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Economic Impacts of Salinity in the Central Valley Sacramento Regional Water Quality Control Board State Water Resources Control Board.

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Presentation on theme: "Economic Impacts of Salinity in the Central Valley Sacramento Regional Water Quality Control Board State Water Resources Control Board."— Presentation transcript:

1 Economic Impacts of Salinity in the Central Valley Sacramento Regional Water Quality Control Board State Water Resources Control Board

2 Richard Howitt Resource Economist, University of California, Davis Jonathan Kaplan Economist, California State University, Sacramento Doug Larson Resource Economist, University of California, Davis Duncan MacEwan Graduate Assistant, University of California, Davis Josué Medellin-Azuara Post Doctoral Researcher, University of California, Davis Nancy Lee Consulting Economist, Amherst Gerald Horner Economist, State Water Resources Control Board

3 Objective Economic Impacts of Salinity Accumulations in the Central Valley to 2030 Geographic Scope Major Central Valley Watersheds State Economic Scope General Equilibrium Direct Economic Effects Major Sectors Non-market Economic Effects

4 Estimate the Economic Effects of Salinity in the Central Valley to 2030 Assuming: –Current Policy Parameters Environmental Development-Water and Land Use Economic International –Existing Hydrogeology –No Specific Constituent Analysis One Year Project

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6 Central Valley Regional Water Quality Control Board

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22 Sacramento River Basin San Joaquin River Basin Tulare Lake Basin

23 Friant Kern Canal

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25 Delta-Mendota Canal

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39 Sacramento Basin REMI Model County Configuration

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53 Relative change in the shallow groundwater table ( % /pa-- Shoups 2004).

54 Saline Affected Areas (DWR 2001)

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56 Central Valley Production Model (19 Cells)

57 Baseline Annual Animal Numbers by Basin BasinDairyHogCattleBroilerLayer Sacramento River36,0146,27051,228130,69021,347 San Joaquin River623,8965,13867,2464,156,5728,618,585 Tulare843,7508,29049,00514,005,61013,257 Total1,503,66019,698167,47918,292,8718,653,189

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60 Total Economic Impacts Output Gross Regional Product Income Employment Population Labor Force

61 California:

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64 Decrease in Manufacturing Output: 2030 (Bil 2000$) AreaBasinRegionState Sacramento$ San Joaquin$ Tulare$ Total Central Valley-----$ Rest of California-----$ California----- $0.365

65 Rest of California

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70 Central Valley

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75 Tulare Lake Basin

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80 San Joaquin River Basin

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85 Sacramento River Basin

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