1. Team Leader- Hydrology
Downscaling of marine forecast products for the SW Indian Ocean countries
S.H.M. Fakhruddin
Team Leader- Hydrology
Science and Technology Workshop at JCOMM-4, Yeosu
24-25 May 2012

2. Discussion Topics About RIMES User Need Assessment Marine Forecasts
An Integrated System

3. RIMES Member States

4. Purpose and objectives
Purpose: Provide early warning services for enhanced preparedness, response, and mitigation of natural hazards, according to differing needs and demands of its Member States
Objectives:
Facilitate establishment and maintenance of core regional observation and monitoring networks and ensure data availability for early warning
Provide regional tsunami watch within the framework of UNESCO Intergovernmental Oceanographic Commission (IOC)
Support National Meteorological and Hydrological services for providing localized hydro-meteorological risk information within the framework of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO)
Enhance warning response capacities at all levels (national to community) within each national early warning framework

5. Governance
Council
Heads of NMHSs/ national scientific and technical agencies generating multi- hazard early warning information, empowered to make policy decisions, on behalf of governments, concerning regional early warning arrangements for enhanced preparedness for, response to, and mitigation of natural hazards
Chair: Government of India
Secretariat
Carries out the decisions and tasks assigned by the Council, and provides support to the Program Unit in managing the regional early warning center
Government of Maldives (Presidential Task Force led by the H.E. Vice President of Maldives) serves as Administrative Secretariat; Government of Mongolia (Ministry of Foreign Affairs) as Program Secretariat
Program Unit
Responsible for the day-to-day operation and management of the regional early warning center and the implementation of programs and activities
Co-located with the RIMES regional early warning Center

6. Organizational Chart Chief Scientist Tsunami Early Warning
Warning Coordination Scientist
Seismologist
Oceanographer
Telecommunications Specialist
System Analysts (2)
Decision-support Tool Development Specialist
Seconded Scientists (6)
Team Leader
Early Warning
Tsunami Hazard and Risk Assessment Expert
Climate Risk Management
Earthquake Hazard and Risk Assessment Expert
Project Teams
Climate Impact Assessment Team
GIS and Survey Specialist
Secretariat
Council
Director, Program Unit
Program Management
Tsunami Watch Provision
Support to Hydro-Met Services
Societal Applications
Capacity Building Specialist
Chief
Finance Officer
Human Resource and Administration Officer
ICKM Specialist
Climate Forecast Application Team
Climate Change
Seasonal Forecasting
Severe Weather
Synoptician
Hydrologist
System Analyst
Seconded Scientists (2)

7. Indian Ocean Forecast System
Oceanographic parameter forecasts are generated by a suite of state-of-the art numerical models, which are customized to simulate and predict the Indian Ocean features.
Important models: Wave Watch III, Mike, WAM, and Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS). (NCMRWF, ECMWF, and NCEP), etc

8. Forecasts Parameter Wave and swell (height, direction, and period)
Sea surface current
Sea surface temperature
Mixed Layer Depth
Depth of the 20 degree isotherm (as a measure of thermocline)
Wind speed
Tide prediction

9. Spatial and temporal services
Location-specific forecast (3 days - 3 hourly interval)
Coastal forecast (7 days - 3 hourly interval)
Regional forecast (7 days - 3 hourly interval)
Indian Ocean forecast (5 days - 6 hourly interval)
Global forecast (5 days - 6 hourly interval)

10. User Needs
Southwest Indian Ocean countries have identified the need for
user-relevant marine forecast information to meet the continued and expanding requirements of the maritime user community to ensure safety of life and property at sea
support integrated coastal management, and
reduce societal impacts of marine-associated hazards

11. Comoros

12. Maldives

13. Mozambique

14. System Development
developing the system to support the regional and national marine forecast information to the SW Indian Ocean countries by down-scaling the INCOIS marine forecast products
Develop web-base interface for disseminate the operational marine forecast products in customized form

15. Downscaling Regional Products
nesting grid concept with the coarse resolution in the open ocean and finer resolution to the target areas can be applied.
The system outputs are included wave height and direction, sea surface current, sea surface temperature, mixed layer depth and depth of 20 degree isotherm. These regional forecast products can be utilized for dynamic downscaling to practical scale of the SW Indian Ocean countries.

16. Graphical grid presenting the forecast parameters e. g
Graphical grid presenting the forecast parameters e.g. wave and swell, wind, sea surface temperature
Marine forecast charts to present the downscaling wave and swell forecast
for Island level
(Credit:

17. Time series plot of the forecast parameters
Wave and swell at offshore forecasted points
(Credit:
Web-base interactive interface for presenting marine forecast products
in the regional and national scale
(Credit:

18. Advisory statement for the specific areas advised by countries

19. Downloadable reports on marine forecast summary and email sending system

20. Thank you