1. Trans-Eurasian Transport of Ozone and its Precursors Oliver Wild, Pakpong Pochanart and Hajime Akimoto Frontier Research Center for Global Change Yokohama, Japan Second ICAP Workshop, Oct 21, 2004, Chapel Hill, NC

2. Trans-Eurasian Transport Motivation Trans-Pacific and Trans-Atlantic transport well studied –PEM-West, TRACE-P, ACE-Asia, NARE, ITCT Trans-Eurasian transport less well understood due to location, landmass and meteorology Unique features –meteorological mechanisms for export –chemical influences due to latitude and meteorology –emissions and deposition over continent Questions How does pollutant export differ from that from N. America or East Asia? What are the impacts on oxidation and climate? To what extent does European pollution affect central and eastern Asia? How does this compare with N. American influence? Key Foci: Air Quality, Oxidizing Capacity, Climate

3. Continental Outflow in Spring N. American O 3 European O 3 4 ppbv isosurface of O 3 in April

4. Background O 3 over Japan is rising Rising NO x /CO/NMHC emissions over Asian mainland What are the impacts from further afield? Ozone Over Japan Ohara and Sakata 2003: Data from 341 monitoring stations

5. FRSGC/UCI Global CTM Tropospheric gas-phase chemistry Linearized stratospheric chemistry for O 3 Emissions for 1990 from EDGAR v2.0 Driven by 2 sets of meteorology: MeteorologyResolution GISS II’ GCM4º x 5º x 9 levels3 hrs ECMWF-IFS 19965.6º x 5.6º x 19 levels3 hrs

6. O 3 and CO over Eurasia Mace Head Zugspitze Mondy Happo

7. Trajectories Arriving at 100°E viz. Newell and Evans [2000]

8. Trajectories Arriving at 100°E viz. Newell and Evans [2000]

9. Export of Oxidants from Europe

11. European Impacts at 100°E CO: greatest in high-latitude PBL in wintertime O 3 : greatest in low/mid-trop in spring close to zero in winter PBL

12. Impacts at Mondy (52ºN, 101ºE) CO O3O3 O3O3

13. Impacts on CO and O 3 over Japan

14. Impacts on CO over Japan in April 1996 Patterns of European and N. American influence very similar Transport pathways are similar European influence about 25% greater

15. Impacts on CO over Japan in April 1996 10 -8 kg/m 2 /s

16. Impacts on O 3 over Japan in April 1996 Patterns of European and N. American influence appear quite different Transport pathways are similar, but timing of events is different European influence on O 3 is smaller than that from N. America

17. Impacts on O 3 over Japan in April 1996 10 -9 kg/m 2 /s

18. Impacts on O 3 over Japan in April 1996

20. Surface O 3 at Happo 60 ppbv Japan 1hr std European/N.American impacts persist during local pollution episodes (Apr 23-27): affect attainment of air quality standards

21. Annual Mean Lifetimes of CO and O 3 COO3O3 Production Efficiency European82 days18 days6.7 N. American61 days19 days6.7 East Asian62 days21 days10.5 South Asian56 days25 days19.2 Tropospheric Mean 55 days30 days30

22. Annual Global Mean Profiles Different impacts on OH and hence on CH 4 Expect different climate responses

23. Annual Mean Chemical Tendencies

24. Conclusions Impacts on Central Asia High-latitude flow round Siberian High and Tibet European impacts average 10-30 ppbv CO, 1-4 ppbv O 3 European influence on O 3 suppressed in winter Impacts on Japan Significant background enhancements in O 3 and CO Modest surface O 3 impacts, but will affect Air Quality Stds N. American influence larger than European in mid-trop Global Impacts European emissions may lead to net decrease in OH Significantly different indirect climate effects expected

25. Mondy Happo Waliguan Vostochnaya Taishan Huangshan Huashan Long-Term Measurements over Asia Regionally polluted sites over China now operational Transport from Europe occurs at high latitudes More sites needed over Central and Northern Asia Measurement Sites over Eurasia