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® Information Peacekeeping & The Future of Intelligence The United Nations, Smart Mobs, & the Seven Tribes Robert David Steele NISA 15 Nov 02.

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Presentation on theme: "® Information Peacekeeping & The Future of Intelligence The United Nations, Smart Mobs, & the Seven Tribes Robert David Steele NISA 15 Nov 02."— Presentation transcript:

1 ® Information Peacekeeping & The Future of Intelligence The United Nations, Smart Mobs, & the Seven Tribes Robert David Steele NISA 15 Nov 02

2 ® Abstract #1: Seven Tribes Military Law Enforcement Business Academic National NGO & Media Religions & Clans

3 ® Abstract #2: ISO Standards Generic to All Tribes Open Source Collection Multi-media processing Analytic toolkits Analytic tradecraft Operations security Defensive counterintelligence Leadership skills Training & culture skills Unique to Some Tribes National clandestine & covert collection, offensive CI Military targeting, mobility Police arrest & interrogation Business fiscal accountability Media attention-getting skills NGO humanitarian values Religious faith-based insights Ethnic blood-based insights

4 ® Abstract #3: Multi-Lateral Sharing 80% of Global Intelligence Will Be Via: Shared Collection--Open, Human, Technical Shared Processing--Data Entry, Translation Shared Analysis--Multi-cultural, indigenous 20% of National Intelligence Will Be Via: Unilateral or bi-lateral secret collection Unilateral or bi-lateral secret analysis

5 ® Abstract #4: Public Intelligence Intelligence as mixed public-private good Must be taught in all schools at all levels Public intelligence will drive public policy Greatest impact will be on total national budgets--allocations among the instruments of national power (less on military, more on diplomacy, intelligence, public health, etc.) Art of the long view will re-emerge.

6 ® Abstract #5: UNODIN & IP Will take years UN DPI is a one-way road with 77 lanes UN in denial on all aspects of intelligence Goals: to change how Nations spend money and how UN does business

7 ® State of the Tribes Today National 50% Military 40% Business 30% Academic 30% Law Enforcement 20% NGO-Media 20% Religious 20% We have much to do.

8 ® TIME IMPACT SHORT TIME IMPACT LONG MULTI-CULTURAL & TRANS-NATIONAL EQUITIES SINGLE-CULTURE SINGLE-ORGANIZATION EQUITIES LEADERS DECIDE PEOPLE DECIDE TOP-DOWN COMMAND & CONTROL SECRET SOURCES & METHODS BOTTOM-UP INFORMATION-SHARING OPEN SOURCES & METHODS OBVIOUS DETAIL OBSCURE DETAIL OLD NEW Bottom-Up and Peer-to-Peer

9 ® New Measures of Merit Open Source Collection Multi-Media Processing Analytic Toolkits Analytic Tradecraft Defensive Security Leadership Training Culture

10 ® Sharing the Burden Open Source Collection, Translation, Digitization Distributed Processing LINUX/OS as new standard for all tribes XML Geo and open API as mandated standards Generic analyst toolkit Share leaders, training Create global culture

11 ® Conversion of Paper Documents to Digital Form Automated Extraction of Data Elements From Text and Images Standardizing and Converting Data Formats Processing Images, Video, Audio, Signal Data Automated Foreign Language Translation Open LiteratureNon-Text DataRestricted Information Detection of Alert Situations Clustering and Linking of Related Data Statistical Analysis to Reveal Anomalies Detection of Changing Trends Interactive Search and Retrieval of Data Graphic and Map- Based Visualization of Data Modeling and Simulations Collaborative Work Notetaking and Organizing Ideas Structured Argument Analysis Desktop Publishing and Word Processing Production of Graphics, Videos and Online Briefings Revision Tracking and Realtime Group Review Finished Intelligence and Reporting A B C Processing Desktop: Generic Analytic Functionalities

12 ® New Paradigm (1 of 2) OLD Policy Over Intelligence Unilateral Mostly Secret Technical Emphasis Collection Emphasis One-language filter Mistakes hidden Short-term thinking NEW Intelligence Over Policy Multilateral Mostly Public Human Emphasis Analysis Emphasis Multi-lingual filters Mistakes acknowledged Long-term thinking

13 ® New Paradigm (2 of 2) NATIONAL One leader, 3 deputies –Secret Collection –Open Collection –All-Source Analysis Unite the tribes Pool resources Serve the people GLOBAL Multi-lateral Councils –Collection –Processing –Analysis Unite the tribes Regional Centers Serve the people

14 ® Regional Intelligence Center Deputy for Counterintelligence Japan Deputy for Covert Action Thailand

15 ® Collective Individual Intelligence Harnessing Distributed Citizen Intelligence

16 ® Change in Time Focus 7th Generation Thinking –Public Health Bacteria, Preventive Medicine Cultures of Violence Education & Mental Health –Water –Food –Energy Accountability of Leaders Over the Longer Term

17 ® Information Peacekeeping #1 Changing What We Spend Money On Public intelligence can change public spending priorities Less on military, more on everything else Global intelligence can create global security forces and funds for sustaining Earth and Peace

18 ® Information Peacekeeping #2 Changing When & How We Intervene Public warning can change public policy –More Prevention –More Peacekeeping –More Education –More Long-Term Aid –Less Corruption –Less Censorship We have a sacred duty. Inconvenient Warning & Warning Fatigue Are Obstacles.

19 ® Information Peacekeeping #3 Changing Who Does the Thinking Public, not elites, must be the final judge of global security values Public intelligence will enable public understanding/action Berto Jongmans map is Reference A--we must all support him.

20 ® Information Peacekeeping #4 Changing Who Makes a Difference & How Military Law Enforcement Business Academic National NGO & Media Religions & Clans

21 ® Information Peacekeeping #5 Changing How the World Views Intelligence Weekly report Distance learning Virtual library Expert Forum Shared directory Shared calendar Shared budget Shared plot (map)

22 ® Information Peacekeeping #6 Changing the Strategic Focus Connectivity everywhere Content is digitized Coordination of standards and investments C4 Security across all seven tribes--public safety at same level as safety of secrets

23 ® Conclusion The new craft of intelligence is the best hope for world peace through a world brain. A United Nations Open Decision Information Network (UNODIN) is a possibility. We work for the public. Only by educating the public, creating Smart Nations, can secret and open intelligence endeavors hope to succeed. Millions more will die before we get it right. There is no time to waste--we must start now.

24 ® Headlines, Books, & Conferences UN INTELLIGENCE: Does Not Exist, Will Not Exist, Until Secretary General Makes Intelligence the Second Half of the Planned Reform of the Department of Public Information


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