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Economics of Environmental Policy

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Presentation on theme: "Economics of Environmental Policy"— Presentation transcript:

1 Economics of Environmental Policy

2 Environmental Policies
Decentralized Policies Liability Laws and Property Rights Moral Suasion Command and Control Emission Standards Technology Standards Incentive-Based Policies Emission charges Subsidies Tradable discharge permits

3 Criteria for Evaluating Policies
Efficiency Cost Effectiveness Fairness Incentives for Technological Improvements Enforceability Morality

4 Rational central planning is impossible
Efficiency Maximum net benefits Requires balancing MAC and MD Decentralized……………….Centralized Hayek’s critique Rational central planning is impossible Cost Effectiveness: When damages (benefits) can’t easily be measured

5 Garden of Eden Adam Eve 12 9 3 5 4 8 Adam and Eve in the Garden of Eden, by Titian (c. 1550)

6 Which allocation would you choose?
Adam Eve 12 9 3 5 4 8 Choice One Choice Two Choice Three Choice Four Choice Five Tradeoff: Efficiency vs. Fairness ? 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

7 Distribution of Net Benefits
Fairness Distribution of benefits/costs across regions, incomes, race, etc Distribution of Net Benefits Program Total Cost Total Benefits Net Benefits Low Income High Income A 50 100 25 B 30 20 C 140 90 70 D 45

8 If you could impose any of the four Programs, which would you choose?
Program A Program B Program C Program D Distribution of Net Benefits Program Total Cost Total Benefits Net Benefits Low Income High Income A 50 100 25 B 30 20 C 140 90 70 D 45 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

9 Distribution of Net Benefits
If your choices were limited to Program C or Program A, which would you choose? Program A Program C Distribution of Net Benefits Program Total Cost Total Benefits Net Benefits Low Income High Income A 50 100 25 B 30 20 C 140 90 70 D 45 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

10 Incentives for Technological Improvements
Shift the MAC curve down MAC1 MD1 MAC2 E2 E1 E0 Emissions

11 Incentives for Technological Improvements
Incentives for private sector to innovate Profit motive New ideas are a public good  undersupply problem Pollution Control industry: “envirotech” Driven by regulations and profit motive

12 Enforceability Enforcement is costly Reliance on self-reporting
Monitoring Sanctioning Courts Fines  Paradox of the Reluctant Enforcer

13 Moral Considerations Right vs. wrong Taxes vs. Subsidies vs. Permits
The Animal Liberation Front (ALF) carries out direct action against animal abuse in the form of rescuing animals and causing financial loss to animal exploiters, usually through the damage and destruction of property.

14 Decentralized Policies
Liability Laws Property Laws Voluntary action

15 Liability Law Polluters must compensate those harmed
Provides incentive to make careful decisions “internalize the externality”

16 Which of the following situations would provide a system of liability rules the best chance for generating an efficient level of emissions? many people are involved, causal links are clear, and damages are difficult to measure. few people are involved, causal links are clear, and damages are difficult to measure. many people are involved, causal links are muddy, and damages are easy to measure. few people are involved, causal links are clear, and damages are easy to measure. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

17 Liability Law… Suppose firm is liable for pollution damages
$ MAC1 MD1 d b c Emissions E* E0 Suppose firm is liable for pollution damages At E0: TD = b + c + d Reducing emissions reduces Damage Liability (saves “c+d”) Reducing emissions increases Abatement Costs (costs “c”) Threat of lawsuit could encourage optimal emissions

18 Common Law Legal Doctrines Burden of Proof? Standard of Proof?
Strict Liability Liable for damages regardless the circumstances Negligence Liable only if appropriate precautions are not taken Burden of Proof? Burden is on victims Statute of limitations Standard of Proof? Direct causal link must be established Difficult given the probabilistic nature of many exposures

19 Examples Best Case Scenario for Common Law Smoking “causes” cancer?
Exxon Valdez “caused” shoreline damages? Particular power plant “caused” SO2 damages? Best Case Scenario for Common Law Few people involved, causal link is clear, damages easily measured

