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Sinking in The Perfect Storm SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov.

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Presentation on theme: "Sinking in The Perfect Storm SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov."— Presentation transcript:

1 Sinking in The Perfect Storm SOURCE:

2 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense Sinking in The Perfect Storm The 9 th District of Michigan The Candidates The Campaign The Results SOURCE:

3 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The 9 th District of Michigan Race / Ethnicity 79.5% White 10.0% Black 7.0% Asian 3.5% Hispanic Occupation 75.2% White Collar 14.8% Blue Collar Median Income $71.1k in district $48.6k in state Partisanship Cook Political Report Partisan Voting Index, R Presidential Vote Bush, +2% SOURCE:

4 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense Occupation Insurance agent Political Experience Chairman, Oakland County GOP, First Elected 1992 Committees Appropriations Military Service US Army, SOURCE: bioguide.congress.gov The Candidates: Incumbent Joe Knollenberg

5 Table 1. Congressional Vote Scores for Joe Knollenberg,

6 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense Occupation Financial advisor College professor Political Experience Michigan state senator, Michigan lottery commissioner, Military Service US Navy Reserve, , SOURCE: The Candidates: Challenger Gary Peters

7 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: The Polls

8 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Finances Select Sources Supporting Knollenberg / Attacking Peters Supporting Peters / Attacking Knollenberg Knollenberg Campaign$3.7 million National Association of Realtors$500,000+ National Rifle Association$6,000 Peters Campaign$2.5 million DCCC$1.6 million Service Employees International Union$78,000 Patriot Majority Midwest$450,000 Humane Society of the United States$400,000

9 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Valerie NOTE: Internet access required.

10 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense NOTE: Internet access required. The Campaign: Joe Knollenberg the Go-to-Guy

11 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Gary Peters NOTE: Internet access required.

12 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense NOTE: Internet access required. The Campaign: Setting the Record Straight

13 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense NOTE: Internet access required. The Campaign: The Change Michigan Needs

14 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: This Time is Enough NOTE: Internet access required.

15 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Clobbered NOTE: Internet access required.

16 Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense The Campaign: Humane Society NOTE: Internet access required.

17 The Results

18 Red precincts won by Knollenberg Blue precincts won by Peters White precincts lie outside of district SOURCE: Oakland County Clerk


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