Presentation on theme: "Prepare For The Worst Hope For The Best. Potential and somewhat probable worst case disasters include: Epidemics Epidemics Terrorism Terrorism Tsunamis."— Presentation transcript:
Prepare For The Worst Hope For The Best
Potential and somewhat probable worst case disasters include: Epidemics Epidemics Terrorism Terrorism Tsunamis Tsunamis Earthquakes Earthquakes Hurricanes Hurricanes Flash Floods Flash Floods Dam Failures Dam Failures
Science Advisory Working Group Provide information relevant to improvements in tsunami hazard mitigation Provide information relevant to improvements in tsunami hazard mitigation
Topic For The Day REVISIONS TO EXISTING INUNDATION ZONES
Data Used For Existing Zones 1946 Aleutians 1946 Aleutians 1952 Kamchatka 1952 Kamchatka 1957 Aleutians 1957 Aleutians 1960 Chile 1960 Chile 1964 Alaska 1964 Alaska
Question: Are existing zones adequate?
Keys To An Answer: Historical Data Historical Data Modeling Modeling
TABLE 1 Largest Runups and Other Runup Values of Interest in the Hawaiian Islands for Large Pacific-Wide Tsunamis*
TABLE 1 (Cont.) Largest Runups and Other Runup Values of Interest in the Hawaiian Islands for Large Pacific-Wide Tsunamis*
Conclusion Bays, streambeds, valleys, low lying areas, and other inland waterways may be especially dangerous
TABLE 2 Comparative Runup Values in Feet for Northern Facing Coastlines in the Hawaiian Islands for Major Tsunamis Originating in the North Pacific*
Implications For Modeling Model everywhere? Model everywhere? Model many places? Model many places? Model at all? Model at all?
TABLE 3 Maximum Reported Runups of 15 or More Meters Near the Source Locations of Large Earthquakes Along Margins of the Pacific, and Maximum Runups in the Hawaiian Islands for Those Tsunamis*
Conclusion WE NEED TO MODEL
What Model? Fai Fai Mader Mader MOST MOST Kowalik Kowalik Japan Japan Others Others