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Conducting Sound On-Farm Research

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Presentation on theme: "Conducting Sound On-Farm Research"— Presentation transcript:

1 Conducting Sound On-Farm Research
2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service Conducting Sound On-Farm Research Dr. Pierce A. Paul The Ohio State University/OARDC Department of Plant Pathology 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

2 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service
Outline Designing an On-Farm Trial Experimental design CRD, RCBD, Split-plot Data Analysis Interpreting Results Case Study – Fungicide Effect on Yield Field trials Analyzing data and interpreting results Baseline yield and foliar disease effect Economic analysis 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

3 Experimental Design and Layout
2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

4 Designing An On-Farm Trial
Research Question Decide on treatments and check(s) Non-”treated” check Universal resistant/susceptible variety/hybrid Experimental design and layout Replication (n) and randomization Data Collection and analysis Interpretation of results Presentation of findings 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

5 Experimental Design, Measurement Scale
Layouts Measurement scales 1-way 2-way factorial Split plot Repeated measures Continuous Discrete (count) Binary (0, 1) Ordinal (ordered categories) The experiment design and measurement scale affect the type of analysis that can and should be done. 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

6 One-way Layout Complete Randomized Design
C_3 B_2 A_2 C_1 A_3 B_1 C_2 A_1 B_3 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

7 One-way Layout Randomized Complete Block Design
2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

8 One-way Layout Randomized Complete Block Design
Field Snyder Farm Wooster, Ohio Check Treated SR250 Left Side Center-left Center-right Right Side Gradient 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

9 One-way Layout Randomized Complete Block Design
Left Side Center-left Center-right Right Side Check Treated Field Snyder Farm Wooster, Ohio SR250 Gradient 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

10 One-way Layout Randomized Complete Block Design
Wooster Defiance Van Wert Columbus Check Treated Check Treated Check Treated Check Treated 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

11 One-way Layout Randomized Complete Block Design
Wooster 2003 Wooster 2010 Wooster 2004 Wooster 2012 Check Treated Check Treated Check Treated Check Treated 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

12 One-way Layout Randomized Complete Block Design
What are Blocks (blocking factors)? Locations within a field Soil type, moisture gradient, Microclimate etc. Varieties/hybrids within a field Fields within a county/state/country Time - Year/Growing season Combinations of the above Uniformity/homogeneity within blocks 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

13 ONE BLOCK OF AN EXPERIMENT
Two-way Factorial Two factors (treatments) Variety (three levels) Green, Red and Blue Fungicide (three levels) Check, horizontal, and vertical NINE treatment combinations ONE BLOCK OF AN EXPERIMENT FIELD EXPERIMENT 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

14 ONE BLOCK OF AN EXPERIMENT
Split-plot Layout Two factors (treatments) Variety (three levels) Green, Red and Blue Fungicide (three levels) Check, horizontal, and vertical NINE treatment combinations ONE BLOCK OF AN EXPERIMENT 15 ft 65 ft 30 ft 30 ft FIELD EXPERIMENT 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

15 Split-plot Data Analysis
What if I did not realize or ignored the fact that the experiment was a split plot proc mixed data=Demo; title2 'Incorrect model specification'; class Variety Block Fungicide; model Yield = Variety Fungicide Variaty*Fungicide; run; I know that the experiment was a split plot proc mixed data=Demo; title2 'Correct model specification'; class Variety Block Fungicide; model Yield = Variety Fungicide Variaty*Fungicide; random Block(Variety); run; 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

16 Split-plot Data Analysis
What if I did not realize or ignored the fact that the experiment was a split plot Effect DF DF F Value Pr > F Variety Fungicide Variety*Fungicide I know that the experiment was a split plot Effect DF DF F Value Pr > F Variety Fungicide Variety*Fungicide 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

17 Inter-plot Interference
Spray Spray How do we deal with it? Leave untreated strip (border) between plots Leave wide space between plots Remove outer rows and collect data on center rows only Adjust the spray boom? Prosaro Check Headline 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

18 BEFORE you conduct your experiment, not after you collect data!!
SEEK HELP: BEFORE you conduct your experiment, not after you collect data!! 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

19 Presenting and Interpreting Results
2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

20 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service
Interpreting Graphs 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

21 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service
Interpreting Graphs 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

22 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service
Interpreting Graphs 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

23 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service
Interpreting Graphs 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

24 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service
Interpreting Graphs 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

25 A CASE STUDY: Corn Yield Response to Foliar Fungicides
2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

26 Evaluating Yield Response
Widely Marketed Fungicides for field corn Class Common name Trade name(s) DMI (Triazole) Propiconazole Tilt, Bumper, Propimax Prothioconazole Proline Tebuconazole Folicur QoI (Strobilurin) Azoxystrobin Quadris Pyraclostrobin Headline Mixed Mode of Action Azoxystrobin + Propiconazole Quilt, Quilt Xcel Trifloxystrobin + Propiconazole Stratego Trifloxystrobin + Prothioconazole Stratego YLD Pyraclostrobin + Metconazole Headline AMP 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

