking Forward to GOES-R” announcement has been published and posted to the web. The migration of all SWx data except for DMSP has now been migrated from Tivoli to ADIC TLS. POES daily orbits Upcoming Milestones 2QFY06 – Publish Looking-Forward-to- GOES-R web announcement (done) 4QFY06 – Complete migration of SWx data to ADIC TLS; GOES SEM, POES SEM and GOES SXI (done) Space Weather program

57 57 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/SEG Milestone SWx Derived Products Milestone – Publish a Looking Forward to GOES-R web announcement for current users of GOES and POES Space Environment Monitor (SEM) data. Background – NGDC will provide GOES users with a description of the new data resources that GOES-R will provide to the space weather community and a timeline for their expected delivery. Comments from current GOES SEM users regarding GOES-R access protocols and data products will be encouraged. This announcement is being published as part of NGDC’s participation in the GOES-R - Risk Reduction initiative Completion Date - Planned: (Q2) 3/31/2006Current: (Q2) Completed 1/17/2006 Status – Complete. “Looking Forward to GOES-R” announcement now published on the web. The fourth GOES-R user conference is scheduled for 01-03 May 2006 in Broomfield, CO. See http://www.osd.noaa.gov/announcement/http://www.osd.noaa.gov/announcement/ Web: http://sxi.ngdc.noaa.gov/goesr_looking_ahead.htmlhttp://sxi.ngdc.noaa.gov/goesr_looking_ahead.html Cognizant Person: Dan WilkinsonProgram: Space Weather Updated: 28 Mar 06

58 58 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/SEG Milestone Satellite SWx Data Milestone – Complete migration of space weather data to the Advanced Digital Information Corporation (ADIC) Tape Library System (TLS): GOES Space Environment Monitor (SEM), POES SEM, and GOES (Solar X-ray Imager) SXI. Background – Historical satellite SWx data from GOES SEM, POES SEM, and GOES SXI are currently archived on the Tivoli TLS and these data must be migrated to the ADIC archive. This milestone will mark the completion of the satellite SWx data migration Completion Date - Planned: (Q2) 3/31/2006Current: (Q2) Completed (3/28/2006 Status – Complete. The POES SEM, GOES SXI, and GOES SEM historical data have been successfully migrated to the ADIC TLS. Operational protocols are now performing routine archive updates. Web: http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/stp/stp.htmlhttp://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/stp/stp.html Cognizant Person: Dan WilkinsonProgram: Space Weather Updated: 28 Mar 06

59 59 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/SEG Task Solar Data Services Background – The Solar Data Services group handles, archives and distributes solar data from the following disciplines; solar phenomena, solar flare-associated events, cosmic rays and solar publications. Purpose – Provide a permanent repository for solar data to monitor changes in the sun and to track the influences that the sun has on our lives and environment. Team Members: Helen Coffey, Ed Erwin, Dan Wilkinson Status: The RSTN fixed-frequency data through 2004 have been quality checken and loaded into SPIDR. The data are now available for user browsing and plotting. NGDC/LASON is continuing to scan full disk Boulder solar H-alpha images at 4000 dpi (about 12 images/day). Upcoming Milestones 2QFY06 – RSTN data rescue (done) 3QFY06 – Add 50 GB of high resolution daily solar H-alpha images to NGDC archives Space Weather program http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/stp/SOLAR/solar.html

60 60 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/SEG Milestone Solar Data Services Milestone – Complete the rescue of the Radio Solar Telescope Network (RSTN) data including, archive preservation, integration in Space Physics Interactive Data Resource (SPIDR) and quality analysis. Background – The USAF RSTN solar radio spectrograph (SRS) sweeps the frequency range 25 to 180 MHz every 3 seconds. It monitors solar radio emissions originating mainly in the solar corona. It has a low band (25 to 75 MHz) antenna (non-tracking semi-bicone) and a high band (75 to 180 MHz) antenna (tracking log-periodic). Data are sent monthly to NGDC. Also, fixed-frequency data within 8 bands are recorded every second (245 MHz, 410 MHz, 610 MHz, 1,415 MHz, 2,695 MHz, 4,995 MHz, 8,800 MHz and 15,400 MHz) Completion Date - Planned: (Q2) 3/31/2006Current: (Q2) Completed (1/9/2006) Status – Done. The RSTN fixed-frequency data through 2004 have now been loaded into SPIDR. The data have been quality checked and are available for user browsing and plotting. Web: http://spidr.ngdc.noaa.gov/spidr/query.do?group=Rstn& http://spidr.ngdc.noaa.gov/spidr/query.do?group=Rstn& Cognizant Person: Helen CoffeyProgram: Space Weather Updated: 28 Mar 06