20 Under a system of negligent liability, a firm disposing hazardous materials into a river would:
be liable for any damages regardless of the circumstances. be liable for any damages only if the firm did not take reasonable steps to avoid damage. not be liable for any damages. none of the above. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

21 Statutory Law Legislative enacted laws Example: #4 from Problem Set
Tax-financed victim’s fund (Netherlands) Law for the Compensation of Pollution-Related Health Injury (Japan) CERCLA (US) Example: #4 from Problem Set

22 In March a small dump truck overturned in Marietta, Ohio, littering the street with cow parts. A smaller shipment fell off of a truck on the same street the following week, running the total of cow-parts spills to four within a year. Said City Councilwoman Katie McGlynn, "I would just like to know why this continues to happen. Maybe we need a stronger ordinance to make this a more serious crime." [Marietta Times, July 1993] 4. Accidents with trucks carrying cow renderings are fairly common in Marietta. Suppose regulators enact a rule requiring that the perpetrators of such an accident be liable for a sum equal to the average damages of all such accidents in the industry. Would this lead trucking companies to take the socially efficient amount of precaution against such accidents? Explain.

23 1991 Nobel Prize in Economics
Property Rights Coase Theorem If property rights are well-defined and transactions costs low, then private bargaining will lead to an efficient allocation of resources Corollary: efficient allocation does not depend on initial allocation of property rights Conditions “well-defined” property rights low transactions costs complete markets Ronald Coase 1991 Nobel Prize in Economics

24 A factory's production process creates sludge which pours into a river
A factory's production process creates sludge which pours into a river. This sludge makes it difficult to fish in the river, increasing the costs of the local fishermen by $ The factory can install a water filter system for $4500, and the fishermen can utilize a weighted fishing net system (to get under the sludge) for $ Both systems would remedy the sludge damage to the fishermen. a) Suppose transactions costs are zero. If the factory is not liable and can continue to produce sludge, what outcome do you predict and why? b) Suppose transactions costs are zero. If the factory is assigned liability for sludge damage, what outcome do you predict and why? c) Now suppose transactions costs preclude the possibility of private bargaining between the factory and fishermen. If a pollution tax is levied on the factory with the proceeds given to the fishermen, then what outcome do you predict and why? d) How do your answers to parts (a), (b), and (c) change if the cost of the water filter system was $3500? e) Discuss the results of parts (a), (b), (c), and (d) in terms of the Coase Theorem.

25 Voluntary Action Moral suasion Informal community pressure

26 Command and Control Policies
Mandate behavior coupled with enforcement Examples Speed limits Minimum age restrictions Minimum wage Why are standards popular? Simple and direct Moral appeal

27 Ambient Standards Never exceed level of a pollutant in ambient environment DO can not fall below 3ppm Expressed in terms of average concentration over time SO2: μg/m3 annual; μg/m3 daily Can’t be enforced directly; must monitor emissions that lead to AQ levels

28 Emissions  Environment  AQ
Emission Standards Never exceed levels applied directly to quantities of emissions Expressed in terms of quantity per time Tons per week Grams per hour Emissions  Environment  AQ Meteorlogical Hydrological Human decisions

29 Technology Standards Mandated technologies, techniques, and practices
Examples seat belts catalytic converters Scrubbers/baghouses

30 Number of Snowmobiles Allowed (vehicles/day)
Emission Standards Applicable to New Snowmobiles Carbon Monoxide g/kw-hr Hydrocarbons 2005 397 150 2006/2007 275 100 2010 75 2012 200 Yellowstone 2005 120 15 Yellowstone Entry Standards Number of Snowmobiles Allowed (vehicles/day) Clinton 2003 Bush 720 Noise Standards for Yellowstone Decibels Yellowstone 73 db Elsewhere None

31 Economics of Standards
Setting the standard Should EPA consider damages and abatement costs? Zero-Risk? Reasonably small level? Efficient level?  tradeoffs made by using avg. concentration levels over time $ MAC MD Emissions Et E1 E* E0

