1. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 1 ITRS Design + System Drivers Hsinchu, December 2006 Design ITWG Japan: Hiwatashi-san, Asada-san Taiwan: Chung-Ping Chen Europe: Wolfgang Rosenstiel USA: Andrew Kahng

2. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 2 Key Thoughts 1. 2004-5: we created a Design Technology Roadmap –System-level, logic/ckt/physical, DFT, Verification, DFM, … –General dependency: PIDS, Yield, Interconnect, A&P,… 2. 2005-6: were creating a Systems Driver roadmap –Consumer, stationary, networking, automotive, … –Driver-specific dependency: PIDS, interconnect, A&P,… 3. Added value = design technology + design innovation –Design technology: general value add –Design innovation: driver-specific value add more than Moore

3. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 3 Design Chapter

4. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 4 Summary of Update 1. 2005: First quantitative DT roadmap Worlds first roadmap for DT industry 2. 2006: revisions of figures, dates, and challenge items System-Level, Verification, other More sections include table relating challenges-solutions 3. 2007: increasing alternative integration methods More than Moore Heterogenous systems, system-in-package (SIP), etc.

5. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 5 System Drivers Chapter

6. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 6 Summary of Update 1. 2005: Added consumer mobile driver First new driver not based on microprocessors 2. 2006: added/updated drivers Consumer stationary driver complete Started networking driver 3. 2007: complete system driver roadmap Complete networking driver, update office (processor) driver Add rest of drivers (medical, defense, automotive)

7. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 7 ITRS-iNEMI Domain Space Chip levelSystem level Tech requirements Market requirements iNEMI (emulators) ITRS (Drivers)

8. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 8 Technology Waves And (VC) Investment Mainframe / Mini PC/ Client/ server Internet Telco Enterprise Digital media Emerging Geos Consumer Digital Bio Medical Cleantech 70s80s90s2000s2010s $20+B /year Source: insight from Top VCs including Walden $5+B /year

9. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 9 Market Drivers Starting To Drive Roadmap Network Consumer Portable Office Medical Automotive Consumer stationary Defense MPU PE(DSP) AMS Memory Fabrics Markets 200620072006 2007

10. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 10 Market Drivers As Value Adders Fabric Driver Fabric Driver PIDSModeling Canonical block InterconnectA&P Technology scaling Design innovation Product value Consumer stationary driver Normalized performance 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 -- #DPEs, other -- Intrinsic switching speed -- Performance Requirements & solutions

11. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 11 Driver Template Driver parameterExampleUnits Market requirements (customers AND suppliers) Cost, Performance Energy consumption / battery life Time to market Reliability, environmental? $ / unit Pages / sec Hours Months Years Critical design requirements Power, Area, Time per operation / clock speed Latency / throughput / bandwidth Design productivity Hours of operation Environmental constraints Watts, mm 2 ns,GHz Gbps PY/ mm 2 Hours Critical design parameters Memory size / bandwidth # processing units, redundant units Size and clock speed/BW of each unit Number of pins Bytes mm 2

12. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 12 System (Market) Drivers Working Table DriverMarket ST/LT requirements Design requirements Design parameters Office/PC (processor) (General) Performance Clock cycle MIPS, FLOPS #of cores memory Consumer (portable) Energy cost W, hours of operation (energy) # of cores, voltage, clock cycle, etc. Consumer (stationary) (Media/emerg) performance Frames/sec, FLOPS# of SPUs, memory BW, etc., latency Network (comms) Bandwidth G/Tbits/sec# of I/Os, BW per I/O, etc. Automotive (industrial) Reliability Accuracy Years, max/min T, radiation, sensing accuracy % redundancy Medical Heterogeneous Integration? Analog, digital, chemical, bio, sensors, etc. #of (bio, chem) sensors on-chip, Defense Reliability (extreme) Years, max/min T, radiation, Redundancy

13. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 13 Market Drivers Table Process For Each System Driver Identify market requirements Identify key design parameters Select DRIVER requirements Create model Generate data Color data 1 2 3 Select Critical/difficult parameters Power Area Hrs. operation #proc units Size per unit Memory Pins Power Identify design requirements CostPerf. Synch with iNEMI market emulators Industry data

14. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 14 System Drivers ITRS-iNEMI Engagement Model DriverITRSiNEMI Office / large business US TWG (A. Kahng, UCSD) Tom Pearson, Intel Erich Klink, IBM Portable / Consumer Japan TWG (Hiwatashi-san, Toshiba) Susan Noe, 3M Networking / Communications US TWG (Joe Abler, IBM) Tom Pearson, Intel Erich Klink, IBM AutomotiveEU TWGJim Spall, Delphi Aerospace/ Defense TBD 2007William Murphy, Lockheed Martin Medical Products TBD 2007Terry Dishongh, Intel

15. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 15 Generic features of SOC Consumer Stationary Contrast with SOC Consumer Portable SOC Consumer StationarySOC Consumer Portable ( SOC Power Efficient) Core SOC of Consumer Electronics Applications Core SOC of Personal Mobile Electronics Applications Many Data Processing Engines (DPE) with high processing performance to cope with high level functions implemented by SW Many Processing Engines (PE) dedicated for each function to achieve low power IO - Memory IF & Chip-to-Chip IF - Main Processor DPE Main Processor DPE Function A Function B Function C Function D Function E Main Memory PE Main Processor PE Peripherals

16. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 16 Design Trend: # of Processors & Processing Performance Max Processing Performance [TFLOPS]

17. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 17 Design Trend: Power Consumption – SOC Total 600W SOC total power consumption rapidly increases

18. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 18 Channel High-bandwidth host chipHigh-bandwidth switch chip Transmitter core Receiver core A Networking Driver

19. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 19 Chip Structure Very high bandwidth –Key driver Large size Many high-speed I/Os –Mixed signal –Consume lots of power Key components –I/O –Switch fabric –Possible control processor and memory –CMOS technology Switch Fabric Peripherals I/O ProcessorMemory I/O Memory I/O?

20. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 20 Evolution of Key Parameters Bandwidth driver –Combination of technology scaling and bandwidth standards –Assume I/Os dominate driver 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 20062008201020122014201620182020 Gbps 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Gbps Chip bandwidth Per-pin bandwidth

21. ITRS Design ITWG 2006 21 Summary 1. 2005: We created a Design Technology Roadmap –System-level, logic/ckt/phy, DFT, Verification, DFM, –General dependencies: PIDS, yield, interconnect, A&P,… 2. 2006: We started creating a System Drivers Roadmap –Consumer stationary, networking, automotive –Driver-specific dependencies: PIDS, interconnect, A&P,… 3. Added value = design technology + design innovation –Design technology: general value add –Design innovation: driver-specific value add Increased importance of More than Moore