1. Feasibility Analysis By: Professor Wilmer Arellano

2. My experience is that there exists a general psychological tendency to overlook "predictable surprises" as things that happen in the normal course. "Prevention is better than cure" is hardly practiced and it is only when a surprise boils into a crisis that managers react. Hariharan Controller Perstorp Aegis Chemicals Pvt Ltd. http://hbswk.hbs.edu/archive/4540.html

3. Overview Feasibility Definitions Goals Types of Feasibility Feasibility Assessment 1 to 5 Score Weighted Score Pugh’s Method Risk

4. What are we covering today?

5. Definitions for Feasibility The quality of being doable WordNet® 2.1, © 2005 Princeton University A feasibility study is: a detailed analysis of a company and its operations that is conducted in order to predict the results of a specific future course of action. http://www.answers.com/topic/feasibility-study-2

6. Goals Will the project be a success? The objective of a feasibility study is: To find out if a project can be done:

7. Types of Feasibility Technical Resource Economic Schedule Operational Cultural Legal Marketing

8. Technical Feasibility Is the project possible with current technology? Does the technology exist at all? Is it available locally? Can it be obtained? Are fundamentally new inventions required? How much Technical Risk is there?

9. Resource Feasibility Do we have sufficient skills? Do we have sufficient equipment? Do we have sufficient number of people? How much Resource Risk is there?

10. Economic Feasibility Is the project possible, given resource constraints? Do we have the funds? Do we have a sponsor? How much Economic Risk is there?

11. Next two optional No need to include in your proposal

12. Economic Feasibility Is the project possible, given resource constraints? What benefits will result from the system? Both tangible and intangible benefits Quantify them! What are the development and operational costs? Are the benefits worth the costs? How much Economic Risk is there?

13. Economic Feasibility Tangible Benefits Readily quantified as $ values, examples: decreased costs increased sales error reductions increased throughput/efficiency increased margin on sales more effective use of staff time Intangible benefits Difficult to quantify, but maybe more important, examples: improved staff morale increased flexibility of operation higher quality products/services better customer relations

14. Schedule Feasibility What are the chances of meeting the intermediate mileposts? What are the chances of meeting the PDR (Preliminary Design Review) requirements? What are the chances of meeting the CDR (Critical Design Review) requirements?

15. Feasibility Analysis The PDR is a multi-disciplined technical review to ensure that the system under review can proceed into detailed design, and can meet the stated performance requirements within cost (program budget), schedule (program schedule), risk, and other system constraints. The CDR is a multi-disciplined technical review to ensure that the system under review can proceed into system fabrication, demonstration, and test; and can meet the stated performance requirements within cost (program budget), schedule (program schedule), risk, and other system constraints. http://akss.dau.mil/dag/TOC_GuideBook.asp?sNode= R4-3-3-4-4&Exp=Y

16. Cultural Feasibility Social acceptability? Will there be a positive impact on the local culture.

17. Cultural Feasibility For the purpose of your proposal: Include questions on Cultural Feasibility on your survey

18. Cultural Feasibility Part of your findings will go in the feasibility section Use your new knowledge and include a Cultural Feasibility item in your Feasibility Analysis.

19. Cultural Feasibility Part of your findings will go in a different section. Use your new knowledge to write a strong and persuasive social impact section.

20. Legal Feasibility Organizational conflicts and policies? Laws or regulations impeding the Project? Laws of regulation limiting the project

21. Legal Feasibility For the purpose of your proposal: Do a search to find out laws or rules that may oppose or limit your project Include a Legal Feasibility item in your analysis in your Feasibility section

22. Marketing Feasibility Will the general public accept the product?

23. Marketing Feasibility

24. Include questions on Marketing Feasibility on your survey Use the information provided by the users on the survey and add a Marketing Feasibility item in your feasibility assessment table. Write a separate section of your proposal about Marketability. Provide strong arguments of your project Marketability

25. Next slide is optional No need to include in your proposal

26. Operational Feasibility Urgency of the problem and the acceptability of any solution: If the system is developed, will it be used? Potential labor objections? Manager resistance?

27. Feasibility Assessment Feasibility is Measured Against Attributes Pugh’s Method. All attributes has the same weight. Count + vs. – 1 to 5 Scale. By using a scale we can obtain information of the possible causes for failure Weighted Scale. Same as 1 to 5 scale the different attributes contribute to the total in different proportion. (The one we use)

28. Pugh’s Method Example For reference only, do not use.

29. 1 to 5 Scale Example For reference only, do not use.

30. Weighted Scale Example This is not a template, use your own attributes. Use this method.

31. Fit your table in one page It looks better

32. Obtaining Weights Example 1

33. Weighted Scale Example 1 This is not a template, use your own attributes

34. Obtaining Weights Example 2

35. Weighted Scale Example 2 This is not a template, use your own attributes

36. Follow your Analysis Trust yourself!

37. Remember You must include all the feasibility items, not just the ones in my examples

38. Remember Use your own attributes, do not copy and paste from the slides

39. Risk The possibility of suffering loss Risk involves uncertainty and loss: Uncertainty: The degree of certainty about whether the risk will happen. Loss: If the risk becomes a reality, unwanted consequences or losses will occur.

40. Risk Categories Technical Resource Economic Schedule Cultural Legal Marketing Operational

41. Proactive Risk Management “The purpose of risk management is to identify potential problems before they occur so that action can be taken to reduce or eliminate the likelihood and/or impact of these problems should they occur.”

42. Risk Assessment Risk Exposure Matrix Clear and well defined risk acceptance thresholds are required in order to define the level of risk that can be tolerated. The Exposure Matrix can be used to prevent entering into a project You may use a fishbone diagram to discover risks

43. Risk Management In ongoing projects, the Exposure Matrix can be used to as a managing tool Class I: Risks that are below the risk acceptance threshold and do not require active management Class II: Risks that lie on the risk acceptance threshold and require active monitoring Class III: Risks that exceed the risk acceptance threshold and require proactive management Class IV: Risks that significantly exceed the risk acceptance threshold and urgent and immediate attention if they happen

44. Avoid Class IV Risks! They Can make you: Unsuccessful Unhappy

45. Fault Tree Analysis

46. What you need to do Use a fault tree analysis to determine your risks. Use a Risk Exposure Matrix to asses your risks Create contingency plans Write the corresponding section on the proposal

47. Continuous Risk Management

48. References http://www.cs.toronto.edu/~sme/CSC340F/slides/05- feasibility.pdf http://www.cdf.toronto.edu/~csc340h/winter/ Dorofee, A. J., Walker, J. A., Alberts, C. J., Higuera, R. P., Murray, T. J., and Williams, R. J. Continuous Risk Management Guidebook. Pressman, R. S. 1997. Software Engineering: A Practitioner’s Approach. New York, USA: McGraw Hill. Risk analysis and management guidance June 2005, www.riotinto.com

49. Review Definitions Goals Types of feasibility Feasibility Assessment 1 to 5 Score Weighted Score Pugh’s Method Risk

50. & & Q uestions A nswers