32 Uniformity of Standards
Geographic differences: MDu > MDr Single standard can’t be efficient  tradeoff: regulatory costs vs efficiency gains $ MDu MAC MDr Emissions Eu Er E0

33 Incentives for Improvements
Technology Standards: no incentive All or nothing! Emission Standards: some incentive Polluters seek to reduce abatement costs Remember: pollution control R&D carried out by pollution-control industry rather than polluting industries themselves

34 If E1 is the standard, then the incentive for R&D = a “cost savings”
$ MAC1 MD MAC2 e d a c b Emissions E2 E1 E0 With MAC1: cost at E1 = a + b If E1 is the standard, then the incentive for R&D = a “cost savings” With MAC2: cost at E1 = b If standard is changed to E2 as new technology is adopted, then incentive to innovate is (a – c) Technology Forcing: If standard is set at E2 from the start then incentive to Innovate is (a + d + e)

35 Input Standards or Output Standards?
Total Emissions = Total Output X Inputs used per unit of output Emissions per unit of input E = [Q] x [Inputs/Q] x [E/Inputs] Auto Emissions = [# Vehicles] x [Miles/Vehicle] x [Emissions/Mile] Emission Standards “end of tail pipe”

36 Economics of Enforcement
Monitoring & Sanctioning Costs MPC = Marginal Penalty Curve = P x F x E With MPC1, firm only cuts back to E1 To get to E*, must raise MPC1 to MPC* Raise P Raise F P = probability of detection F = monetary fine E = emissions $ MAC P = 0.25 F = $100/E E = 10,000 MPC = (.25)(100)(10,000) = $250,000 MPC* MPC1 Emissions E* E1 E0

37 How do Standards Hold Up?
Efficiency Cost Effectiveness Fairness Incentives for Technological Improvements Enforceability Morality

38 Incentive-Based Strategies
Emission Taxes Emission Subsidies

39 Emission Taxes Pigouvian taxes
Government sets tax = $t per unit of emissions Polluter has incentive to reduce emissions until MAC = t Standard at E1 would only cost firm area "b"; much less than the tax $ MAC Tax bill t Abatement Cost b Emissions E1 E0

40 [Tax revenues are not included in social cost calculation]
Optimal Tax Optimal t* occurs where MD = MAC MD Reduced damages = e + f MAC Remaining damages = b + d Tax cost = a + b + c + d f t* [Tax revenues are not included in social cost calculation] c a d e b Two-part tax? Allow E1 emissions free E1 E* E0 Apply t* to anything above E1 Tax payment = c + d If MD is unknown, use iterative process: If AQ doesn’t improve  raise t If AQ improves too much  lower t

41 Suppose that society's marginal abatement cost function is given by MAC = E and society's marginal damage function is given by MD = 3E. What is the optimal level of pollution emissions? 50 30 20 10 5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

42 According to the situation above, what would be the optimal per unit pollution tax?
$50 $40 $30 $20 $10 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

43 Efficiency Uniform Emissions Non-Uniform Emissions Firm A Firm B
Equimarginal principle is satisfied efficiency results possible even though agencies may know nothing about MAC at sources (unlike standards, where agencies must know MAC) Non-Uniform Emissions single tax not fully efficient: deals with differences in MAC, but not differences in MD 1 unit reduction by Firm B is better than 1 unit reduction by Firm A Firm A Firm B

44 Zoned Taxes? Warning: reducing emissions through one medium may increase emissions elsewhere

45 Incentive to Innovate MAC1 MAC2 t* c d a b e E2 E1 E0 With tax t*:
MAC1: Cost = (d + e) + (a + b + c) MAC2: Cost = (b + e) + (a) Recall: cost savings for standard at E1 was only d. Cost savings = c + d

46 Enforcement and Examples
Enforcement costs Higher monitoring requirements compared to standards Non-point sources are difficult to monitor/tax Revenues give regulators incentive to monitor Examples CO2 taxes: Scandinavia State emission fees for criteria pollutants

