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Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Summer 2005 Energy Price Review: Gulf Coast Storms Exacerbate Tight Natural Gas Supplies; Already High Prices Driven.

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Presentation on theme: "Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Summer 2005 Energy Price Review: Gulf Coast Storms Exacerbate Tight Natural Gas Supplies; Already High Prices Driven."— Presentation transcript:

1 Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Summer 2005 Energy Price Review: Gulf Coast Storms Exacerbate Tight Natural Gas Supplies; Already High Prices Driven Higher Staff Report State of the Natural Gas Infrastructure Conference October 12, 2005

2 Prices for Energy Increased Through the Summer Price Changes (April to Late August) Price Changes (Late August to Late September) Natural Gas (Henry Hub*) 33%44% Crude Oil (West Texas) 21%0% Coal (Powder River Basin) 16%8%

3 Late Summer 2005 Was Much Hotter than 2004

4 Resulting Electric Generation Was Much Stronger as Well

5 Early Storage Inventory Surpluses Eroded with Summer Demand

6 Combined Effects of Katrina and Rita Far Surpassed 2004’s Ivan In Combined Natural Gas Shut-Ins

7 Natural Gas Prices are Likely to Remain High Through Winter Current storage inventories remain above 5-year averages Current storage inventories remain above 5-year averages Timing for repair of infrastructure from the Gulf is not clear – will continue to stress system Timing for repair of infrastructure from the Gulf is not clear – will continue to stress system Supply tightness largely a function of winter weather Supply tightness largely a function of winter weather


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