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University Center Research Team Dr. Scott Dempwolf, Ph.D., EDA Center Director Zhi Li, Ph.D. student Matthew Earls, Ph.D. student Kerry Li Fang, Ph.D.

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Presentation on theme: "University Center Research Team Dr. Scott Dempwolf, Ph.D., EDA Center Director Zhi Li, Ph.D. student Matthew Earls, Ph.D. student Kerry Li Fang, Ph.D."— Presentation transcript:

1 University Center Research Team Dr. Scott Dempwolf, Ph.D., EDA Center Director Zhi Li, Ph.D. student Matthew Earls, Ph.D. student Kerry Li Fang, Ph.D. Student University of Maryland, College Park U.S. Economic Development Administration University Center Dr. Marie Howland, Ph.D. September 9, 2013

2 Sources: Bureau of Economic Analysis; EMSI; Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) Program, Bureau of Labor Statistics; Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) Program, Bureau of Labor Statistics

3 Name Complete EMSI - Private Company Local Area Unemployment Survey, LAUS QCEW - Bureau of Labor Statistics BEA - Bureau of Economic Analysis SourcePrivate CompanyU.S. Current Populations Survey (CPS) U.S. QCEW - Current Employment Statistics (CES) from Employers U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, based on QCEW and tax returns. Frequency of Collections. Method Monthly, collect from QCEW, BEA data. Monthly employment and quarterly wages - Survey of 60,000 households, designed to measure employment and unemployment. Seasonally Adjusted Monthly, based on a ample survey of 160,000 businesses and government agencies. Employment, hours, and earnings with significant industrial and geographic detail. Seasonally Adjusted. Annual, based on employer data and annual tax returns Who is includedWages and salary workers, farmworkers, unpaid family workers, persons employed by private households, and workers temporarily absent from work without pay. Includes workers 16 years and older. Covered employment only. Non-farm establishments only and workers of all ages. Based primarily on the QCEW data. But the estimates are adjusted from supplemental data from other agencies - such as the self employed, Department of Defense, Department of Agriculture, and railroad Retirement Board - for industries that are either not covered or not fully covered by the QCEW. Shortcomings1) Self employment jobs existing anytime of year counted as one job, not annual average; 2) sole proprieterships may be by either place of work or place of residence; uses BEA data which may be two years out of date. Occupation and industry are more subject to nonsampling error; smaller sample size limits local georgraphic information. Missing coverage of 1) farm employment; 2) self employed, 3) non covered employement, 4) sole propritorship. Full time and part time positions counted as one job, 4) unpaid family workers are excluded, 5) workers on leave without pay are excluded. Employment may be place of residence OR place of work.

4 Economic Recovery Since 2009 Annual Employment has increased by 3% since 2009 Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) Program, Bureau of Labor Statistics Economic Recession (12. 2007 ~ 6. 2009)

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6 Economic Recession (12. 2007 ~ 6. 2009)

7 Economic Recession (12. 2007 ~ 6. 2009) Economic Recovery Since 2009 Annual Employment has increased by 3% since 2009 Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) Program, Bureau of Labor Statistics

8 Economic Recession (12. 2007 ~ 6. 2009) Economic Recovery Since 2009 Annual Employment has increased by 1.6% since 2009 Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) Program, Bureau of Labor Statistics

9 Economic Recession (12. 2007 ~ 6. 2009) Unemployment Rate Decreased by around 1% since 2009 Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) program, Bureau of Labor Statistics

10 Economic Recession (12. 2007 ~ 6. 2009) Economic Recovery Since 2009 Source: Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS) program, Bureau of Labor Statistics

11 Source: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) Program, Bureau of Labor Statistics

12 Average Annual Pay Increased by 7.4% since 2009 Economic Recession (12. 2007 ~ 6. 2009)

13 Source: Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) Program, Bureau of Labor Statistics Economic Recession (12. 2007 ~ 6. 2009)

14 Economic Recession (12. 2007 ~ 6. 2009) Source: American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau

15 Economic Recession (12. 2007 ~ 6. 2009) Economic Recovery Since 2009 Source: Real Estate Business Intelligence

16 Montgomery County Draws Workers from the Region Sources: Longitudinal-Employer Household Dynamics Program, U.S. Census Bureau

17 Montgomery County is a Place to Work and Live Sources: Longitudinal-Employer Household Dynamics Program, U.S. Census Bureau

18 Source: American Community Survey, U.S. Census Bureau

19 Increasing commuting time for workers working within the county and outside the state

20 Source: Montgomery County Public Schools (MCPS)

21 Total enrollment increased by 6.8% during 2008 and 2012 Montgomery County has an Increasingly diverse student population. The percent of white students decreased from 39.07% in 2008 to 33% in 2012

22 Source: Montgomery College (MC)

23 Total enrollment increased by 23.3% during 2008 and 2012 Montgomery College has an increasingly diverse student population. The percent of white students decreased from 36.4% in 2008 to 30.5% in 2012 Source: Montgomery College (MC)

24 Montgomery County Public Schools (MCPS) have a Growing and Higher Advanced Placement (AP) Exam Participation Rate than the State of Maryland and the Nation Source: Office of Shared Accountability, Montgomery County Public Schools

25 Montgomery County Public Schools (MCPS) have a Growing and Better Performance on Advanced Placement (AP) Exam than the State of Maryland and the Nation Source: Office of Shared Accountability, Montgomery County Public Schools

26 Montgomery County Public Schools (MCPS) have Better Performance on Advanced Placement (AP) Exam than the Fairfax Co. in Virginia, the State of Maryland, and the Nation. Sources: Office of Shared Accountability, Montgomery County Public Schools; Fairfax County Public Schools (Fairfax County Public Schools, VA)


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