47 South Coast AQMD For emissions in Calendar Year 2008
Annual Emissions (tons/yr) Organic Gases ($/ton) Specific Organics ($/ton) Nitrogen Oxides ($/ton) Sulfur Oxides ($/ton) Carbon Monoxide ($/ton) Particulate Matter ($/ton) 4 – 25 $517.08 $92.52 $302.52 $358.65 -- $395.41 > 25 – 75 $839.53 $146.58 $480.53 $579.77 $640.70 > 75 $1, $219.87 $723.70 $870.45 $959.28 > 100 $6.18 Source: South Coast AQMD, Rule 301, Table III. Available at

48 Enforcement and Examples
Enforcement costs Higher monitoring requirements compared to standards Non-point sources are difficult to monitor/tax Revenues give regulators incentive to monitor Examples CO2 taxes: Scandinavia State emission fees for criteria pollutants tax on cars to control auto emissions total emissions per year = (E/mile) x (# miles per year) Gasoline taxes

49 Federal tax is 18.4 cents per gallon
Source:

50

51 Tax the input, rather than output
More examples… Non-point sources Agricultural runoff pesticides fertilizer Distortions? Trash stickers pack more garbage into each bag tax on house windows Tax the input, rather than output

52 Distributional Concerns
Regulatory costs may be passed on to consumers through higher prices to workers through reduced employment (and lower wages) S2 $ S1 P2 P1 D1 Quantity Q2 Q1

53 Subsidies Types Examples: technology subsidies abatement subsidies
while emissions per firm may go down, new firms may be attracted to the industry! Examples: deposit refund systems: Cars Batteries Bottles/cans Tax credits 5¢: CA, CT, DE, HI, IA, ME, MA, NY, OR, VT 10¢: MI

54 Current Models Make Model Estimated Tax Credit Chevrolet Malibu Hybrid
$1,300 Tahoe Hybrid $2,200 Ford Escape Hybrid (2wd) $3,000 Escape Hybrid (4wd) GMC Yukon Hybrid Honda Civic Hybrid (auto) $2,100 Lexus RX 400h GS 450h $1,550 Mercedes GL 320 Bluetec (clean diesel) $1,800 Mercury Mariner Hybrid (2wd) Nissan Altima $2,350  Saturn Vue Green Line $ 650 Saturn Aura Green Line Toyota Camry Hybrid $2,600 Highlander Hybrid Prius $3,150 Volkswagen Jetta TDI (clean diesel)

55 Pollution Worksheet Marietta-Parkersburg area emissions:
Current emissions = 90,000 units Optimal emissions = 60,000 units Marginal Abatement Cost Cars: $5 Utilities: $10 Factories: $20 Controlling pollution through: Standards Taxes Tradable Permits

56 Standards Set a maximum emissions of 20,000 units per source: 20,000
ABATED ABATEMENT COSTS CARS UTILITIES FACTORIES TOTAL 20,000 20,000 10,000 $100,000 20,000 20,000 $400,000 60,000 30,000 $500,000

57 Standards Require each source to cut emissions by 10,000 units: 10,000
ABATED ABATEMENT COSTS CARS UTILITIES FACTORIES TOTAL 10,000 10,000 $50,000 20,000 10,000 $100,000 30,000 10,000 $200,000 60,000 30,000 $350,000

58 Standards Require each source to cut emissions by 1/3: 13,333 6,667
ABATED ABATEMENT COSTS CARS UTILITIES FACTORIES TOTAL 13,333 6,667 $ 33,335 20,000 10,000 $100,000 26,667 13,333 $266,660 60,000 30,000 $399,995

59 Standards “$200,000 Solution”
Cost-minimizing strategy of reducing emissions by 60,000 units. SOURCE EMISSIONS ABATED ABATEMENT COSTS CARS UTILITIES FACTORIES TOTAL 20,000 $100,000 20,000 10,000 $100,000 40,000 60,000 30,000 $200,000 “$200,000 Solution”