27 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service
Introduction Cost and Benefits of using foliar fungicides Why use foliar fungicides (Benefits)? Disease control Yield increase Disease control without yield increase Yield increase with little or no disease Cost of using foliar fungicide Financial - Product and application costs Benefits do not always offset costs Fungicide resistance Loss of efficacy against diseases 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

28 Evaluating Yield Response
In ~ 1.6 million acres sprayed Application Cost: $23.00 = $36,800,000.00 Corn price: $3.30/bu Breakeven: 7bu/A 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

29 Evaluating Yield Response
Concerns/Questions Increased production cost Fungicide resistance concerns Environment, health and safety concerns Yield and economic benefits of foliar fungicides Is there a positive yield response? Under what conditions is a positive response most likely? Is the response sufficient to offset application cost? 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

30 Evaluating Yield Response
Foliar fungicide trials Raw data from fungicide research and on-farm trials Data from published foliar fungicide trials Fungicide and Nematicide Tests (F&N Tests) Plant Disease Management Reports (PDMR) A total of 212 studies from 14 states (RCBD) 187 as raw data and 25 as F&N/PDMR summaries Fungicides (3-6 replicate blocks) Headline (23.6% pyraclostrobin ) Stratego (11.4% propiconazole % trifloxystrobin) Quilt (7% azoxystrobin % propiconazole) Quadris (22.9% azoxystrobin) 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

31 Evaluating Yield Response
Foliar fungicide trials – Average Yield 250 290 220 200 200 180 160 150 150 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

32 Evaluating Yield Response Research Synthesis – Integrating Results
A measure of fungicide effect on yield YieldDiff (D) = YieldTreated − YieldCheck Meta-analysis: Essentially a method of obtaining weighted averages of yield difference 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

33 Variable Yield Response to Foliar Fungicides
2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

34 Mean Yield Response to Foliar Fungicides
2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

35 Why such high variability?
Different Disease (pest) pressure Soil type (fertility) Weather conditions Hybrid Yield potential and Resistance Other factors 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

36 Why such high variability?
Weather Nitrogen Hybrid - Genetics Previous crop Plant Population Tillage Growth Regulator - Strobilurins From Dr. Fred Below,

37 Hybrid Baseline Yield Effect
Baseline (actual) yield affected by: Genetics Soil and Weather conditions - fertility Pest and disease pressure Trials grouped by yield Less than 145 bu/A Between 145 and 190 bu/A Greater than 190 bu/A 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

38 Hybrid Baseline Yield Effect
2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

39 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service
Foliar Disease Effect Foliar Diseases Affect: Crop Growth and Development Green leaf area - photosynthesis Stalk strength Effect depends on disease level Trials grouped by Ear Leaf Disease Severity (GLS, NCLB, Rust) at R4/R5 Less than 5% Severity Greater than 5% Severity 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

40 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service
Foliar Disease Effect 9.67 bu 3.3 bu 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

41 Chance of Recovering Fungicide and Application Cost
What is the chance (probability) of the yield response being sufficient to cover the cost of fungicide application? Average yield difference Breakeven yield 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

42 Chance of Recovering Fungicide and Application Cost
If application cost is $25/acre and Grain price is $4/bushel Then, YLDB = 6.3 bushels When Disease < 5% D = 3.30 bu/A When Disease > 5% D = 9.67 bu/A 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

43 Chance of Recovering Fungicide and Application Cost
Grain price $4/bu vs. $7/bu Chance of breakeven 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

44 Chance of Recovering Fungicide and Application Cost
Disease < 5% vs. > 5% Chance of breakeven 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

45 Chance of Recovering Fungicide and Application Cost
Grain price $7/bu + Disease > 5% Chance of breakeven Grain price $4/bu + Disease < 5% 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

46 Chance of Recovering Fungicide and Application Cost
2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

47 Chance of Recovering Fungicide and Application Cost
2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

48 IS THERE AN APP FOR THIS STUFF?
OKAY!!! IS THERE AN APP FOR THIS STUFF? 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

49

50 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service
Acknowledgements L. V. Madden, The Ohio State University/OARDC C. A. Bradley, University of Illinois A. E. Robertson, Iowa State University P. D. Esker, University of Wisconsin G. P. Munkvold, Iowa State University G. Shaner, Purdue University K. A. Wise, Purdue University D. K. Malvick, University of Minnesota T. W. Allen, Mississippi State University/DREC Grybauskas, University of Maryland P. Vincelli, University of Kentucky 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service

51 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service
Acknowledgements We gratefully acknowledge and appreciate the financial support for this project from: (1) USDA-NIFA Project No (“Development of IPM-Based Corn Fungicide Guidelines for the North Central States”) and (2) USDA-NIFA Project No (“Sustainable Disease Management on Field Corn in the U.S. Corn Belt”) We gratefully acknowledge and appreciate funding for this project from USDA-NIFA programs 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service 2013 Agronomic Crops In-Service


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