1. High School Mathematics at the Research Frontier Don Lincoln Fermilab http://www-d0.fnal.gov/~lucifer/PowerPoint/HSMath.ppt

2. What is Particle Physics? High Energy Particle Physics is a study of the smallest pieces of matter. It investigates (among other things) the nature of the universe immediately after the Big Bang. It also explores physics at temperatures not common for the past 15 billion years (or so). It’s a lot of fun.

3. Now (15 billion years) Stars form (1 billion years) Atoms form (300,000 years) Nuclei form (180 seconds) ??? (Before that) 4x10 -12 seconds Nucleons form (10 -10 seconds)

5. DØ Detector: Run II 30’ 50’ Weighs 5000 tons Can inspect 3,000,000 collisions/second Will record 50 collisions/second Records approximately 10,000,000 bytes/second Will record 10 15 (1,000,000,000,000,000) bytes in the next run (1 PetaByte).

6. Remarkable Photos This collision is the most violent ever recorded. It required that particles hit within 10 -19 m or 1/10,000 the size of a proton In this collision, a top and anti-top quark were created, helping establish their existence

7. How Do You Measure Energy? Go to Walmart and buy an energy detector? Ask the guy sitting the next seat over and hope the teacher doesn’t notice? Ignore the problem and spend the day on the beach? Design and build your equipment and calibrate it yourself.

8. Build an Electronic Scale 150 lbs?? Volts Volts are a unit of electricity Car battery = 12 Volts Walkman battery = 1.5 Volts

9. Calibrating the Scale 120 lb girl = 9 V  (120, 9) 180 lb guy = 12 V  (150, 12) Make a line, solve slope and intercept y = m x + b Voltage = (0.05) weight + 3 Implies Weight = 20 (Voltage – 3) This implies that you can know the voltage for any weight. For instance, a weight of 60 lbs will give a voltage of 6 V. Now you have a calibrated scale. (Or do you?)

10. Issues with calibrating. Fit Value at 60 lb Purple6 Blue10 Red-70 Green11.5 All four of these functions go through the two calibration points. Yet all give very different predictions for a weight of 60 lbs. What can we do to resolve this?

11. Approach: Take More Data Easy Hard

12. Solution: Pick Two Points Dreadful representation of data

13. Solution: Pick Two Points Better, but still poor, representation of data

14. Why don’t all the data lie on a line? Error associated with each calibration point. Must account for that in data analysis. How do we determine errors? What if some points have larger errors than others? How do we deal with this?

15. First Retake Calibration Data Remeasure the 120 lb point Note that the data doesn’t always repeat. You get voltages near the 9 Volt ideal, but with substantial variation. From this, estimate the error. AttemptVoltage 19.26 29.35 39.08 48.72 58.58 69.02 79.25 88.86 98.94 109.12 118.72 129.33

16. Data While the data clusters around 9 volts, it has a range. How we estimate the error is somewhat technical, but we can say 9  1 Volts

17. Redo for All Calibration Points WeightVoltage 60 4.2  0.5 120 9.4  1.0 150 10  0.7 180 13.2  1.2 300 13.2  8.4

18. Redo for All Calibration Points WeightVoltage 60 4.2  0.5 120 9.4  1.0 150 10  0.7 180 13.2  1.2 300 13.2  8.4

20. Both lines go through the data. How to pick the best one?

21. State the Problem How to use mathematical techniques to determine which line is best? How to estimate the amount of variability allowed in the found slope and intercept that will also allow for a reasonable fit? Answer will be m   m and b   b

22. The Problem Given a set of five data points, denoted (x i,y i,  i ) [i.e. weight, voltage, uncertainty in voltage] Also given a fit function f(x i ) = m x i + b Define Looks Intimidating!

23. Forget the math, what does it mean? f(x i ) xixi yiyi y i - f(x i ) ii Each term in the sum is simply the separation between the data and fit in units of error bars. In this case, the separation is about 3.