60 Taxes A tax of t = $6 per unit of pollution is imposed: 20,000
SOURCE EMISSIONS ABATED ABATEMENT COSTS TAX COSTS CARS UTILITIES FACTORIES TOTAL 20,000 $100,000 30,000 $180,000 40,000 $240,000 70,000 20,000 $100,000 $420,000

61 Taxes A tax of t = $11 per unit of pollution is imposed: 20,000
SOURCE EMISSIONS ABATED ABATEMENT COSTS TAX COSTS CARS UTILITIES FACTORIES TOTAL 20,000 $100,000 30,000 $300,000 40,000 $440,000 40,000 50,000 $400,000 $440,000

62 Tradable Permits S “$200,000 Solution” D $ F U Auction Revenue C = MAC
Abatement Cost U $10 P = $10 Q = 60,000 Auction Revenue C $5 D = MAC 40 60 70 90 permits “$200,000 Solution”

63 Tradable Discharge Permits
TDPs rely on decentralized cooperation Central authority sets aggregate # permits (CAP) Each polluter is allocated certain number of emission permits Each permit allows 1 ton of SO2 Polluter must then make a choice: Reduce emissions to level covered by allocated permits Reduce emissions below original permit level, then sell excess permits Buy additional permits (to enable expanded production)

64 Permit Market Buyers Sellers New firms
Existing firms looking to expand Sellers Firms leaving area/industry Those who’ve invested in efficient technology $ S P* D Q* Permits Permits flow from low MAC polluters to high MAC polluters so as to satisfy equimarginal principle 2008 Spot Auction yr Advance Auction

65

66 Trading Rules Should be simple and clear to minimize uncertainty
Initial Permit Allocation? Equal allocation? Ignores differences in firm size According to existing emissions? Ignores that some firms have already cut emissions Give away or auction? Coase Theorem

67 Trading Rules… Who may participate? How will trades take place?
Local, regional, national, international polluters? Environmental groups? Speculators? How will trades take place? Sealed bids for annual EPA auction Brokers are used for secondary markets Do regulators have veto power?

68 Potential Problems Market power Thin markets Permit life span
Hot spots (non-uniform emissions) Tradeoff: competitive markets vs. enviro damage Urban Area “transfer coefficient” B C A D Prevailing Wind

69 Enforcement EPA must monitor:
Number of permits in possession of each polluter CBOT Quantity of emissions from each source Incentive for polluters to monitor each other to prevent cheating (reduces demand for permits)

70 Incentives for Innovation
$ Permit price = $50 $200 MAC1 MAC1 = E1 MAC2 = 100 – E2 MAC2 $100 $50 c d a b e TAC with MAC1 = d + e = $625 50 75 100 emissions TAC with MAC2 = b + e = $1250 Revenue from TDP = b + c = $1250 Cost Savings = (d+e) – (b+e) + (b+c) = d + c = $625 Cost savings as good as emission taxes

71 Which of the following is a criterion for evaluating environmental policies?
efficiency fairness incentives to improvements enforceability All of the above

72 Private bargaining can lead people to the efficient outcome if
transactions costs are low and property rights are well defined transactions costs are high and property rights are ill defined transactions costs are high and property rights are well defined transactions costs are low and property rights are ill defined

73 The two defining features of command-and-control regulation are
cost-effectiveness and flexible standards pollution taxes and marketable permits uniform standards and technology-based regulations monitoring and compliance

74 Emission taxes are generally regarded as efficient since
they raise the maximum amount of revenue possible for the IRS they encourage all pollution sources to completely eliminate their emissions they require environmental regulators to know the individual source marginal abatement they encourage all pollution sources to adjust their emissions so that the equimarginal principle is satisfied.

75 Emission taxes are more likely to be effective when applied to
nonpoint sources of pollution point sources of pollution

76 Marketable pollution permits require a slightly more complex system when there are geographic differences in pollution effects. One possible approach to designing a system of permits would be to: use technology-based standards in conjunction with the permits auction off the permits one-by-one over time until all permits have been allocated simply give the permits away to polluters based on their historic emissions rate establish separate markets for each subregion


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