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Global Outlook June 2011. Areas Today Asia China U.S.A.

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Presentation on theme: "Global Outlook June 2011. Areas Today Asia China U.S.A."— Presentation transcript:

1 Global Outlook June 2011

2 Areas Today Asia China U.S.A

3 Asia

4 Asia’s Contribution to Global GDP Growth

5 Soaring Industrial Production in Asia

6 Investments in Asia

7 Higher labor Costs in Asia ex Japan

8 Asia Inflation Supply Shortages Demand Pull Not Much Slack Overheating

9 Asia Place to Produce Invest Sell Future

10 Risks Inflation External Trade 2/3

11 China’s Economy

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14 China: Inflation Food Inflation Peaked Non-food Inflation

15

16 House Prices for Asian Cities

17 Gov’t Policies Purchase Restrictions Property Taxes Higher Interest Rates

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20 Construction Slowing

21 China: Too Much Inventories?

22 Conclusion Growth Cool Down Inflation Ease Control Property Prices Gradual Yuan Appr.

23 Stock Market Healthy Growth Inflation Ease Moderate P/E Better Market

24 U.S. Economy

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26 U.S. Economy: Employment

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29 U.S. Economy: Sectors

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31 Where Jobs Are Going

32 Boathouse Sports

33 Manufacturers Experiencing Rising Exports

34 Export’s Contribution to GDP

35 U.S. Economic Growth (% Change Year over Year) Forecast

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38 Dow Jones Commodity Index

39

40 Inflation Risks Inflation Expectations Wage Increases

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44 Federal Budget Deficit

45 Federal Debt as % of GDP

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49 Entitlement Spending

50 Higher Taxes

51 Some Hope Serious Debate Political Climate Grand Bargain ?

52 Quantitative Easing

53 Exit Strategy End QE2 Raise Interest Rate Shrink B/S

54 When? Inflation Economy Budget

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63 Inflation and Multiples: 1950 - 2007

64 Corp. Prof./ Stocks Moderate U.S. Growth Low Cost Presssure Low Inflation and Rate Moderate P/E Ratio

65 Portfolio Long: Upside Hedge Fund: Downside

66 U.S.A Risks Euro Crisis Commodity Prices No Budget Agreement

67 DrSohn.com (not Dr.Sohn.com)


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