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Presented by David L. Patton, P.E. Current Trends in Renewable Energy: R. W. Beck, Inc. IPED COAL POWER CONFERENCE January 18-19, 2007 St. Petersburg,

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Presentation on theme: "Presented by David L. Patton, P.E. Current Trends in Renewable Energy: R. W. Beck, Inc. IPED COAL POWER CONFERENCE January 18-19, 2007 St. Petersburg,"— Presentation transcript:

1 presented by David L. Patton, P.E. Current Trends in Renewable Energy: R. W. Beck, Inc. IPED COAL POWER CONFERENCE January 18-19, 2007 St. Petersburg, FL Tangible and Intangible Benefits

2 Which Renewable Candidates are Realistic Now? Wind Biomass Fuel Cells Geothermal Hydro Ocean (Tidal, OTEC) Solar (PV, Thermal)

3 Renewable Energy Capacity Trend, 1999 - 2006 Geothermal Solar Wind Biomass (Total) Wood/Wood Waste MSW/Landfill Gas Other Biomass Source: U.S. DOE EIA, August 2005 Year Installed Capacity, MW 0 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10,000 12,000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 14,000

4 U.S. Renewable Electric Generating Capacity 2005 Nuclear 8% Renewables 6% Solar 1% Wind 2% Geothermal 5% Conventional Hydroelectric 46% Biomass 46% Petroleum Fuels 40% Natural Gas 23% Coal 23% Source: U.S. DOE EIA, January 2007

5 Wind Energy – Tangible Benefits No Fuel Price Uncertainty No Fuel Cost Low Operating Cost Relatively Less Complex Mature Wind Turbine Technologies Addresses Environmental Issues Lease Payments Support Family Farms Government Financial Incentives & Grants

6 U.S. Annual Average Wind Resources Map Source: NREL

7 U.S. Annual Wind Generating Capacity: Installed and Projected 0 250 500 750 1000 1250 1500 1750 2000 2250 2500 2750 3000 1981198319851987198919911993199519971999200120032005 MW Installed During Year Source: U.S. DOE Wind Energy Program and AWEA 2007 (projected) 3250 3500

8 Biomass Energy – Tangible Benefits Lower Fuel Costs Addresses Environmental Issues Domestic Sources Local Economic Benefits Mature Biomass/Biogas Process Technologies Government Financial Incentives & Grants

9 Biomass Resource Availability Biomass Fuel for Generation is Widespread Within Most States States with Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) / Goals MA, CT, RI, NJ, DE, MD, DC Source: NREL and PEW Center, Global Climate Change

10 States with Renewable Portfolio Standards (RPS) / Goals Source: NREL and PEW Center, Global Climate Change

11 Intangible Benefits – All Renewables Positive Public Image Desire for Diversified Portfolio Public Support/Perception Political Support Greenhouse Gas Drivers Energy Independence / Security Offset Emissions from Dirtier Energy Sources

12 RPS Goals vs. Renewable Status RPS Year RPS / Goal* Arizona 202515% California 201020% Colorado 201510% Connecticut 201010% Delaware 201910% District of Columbia 202211% Hawaii 202020% Illinois* 20138% Iowa 2007105 MW Maine 200030% Maryland 20197.5% Massachusetts 20094.0% Source: U.S. DOE EIA & PEW Central Global Climate Change, December 2006 * As a percent of state generation or actual generation / use. RPS Year RPS / Goal* Minnesota 201510% Montana 201515% Nevada 201520% New Jersey 202122.5% New Mexico 201110% New York 201324% Pennsylvania 202018% Rhode Island 202015% Texas 20155,880 MW Vermont 201210% Washington 202015% Wisconsin 201510%

13 Summary Realistic Renewable Candidates Renewable Energy Capacity Trends Recent Renewable Capacity Wind Energy – Tangible Benefits Biomass Energy – Tangible Benefits Intangible Benefits – All Renewables RPS Goals

14 Electricity Generation by Fuel, 1980-2030 (billion kilowatt hours) 0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 1980 1990 2005 2020 2030 Nuclear Renewables Coal Natural Gas Petroleum History Projections Source: U.S. DOE EIA

15 Conclusions Biomass and Wind are Currently the Most Commercially Realistic Renewables 25,000 to 50,000 Megawatts New Renewable Energy Capacity Nationwide in Next Decade Policy Consistency and Continuity

16 Questions David L. Patton, P.E. R. W. Beck, Inc. dpatton@rwbeck.com (508) 935-1811 David L. Patton, P.E. R. W. Beck, Inc. dpatton@rwbeck.com (508) 935-1811 IPED COAL POWER CONFERENCE


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