24. More Translation So Means Since f(x i ) = m x i + b, find m and b that minimizes the  2.

25. Approach Find m and b that minimizes  2 Calculus Back to algebra Note the common term (-2). Factor it out.

26. Approach #2 Now distribute the terms Rewrite as separate sums Move terms to LHS Factor out m and b terms

27. Approach #3 Notice that this is simply two equations with two unknowns. Very similar to You know how to solve this Substitution Note the common term in the denominator

28. ohmigod…. yougottabekiddingme So each number isn’t bad

29. Approach #4 Inserting and evaluating, we get m = 0.068781, b = 0.161967 What about significant figures? 2 nd and 5 th terms give biggest contribution to  2 = 2.587

30. Best Fit

31. Best vs. Good Best

32. Doesn’t always mean good

33. Goodness of Fit Our old buddy, in which the data and the fit seem to agree A new hypothetical set of data with the best line (as determined by the same  2 method) overlaid

34. New Important Concept If you have 2 data points and a polynomial of order 1 (line, parameters m & b), then your line will exactly go through your data If you have 3 data points and a polynomial of order 2 (parabola, parameters A, B & C), then your curve will exactly go through your data To actually test your fit, you need more data than the curve can naturally accommodate. This is the so-called degrees of freedom.

35. Degrees of Freedom (dof ) The dof of any problem is defined to be the number of data points minus the number of parameters. In our case, dof = 5 – 2 = 3 Need to define the  2 /dof

36. Goodness of Fit  2 /dof = 2.587/(5-2) = 0.862  2 /dof = 22.52/(5-2) = 7.51  2 /dof near 1 means the fit is good. Too high  bad fit Too small  errors were over estimated Can calculate probability that data is represented by the given fit. In this case: Top: < 0.1% Bottom: 68% In the interests of time, we will skip how to do this.

37. The error in b is indicated by the spot at which the  2 is changed by 1. Uncertainty in m and b #1 Recall that we found m = 0.068781, b = 0.161967 What about uncertainty and significant figures? If we take the derived value for one variable (say m), we can derive the  2 function for the other variable (b). So  0.35

38. Uncertainty in m and b #2 Recall that we found m = 0.068781, b = 0.161967 What about uncertainty and significant figures? If we take the derived value for one variable (say b), we can derive the  2 function for the other variable (m). The error in m is indicated by the spot at which the  2 is changed by 1. So  0.003

39. Uncertainty in m and b #3 So now we know a lot of the story m = 0.068781  0.003 b = 0.161967  0.35 So we see that significant figures are an issue. Finally we can see Voltage = (0.069  0.003) × Weight + (0.16  0.35) Final complication: When we evaluated the error for m and b, we treated the other variable as constant. As we know, this wasn’t correct.

40. Error Ellipse m b Best b & m  2 min + 1  2 min + 2  2 min + 3 More complicated, but shows that uncertainty in one variable also affects the uncertainty seen in another variable.

41. Increase intercept, keep slope the same To remain ‘good’, if you increase the intercept, you must decrease the slope Increase intercept, keep slope the same

42. Decrease slope, keep intercept the same Similarly, if you decrease the slope, you must increase the intercept

43. Error Ellipse m b Best b & m m best b best new m within errors new b within errors When one has an m below m best, the range of preferred b’s tends to be above b best. From both physical principles and strict mathematics, you can see that if you make a mistake estimating one parameter, the other must move to compensate. In this case, they are anti-correlated (i.e. if b , then m  and if b , then m .)

44. Back to Physics Data and error analysis is crucial, whether you work in a high school lab…

45. Or the Frontier!!!!

46. References P. Bevington and D. Robinson, Data Reduction and Error Analysis for the Physical Sciences, 2 nd Edition, McGraw-Hill, Inc. New York, 1992. J. Taylor, An Introduction to Error Analysis, Oxford University Press, 1982. Rotated ellipses –http://www.mecca.org/~halfacre/MATH/rotation.htm

47. http://www-d0.fnal.gov/~lucifer/PowerPoint/HSMath.ppt

48. http://worldscientific.com/books/physics/5430.html