1. Successful policy mixes to tackle the impact of rising inequalities on children: an EU-wide comparison - early draft - András Gábos TÁRKI Social Research Institute GINI YEAR-ONE CONFERENCE WP 6-3: Policy analysis - Towards an integrated approach Milan, 4-5 February 2011

2. Aim of the paper To comparatively evaluate the outcomes of MSs, their relative performance, and the key challenges in each MS in the field of child poverty and well-being To draw policy conclusions By updating and deepen an existing analysis on ChP & SE in the EU using an analyitical framework that relies on agreed Social OMC indicators being aware that agreed indicators are subject to political and methodological changes

3. 1. What has been done so far? The paper builds on EU Task-Force on ChP and WB in the EU (2008) TÁRKI - Applica (2010) Child mainstreming process within the European Union (started in 2005) Assessing the performance of EU-27 MSs in the field of child poverty in four dimensions Child poverty risk outcomes Joblessness In-work poverty Impact of social transfers

4. Child poverty outcomes At-risk-of-poverty rates (overall population and children) and relative median poverty gap, EU-27, 2008 Source: EUROSTAT, own estimations based on EU-SILC UDB (01.08.2010).

5. Children living in jobless households Share of children (0-17) and adults (18-59 – not students) living in jobless hhs, EU-27*, 2008 Source: EUROSTAT (EU-LFS) *Data for Sweden are from EU-SILC (WI=0.2).

6. Poverty risk of children in in-work hhs EU-27*, 2008 Source: own calculations based on EU-SILC 2008. *No data available for Malta. Data for France are from 2007. In-work households: WI ≥ 0.5

7. The effectiveness of social transfers, EU-27*, 2008 Source: EUROSTAT, own calculations based on EU-SILC 2008 (version 01.03.2010). The effectiveness of social transfers (excl. pensions), EU-27, 2008

8. Child poverty outcomes – country clusters Indicators included in this task: at-risk-of-poverty rate relative median poverty gap both based on EU-SILC z-scores based on the difference between the national figure for children and the overall national figure the difference between the national figure and the EU average for children z-scores added together, without weighting Six clusters to maximise the “steps” between the groups to minimise the variations within the groups

9. Relative outcomes of countries related to child poverty risk and main determinants Group A: good performers in all dimensions Child poverty risk outcomesJoblessness In-work poverty Impact of social tr. Group A DK+ + + EE+ + +– FR+++ CY+ + ++ – NL+ + AT+ + + + SI+ + + + FI+ + + + + + + SE+ + + +

10. Relative outcomes of countries related to child poverty risk and main determinants Child poverty risk outcomesJoblessness In-work poverty Impact of social tr. Group B BE+–+ CZ+–+ + + + DE+ – IE+– + + + + HU–– ++ + + BG– – ––+ Group B: joblessness is key challenge

11. Relative outcomes of countries related to child poverty risk and main determinants Child poverty risk outcomesJoblessness In-work poverty Impact of social tr. Group C LV––– LT– – – SK–––+ UK–– – ––+ RO– – –– – Group C: relatively bad performance in all dimensions

12. Relative outcomes of countries related to child poverty risk and main determinants Child poverty risk outcomesJoblessness In-work poverty Impact of social tr. Group D EL– + + +– – – – ES– +– – – IT– + – – –– LU–+ + +– + PL– + – PT– + – Group D: in-work poverty is key challenge

13. 2. Questions and further work Robustness of the analytical framework To further refine country clusters, by considering alternative outcome measures alternative measures of joblessness work intensity and poverty risk household composition To further exploring within-group differences

14. Robustness of the anayltical framework

15. Income poverty and material deprivation Source: own estimations based on EU-SILC 2008 (version 01.08.2010), following Atkinson and Marlier (2010). Data for France and Malta are not available from the EU-SILC UDB.

16. Joblessness: EU-LFS vs EU-SILC Source:EUROSTAT, own estimations based on EU-SILC 2008 (version 01.08.2010). Data for France and Malta are not available from the EU-SILC UDB.

17. Child poverty risk by work intensity, weighted overall EU-27*, 2008 Source: own estimations based on EU-SILC 2008 (version 01.08.2010). *Excl. FR, MT. Jobless and job poor One breadwinner Job rich

18. Poverty risk of children in in-work hhs EU-27*, 2008 Source: own calculations based on EU-SILC 2008. *No data available for Malta. Data for France are from 2007. In-work households: WI ≥ 0.5One bw households: WI = 0.5

19. Joint activity status of parents and the poverty risk of children, EU-27*, 2008 Source: own estimations based on EU-SILC 2008 (version 01.08.2010). *Excl. FR, MT.

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