61 61 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/SEG Milestone Solar Data Services Milestone – Add 50 Gigabytes of high resolution daily solar H-alpha images to NGDC archives. Boulder Solar Observatory films will be scanned, thumbnails put on the NGDC ftp site with web interface and the original images put into the Advanced Digital Information Corporation (ADIC) Tape Library System (TLS). Background – This task concerns the migration of historical solar observations currently available on microfilm & paper form to digital image format. Images include daily Boulder Solar Observatory H-alpha film scans (1967-76), Beograd white light photos (1957-58), Boulder Solar Observatory sunspot drawings (1966-91), Annals of the IGY composite drawings (1957-58), McMath H-alpha & Calcium K line scout photos (1948-79), McMath Calcium drawings with reduced data (1942-60), and some other miscellaneous databases. Completion Date - Planned: (Q3) 6/30/2006Current: (Q3) 6/30/2006 Status – NGDC/LASON is continuing to scan full disk Boulder solar H-alpha images at 4000 dpi (about 12 images/day). During 1QFY06 NGDG received 83 DVDs with 12,000 images covering the period from Sep 1977 to Jan 1980. NGDC then reviews & QC the scanned images, stores the original images, and then puts sample thumbnail images online. Web: ftp://ftp.ngdc.noaa.gov/STP/SOLAR_DATA/SOLAR_IMAGES/ ftp://ftp.ngdc.noaa.gov/STP/SOLAR_DATA/SOLAR_IMAGES/ Cognizant Person: Helen CoffeyProgram: Space Weather Updated: 28 Mar 06

62 62 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/SEG Task Ionospheric Digital Database Background – Ionograms are recorded tracings of reflected ionosonde radiowave. Reflected radiowaves provide critical information on the bottomside ionosphere up to the F 2 peak in electron density. Purpose – Historical ionogram records are used to monitor ionospheric variability and extremes. Efforts are underway to make current measurements available in near real-time to support SWx operations. Team Members: Rob Redmon, Terry Bullett, Ray Conkright, Justin Mabie Status: The Mirrion project continues. SEC has stated a requirement for continuous ionosonde data. No progress has been made on the transfer of ionosonde ownership from AFWA. An SEC concern on the reliability of the NGDC ionosonde database is being addressed. Global Ionosonde Network Upcoming Milestones 4QFY06 – Automate the collection, analysis, archive and dissemination of the USAF ionospheric sounding stations Space Weather program

63 63 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 STP/SEG Milestone Ionospheric Digital Database Milestone – Automate the collection, analysis, archive, and dissemination of the USAF ionospheric sounding stations. Background – Historical ionogram records are used to monitor ionospheric variability and extremes. Efforts are underway to make current measurements available in near real-time to support SWx operations. Completion Date - Planned: (Q4) 9/30/2006Current: (Q4) 9/30/2006 Status – Mirrion is currently in prototype/operational testing. The processing load on the system is increasing as additional AF ionosonde sounding stations (DISS) are being added. Metrics are being reviewed to ensure that the processing capabilities for Mirrion are sufficient to support AFWA and SEC. Other sources of data are also being investigated. The Qualscan program (courtesy Leo McNamara) and adapted to run under Mirrion. Qualscan will augment the ARTIST auto-scaler program by providing bottom-side electron density profile with error bars. Web: http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/stp/IONO/ionohome.html http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/stp/IONO/ionohome.html Cognizant Person: Rob Redmon Program: Space Weather Updated: 28 Mar 06

64 64 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Accomplishments Space Environment Group SPIDR 4.0 Testing on-going, planned presentation at SWW SGD-3 monthly issues compiled and put on website Attended and presented at eGY meeting (March) Modified ionospheric CDMP rescue plan Hosted Dr. Garner (UT/Austin) for SIMM integration 2 new solar CDMP proposals funded Large percentage of staff completed IDL int/adv training –New IDL-Java SPIDR application is a direct result

65 65 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Issues & Concerns Space Environment Group Impact of CLASS on staff time – NGDC mission impact –Key SEG personnel (EAK/RJR) are being diverted to CLASS –SEG’s core mission may be adversely affected –Recommend hiring a CIRES person to help maintain SPIDR Ionospheric Data Quality Issues –Some problems documented in SPIDR data –Lack of strong NGDC response to community  NGDC credibility issue –Need to develop & advertise a specific correction plan Concerns with AF/CCC funding –No funds received this FY so far –No direct impact but would end the SWA program –Need to pursue different funding sources

66 66 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 OUTLINE STP Program Management Review STP Overview/Status Earth Observation Group Earth Geophysics Group Space Environment Group NPOESS Nunn-McCurdy Update Concluding Remarks

67 67 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Issue For The Director Satellite SWx Data Issue: NPOESS Nunn-McCurdy Recertification Background: NPOESS is continuing to undergoing a Congressionally- mandated Nunn-McCurdy recertification. The estimate costs for the baseline NPOESS program have more than doubled (to tbd) with a near- term shortfall (FYDP) of tbd. Various options are under consideration to structure an executable program. Congress ultimately decides whether the restructured program is defensible and approved. Action Plan: The future of NPOESS could potentially impact CLASS. In addition, since the costs for the NPOESS program are shared between the AF and NESDIS there could be a collateral effect on the NESDIS budget depending on how things shake out. Action for the Director: Info only. No action required at this time.

68 68 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 OUTLINE STP Program Management Review STP Overview/Status Earth Observation Group Earth Geophysics Group Space Environment Group NPOESS Nunn-McCurdy Update Concluding Remarks

69 69 STP PMR – 03 Apr 2006 Concluding Remarks STP Program Management Review STP division remains healthy although there is a continuing EOG funding shortfall How EOG fits into the NOAA program structure continues to be a challenge Mission continuity is a concern giving scheduled or possible retirements/departures/critical equipment CLASS WILL have an impact on our day-to-day NGDC responsibilities Problems with the ionosonde database need to be dealt with quickly


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