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Major Holocaust Poll Shows Bias Case study of a flawed survey.

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Presentation on theme: "Major Holocaust Poll Shows Bias Case study of a flawed survey."— Presentation transcript:

1 Major Holocaust Poll Shows Bias Case study of a flawed survey

2 Survey Results: Holocaust Doubters In April 1993, newspapers across the country reported "chilling" news: 22% of American adults surveyed in a major public opinion poll said they thought it was possible that "the Nazi extermination of the Jews" never happened. An additional 12% percent of adult respondents in the survey -- sponsored by the American Jewish Committee and conducted by the Roper organization -- said they did not know if it was possible or impossible.

3 "What have we done?" asked a stunned Elie Wiesel, famous writer and Holocaust survivor. "We have been working for years and years […] I am shocked that 22 percent -- oh, my..."

4 Flawed Wording Results of the AJC/Roper survey were inaccurate Question 16: "Does it seem possible or does it seem impossible to you that the Nazi extermination of the Jews never happened?" – confusing compound structure – double negative wording Likely some 992 adults and 506 high school students surveyed may have believed that the Nazis exterminated millions of Jews but nevertheless agreed that it "seems" impossible.

5 Revision AJC redid the poll: – "Does it seem possible to you that the Nazi extermination of the Jews never happened, or do you feel certain that it happened?" The results of the second poll: Only about one percent of Americans thought it was possible the Holocaust never happened, while eight percent were unsure.

6 To learn Polls and surveys can provide important information about the public's beliefs. But to be valid, they must be well-structured. We should always look for information about: – the sample size – representativeness of the population – whether the participants were random or self- selected – and so on.


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