1. 1 George Mason School of Law Contracts I XV.Requirements Contracts F.H. Buckley fbuckley@gmu.edu

2. Output and Requirements Contracts: A special case of uncertainty  Vas ist das? UCC § 2-306(1) A term which measures the quantity by the output of the seller or the requirements of the buyer means such actual output or requirements as may occur in good faith, except that no quantity unreasonably disproportionate to any stated estimate or in the absence of a stated estimate to any normal or otherwise comparable prior output or requirements may be tendered or demanded. 2

3. Output and Requirements Contracts  Vas ist das? Output contract: buyer agrees to purchase seller’s entire output 3

4. Output and Requirements Contracts  Vas ist das? Output contract: buyer agrees to purchase seller’s entire output Requirements contract: producer agrees to sell as much of his product as buyer requires 4

5. Output and Requirements Contracts  Why enter into such agreements? 5

6. Output and Requirements Contracts  Why enter into such agreements? Output contract: producer locks in to sale, can safely bulk up on inventory 6

7. Output and Requirements Contracts  Why enter into such agreements? Output contract: producer locks in to sale, can safely bulk up on inventory Requirements contract: buyer assures himself of supply 7

8. Requirements Contracts  Risks to producer? 8

9. Requirements Contracts  Risks to producer What if market price > contract price Market @ 120, contract @100 9

10. Requirements Contracts  Risks to producer:  What if market price > contract price  What if cost of production > contract price Cost @120, contract @100 10

11. Eastern at 317 11

12. Eastern  Requirements contract where Gulf was to supply jet fuel to Eastern 12

13. Eastern  Requirements contract where Gulf was to supply jet fuel to Eastern Price adjustment clause : Gulf to pass on 50% of the increase in West Texas Sour 13

14. So what happened to oil prices in 1974? 14

15. So what happened to oil prices in 1974? 15

16. Eastern Air Lines  August 15, 1971: Nixon announces price controls to combat inflation  June 27, 1972: Contract signed  Oct. 6, 1973: Yom Kippur War  Oct. 17, 1973: Arab members of OPEC announce an oil embargo on the US  Nov 27, 1973: Emergency Petroleum Allocation Act 16

17. With predictable results… 17 Gas lines at the pump, 1974

18. Eastern Air Lines  So why didn’t the price adjustment clause cover the increase? 18

19. Eastern Air Lines  So why didn’t the price adjustment clause cover the increase? Based on West Texas Sour (domestic) The Nixon administration imposed price controls, fixing the price of old oil and permitting higher prices only to the extent that new oil was produced. 19

20. Eastern  Wouldn’t it have been simpler to base the price on Gulf’s costs? 20

21. Eastern Air Lines  What is the uncertainty problem? And how did courts handle it before UCC 2-306? 21

22. Eastern Air Lines  What is the uncertainty problem? And how do courts handle it under UCC 2-306?  “except that no quantity unreasonably disproportionate to any stated estimate or in the absence of a stated estimate to any normal or otherwise comparable prior output or requirements may be tendered or demanded” 22

23. Eastern Air Lines  What is the uncertainty problem? And how do courts handle it under UCC 2-306?  “except that no quantity unreasonably disproportionate to any stated estimate or in the absence of a stated estimate to any normal or otherwise comparable prior output or requirements may be tendered or demanded”  Why is this a criterion of good faith? 23

24. Eastern Air Lines  How would you approach this as an economic question? 24

25. Eastern Air Lines  How would you approach this as an economic question? Who was in the best position to solve the informational problem? 25

26. Eastern Air Lines 26 Who might have predicted the Yom Kippur War?

27. 27 Supplier Buyer Requirements Contracts Price fluctuations and Incentives

28. 28 Contract Price > Market Price Supplier Buyer Requirements Contracts Price fluctuations and the Incentives of the Parties

29. 29 Contract Price > Market Price Supplier Supplier wants to sell as much as he can Buyer Requirements Contracts Price fluctuations and the Incentives of the Parties

30. 30 Contract Price > Market Price Supplier Supplier wants to sell as much as he can Buyer Buyer wants to buy as little as he can Requirements Contracts Price fluctuations and the Incentives of the Parties

31. 31 Contract Price > Market Price Market Price > Contract Price Supplier Buyer Requirements Contracts Price fluctuations and the Incentives of the Parties

32. 32 Contract Price > Market Price Market Price > Contract Price Supplier Supplier wants to sell as little as he can Buyer Requirements Contracts Price fluctuations and the Incentives of the Parties

33. 33 Contract Price > Market Price Market Price > Contract Price Supplier Supplier wants to sell as little as he can Buyer Buyer wants to buy as much as he can Requirements Contracts Price fluctuations and the Incentives of the Parties

34. Eastern Air Lines  Suppose you could purchase gas at $1 per gallon. How much would you want to buy? 34

35. 35 Contract Price > Market Price Market Price > Contract Price Supplier Gulf under- supplies Buyer Eastern Air Lines over- consumes Requirements Contracts Price fluctuations and the Incentives of the Parties

36. Eastern Air Lines  Who was behaving opportunistically? Overinvestment: was Eastern using too much fuel? 36

37. Eastern Air Lines  Who was behaving opportunistically? Overinvestment: was Eastern using too much fuel? What is fuel freighting? 37

38. Eastern Air Lines  Who was behaving opportunistically? Overinvestment: was Eastern using too much fuel? What is fuel freighting? Gas is $4 a gallon. Your tank is half full. You spot a serve station sell gas at $3 a gallon an you tank up. Problems? 38

39. Eastern Air Lines  Who was behaving opportunistically? Undersupply: Was Gulf looking for an excuse to get out of the contract? 39

40. Eastern Air Lines  Who was behaving opportunistically? Cf. Orange and Rockland at p. 333 40

41. Eastern Air Lines  Who was behaving opportunistically? Cf. Orange and Rockland at p. 333  Buyer increases consumption when gas prices go up, propelling itself to be a large seller of power to other utilities 41

42. Empire Gas 324  What was the contract? And why did American Bakeries enter into it? 42

43. What happened to oil prices in 1979? 43

44. Empire Gas  Which explains American Bakeries’ projected switch from gas to propane To buy propane solely from Empire For approximately 3,000 conversion units, more or less depending upon requirements of buyer 44

45. What happened to oil prices in 1981? 45

46. 46 Contract Price > Market Price Market Price > Contract Price Supplier Empire Gas Over-supply Buyer American Bakeries Under- consumption Empire Gas The demand for propane declined as gas prices fell

47. Empire Gas  What was the contract? Does the buyer owe good faith duties not to underconsume? 47

48. Empire Gas  Posner: If there aren’t any good faith restrictions, that would make this an option contract, and requirements contracts are not option contracts 48

49. Empire Gas  Posner’s good faith duties: Buyer can cancel if a change in his business makes the contract too costly  Southwest Natural Gas at 329 49

50. Empire Gas  But here: No reason given by buyer No change in fleet of trucks No business emergency 50

51. 51 Contract Price > Market Price Market Price > Contract Price Supplier Supplier wants out: Eastern Airlines Buyer Buyer wants out: Empire Gas Requirements Contracts