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The Current State of Commodity Price Forecasting Methods: An Appraisal by W. G. Tomek and T. D. Mount Suggested citation format: Tomek, W. G., and T. D.

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Presentation on theme: "The Current State of Commodity Price Forecasting Methods: An Appraisal by W. G. Tomek and T. D. Mount Suggested citation format: Tomek, W. G., and T. D."— Presentation transcript:

1 The Current State of Commodity Price Forecasting Methods: An Appraisal by W. G. Tomek and T. D. Mount Suggested citation format: Tomek, W. G., and T. D. Mount. 1981. “The Current State of Commodity Price Forecasting Methods: An Appraisal.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

2 Price Forecasting Methods and Evaluation Procedures by Jon A. Brandt and David A. Bessler Suggested citation format: Brandt, J. A., and D. A. Bessler. 1981. “Price Forecasting Methods and Evaluation Procedures.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

3 Error Decomposition in Commodity Price Forecast Evaluation by Dean T. Chen Suggested citation format: Chen, D. T. 1981. “Error Decomposition in Commodity Price Forecast Evaluation.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

4 A Canadian Agricultural Model: An Example of Integrating Economics, Econometrics and Practical Constraints by Allen W. Shiau Suggested citation format: Shiau, A. W. 1981. “A Canadian Agricultural Model: An Example of Integrating Economics, Econometrics and Practical Constraints.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

5 Integrating of World Weather and Other Market Factors in Formulating U.S. Crop Forecasts by World Agricultural Outlook Board by Norton Strommen, Jim Matthews, and Raymond Motha Suggested citation format: Strommen, N., J. Matthews, and R. Motha. 1981. “Integrating of World Weather and Other Market Factors in Formulating U.S. Crop Forecasts by World Agricultural Outlook Board.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

6 Impact Multipliers of the Crops: An Application for Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat by Abner Womack, Stanley R. Johnson, William H. Meyers, Jim L. Matthews, and Robert E. Young II Suggested citation format: Womack, A., S. R. Johnson, W. H. Meyers, J. L. Matthews, and R. E. Young II. 1981. “Impact Multipliers of the Crops: An Application for Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

7 An Interactive Forecasting Technique for Perishable Products by John J. Van Sickle and Richard Beilock Suggested citation format: Sickle, J. J. V., and R. Beilock. 1981. “An Interactive Forecasting Technique for Perishable Products.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

8 Quarterly Broiler Price Forecasting Models by David Kenyon Suggested citation format: Kenyon, D. 1981. “Quarterly Broiler Price Forecasting Models.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

9 A Short-Term Egg Price Forecasting Model by Lee F. Schrader and David A. Bessler Suggested citation format: Schrader, L. F., and D. A. Bessler. 1981. “A Short-Term Egg Price Forecasting Model.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

10 Forecasting Short-Run Fed Beef Supplies with a Simulation Model by James N. Trapp Suggested citation format: Trapp, J. N. 1981. “Forecasting Short-Run Fed Beef Supplies with a Simulation Model.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

11 Short-Term Forecast of Feeder Cattle Prices by Stephen C. Beare, Carl W. O’Connor, and Ray F. Brokken Suggested citation format: Beare, S. C., C. W. O’Connor, and R. F. Brokken. 1981. “Short-Term Forecast of Feeder Cattle Prices.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

12 Short-Term Price Forecasting Models for Cattle and Hogs by Marvin Hayenga, Joel Propst, Michele Mansfield, and Gene Futrell Suggested citation format: Hayenga, M, J. Propst, M. Mansfield, and G. Futrell. 1981. “Short-Term Price Forecasting Models for Cattle and Hogs.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

13 Forecasting of Canadian Cattle Prices: Application of Time Series and Regression Models by John D. Spriggs, Surenda N. Kulshrestha, and Akinayo Akinfemiwa Suggested citation format: Spriggs, J. D., S. N. Kulshrestha, and A. Akinfemiwa. 1981. “Forecasting of Canadian Cattle Prices: Application of Time Series and Regression Models.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

14 A Delivery System for Price Outlook by Darrel Good, Tom Hieronymus, and Hal Everett Suggested citation format: Good, D., T. Hieronymus, and H. Everett. 1981. “A Delivery System for Price Outlook.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

15 A Total Meat Demand Approach to Forecasting and Explaining Beef Prices by John E. Ikerd Suggested citation format: Ikerd, J. E. 1981. “A Total Meat Demand Approach to Forecasting and Explaining Beef Prices.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

16 Developing a Producer-Oriented Market Information Delivery System by Harlan Hughes, Robert Carver, and Robert Price Suggested citation format: Hughes, H., R. Carver, and R. Price. 1981. “Developing a Producer-Oriented Market Information Delivery System.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

17 Futures Markets as Inverse Forecasters for Post-Harvest Wheat Prices by Robert S. Firch Suggested citation format: Firch, R. S. 1981. “Futures Markets as Inverse Forecasters for Post-Harvest Wheat Prices.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

18 Moving Averages as an Indicator of Price Direction in Hedging Applications by John R. Franzmann Suggested citation format: Franzmann, J. R. 1981. “Moving Averages as an Indicator of Price Direction in Hedging Applications.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].

19 Soybean Market Forecast Errors by Arthur Havenner and Marlene Cerchi Suggested citation format: Havenner, A., and M. Cerchi. 1981. “Soybean Market Forecast Errors.” Proceedings of the NCR-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management. Ames, IA. [http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/nccc134].


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