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STATISTICS Joint and Conditional Distributions

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1 STATISTICS Joint and Conditional Distributions
Professor Ke-Sheng Cheng Department of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering National Taiwan University

2 Joint cumulative distribution function
Let be k random variables all defined on the same probability space ( ,A, P[]). The joint cumulative distribution function of , denoted by , is defined as for all 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

3 Discrete joint density
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5 Marginal discrete density
If X and Y are bivariate joint discrete random variables, then and are called marginal discrete density functions. 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

6 Continuous Joint Density Function
The k-dimensional random variable ( ) is defined to be a k-dimensional continuous random variable if and only if there exists a function such that for all is defined to be the joint probability density function. 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

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8 Marginal continuous probability density function
If X and Y are bivariate joint continuous random variables, then and are called marginal probability density functions. 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

9 Conditional distribution functions for discrete random variables
If X and Y are bivariate joint discrete random variables with joint discrete density function , then the conditional discrete density function of Y given X=x, denoted by or , is defined to be 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

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11 Conditional distribution functions for continuous random variables
If X and Y are bivariate joint continuous random variables with joint continuous density function , then the conditional probability density function of Y given X=x, denoted by or , is defined to be 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

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16 Stochastic independence of random variables
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17 Expectation of function of a k-dimensional discrete random variable
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18 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

19 Covariance 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

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21 If two random variables X and Y are independent, then
Therefore, 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

22 However, does not imply that two random variables X and Y are independent.
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23 A measure of linear correlation: Pearson coefficient of correlation
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24 Covariance and Correlation Coefficient
Suppose we have observed the following data. We wish to measure both the direction and the strength of the relationship between Y and X. 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

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31 Examples of joint distributions
Duration and total depth of storm events. (bivariate gamma, non-causal relation) Hours spent for study and test score. (causal relation) 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

32 Bivariate Normal Distribution
Bivariate normal density function 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

33 Conditional normal density
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34 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

35 Bivariate normal simulation I. Using the conditional density
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38 (x,y) scatter plot 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

39 Histogram of X 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

40 Histogram of Y 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

41 Bivariate normal simulation II. Using the PC Transformation
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44 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

45 (x,y) scatter plot 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

46 Histogram of X 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

47 Histogram of Y 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

48 Multivariate normal simulation using R
The mvtnorm package in R dmvnorm rmvnorm pmvnorm qmvnorm 3/27/2017 Laboratory for Remote Sensing Hydrology and Spatial Modeling, Dept of Bioenvironmental Systems Engineering, National Taiwan Univ.

49 Conceptual illustration of Bivariate gamma simulation
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