1. Generation, Consumption Pattern and Modeling of Electric Power Grid in Nigeria Musa Momoh Usmanu Danfodiyo University, Sokoto Third NSF Workshop on US-Africa Research and Education Collaboration Abuja, Nigeria, December 13-15, 2004

2. Musa Momoh Third US-Africa Research and Education Collaboration Workshop Abuja, Nigeria, December 13-15, 2004 2 Aims and Objectives 1.To give an overview of deteriorating power generation system 2.To give the implications of inaqeduate power supply for Nigeria by demonstrating the impact on industrial sector and in a general approach linking electricity consumption to the human development index status of the country 3.To give accurate predictions of future electric energy generation and consumption that may be made available to decision makers

3. Musa Momoh Third US-Africa Research and Education Collaboration Workshop Abuja, Nigeria, December 13-15, 2004 3 Study Approach Use the simple least-squares estimation models in forecasting the growth of power generation and consumption in Nigeria Study the impact of such a state on the nation

4. Musa Momoh Third US-Africa Research and Education Collaboration Workshop Abuja, Nigeria, December 13-15, 2004 4 Results 1.The energy generation and consumption are relatively inelastic 2.The predicted annual growth rate of power generation and consumption is 10:9 3.Industrial sector is the least consumer of electric power generated by NEPA 4.Human development index is too low, about 0.43

5. Musa Momoh Third US-Africa Research and Education Collaboration Workshop Abuja, Nigeria, December 13-15, 2004 5 Conclusions GPD is declining The ratio of the average annual growth rate of power generation and consumption in Nigeria is 10:9, indicating that any major decline in power generation due to technical or natural causes will have significant effect