2. Analyzing Population Growth in Carbondale and Du Quoin with the expansion of the Railroad over 150 years. Railroads in Illinois

3. The 1800’s witnessed dramatic expansion of the railroads throughout the United States.

4. Early Railroad Planning Map for Illinois

5. 1852 - 1854 Illinois Central Railroad builds railroad line from Cairo to Chicago Entrepreneurs in Du Quoin and Carbondale purchase land near the planned rail lines. The cities of Du Quoin and Carbondale are surveyed and plots sold to potential citizens. Both cities incorporate in 1853 The first train rolls through the cities on July 4 th, 1854.

6. Carbondale Depot

7. Carbondale

8. Depot at Du Quoin

9. Southern Illinois Railroad Plans 1854

10. Southern Illinois Railroad Plans

11. Southern Illinois Grows 1856 1861 Railroad Depots now indicated on maps.

13. YearPassengers 1882289 1890520 1900577 1910972 19201270 1930708 1940456 1950488 1960327 1970289 1980281 199022 Passenger Train Travel

14. Railroad travel was the preferred mode in the early 1900’s and the number of passengers grew dramatically. Photos supplied by family of Celeste Naumer Flavell

15. Passenger Traffic Data

16. CarbondaleDu Quoin 187033702212 188022132807 189023824052 190033184353 191054115454 192062677285 Census Data Through 1920 Data as shown on TI-83 Calculator Population

17. Populations through 1920

18. Exponential Regressions Note: Logistic Regression will not work with the given data. The calculator gave a domain error. Du Quoin Carbondale

19. Predictions for 2000 Evaluate the exponential regression equations using the data through 1920 at the year 2000 PredictionActual Carbondale22,22925,063 Du Quoin44,8606,448 Carbondale Du Quoin

20. How good was prediction Original regression lines with all data. Carbondale Du Quoin Using Exponential Regressions, Carbondale was very close, but Du Quoin was far from correct. Carbondale: Predicted

21. Moving on to 2000

22. Current Amtrak Routes

23. New Carbondale Depot

24. Current Du Quoin Depot

25. Only 2 stops per day in Du Quoin

26. CarbondaleDu Quoin 187033702212 188022132807 189023824052 190033184353 191054115454 192062677285 193075287593 194085507515 1950109217147 1960146706558 1970228166691 1980262876594 1990270336697 2000250636448 Census Data Through 2000

27. Populations through 2000

28. Exponential Graphs Carbondale Du Quoin All data was used to compute regression curve.

29. Exponential Predictions Exponential prediction for 2000 Actual population for 2000 Exponential prediction for 2050 Carbondale32,77825,06393,618 Du Quoin8,6256,44812,222

30. Logistic Regressions CarbondaleDu Quoin Carbondale Du Quoin

31. Logistic Predictions Logistic prediction for 2000 Actual population for 2000 Logistic prediction for 2050 Carbondale28,08325,06333,054 Du Quoin6,9756,4486,977

32. Conclusions The populations of Carbondale and Du Quoin can be modeled with a logistic equation that will predict population more accurately that an exponential regression. It appeared that both towns were growing exponentially prior to 1920 due to the fast growth of railroad usage for travel and freight. Carbondale still grew at a near exponential rate due to the expansion of SIU in the 1960’s. Du Quoin’s population leveled off and has shown little change in many years. Has SIU originally located just north of Du Quoin as was discussed, the population curves may be reversed.

33. Railroad Movies A romance of the rail A romance of the rail / Thomas A. Edison, Inc. CREATED/PUBLISHED United States : Edison Manufacturing Co., 1903. Black Diamond express Black Diamond express / Thomas A. Edison, Inc. ; producer, James White. CREATED/PUBLISHED United States : Edison Manufacturing Co., 1896. Arrival of McKinley's funeral train at Canton, Ohio Arrival of McKinley's funeral train at Canton, Ohio / Thomas A. Edison, Inc. OTHER TITLES Funeral train arriving at Canton Station CREATED/PUBLISHED United States : Thomas A. Edison, Inc., 1901. Going through the tunnel Going through the tunnel / Thomas A. Edison, Inc. ; producer, James White. CREATED/PUBLISHED United States : Edison Manufacturing Co., 1898 Freight train Freight train / Thomas A. Edison, Inc. ; producer, James White. CREATED/PUBLISHED United States : Edison Manufacturing Co., 1898.

34. Current Passenger Train View a short movie

35. Links and References SIU-Carbondale Site for Adventures of the American Mind http://www.aam.siu.edu/siuc/index.asp American Memories Collection http://memory.loc.gov/ Library of Congress Site http://www.loc.gov/ Southern Illinois University at Carbondale http://www.siuc.edu/ Citing Internet Resources – http://www.classroom.com/community/connection/howto/citeresources.jhtml Perry County Historical Society Book – 1984 United States Census 1850 through 2000 International Historical Statistics, The Americas City of Carbondale Website