1. Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction Internet: Act II a vision from Bell Labs dr. Philippe Hervé Bell Labs Europe hervep@lucent.com

2. Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction In the future ? WiMAX UDDI FTTx (V)XML HSDPA RFID IPv6 Nanot ech xDSL GRID

3. Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction The future Human beings are nomadic or mobile by essence

4. Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction In the future 2 major trends of evolution  Ad-hoc networks (temporary and locally)  Network centric view  User centric view This will result in or require:  Richer services  Need of services frameworks  Good supervision and management of the networks  New and more efficient protocols  Old “new technologies” might get a business case after all: e.g. FTTH  And quite a degree of convergence in the “network”…

5. Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction Key areas Key technology areas:  Access Networks: FTTH, xDSL,  Access Networks: 3G+/4G wireless interfaces  Service frameworks: data management and service intelligence  Nanotechnologies All of this on a common IP/MPLS core network

6. Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction Network convergence  IPv6  MPLS

7. Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction The NGN view of telcos Several degrees of convergence 1.Transport layer: voice & data on the same backbone: IP/MPLS 2.Nomadicity: seamless roaming across heterogeneous networks 3.Fixed/wireless: services or applications are access agnostic 4.User convergence: only relevant information is presented – the technology is hidden

8. Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction Fixed Access technologies  (re)ADSL, 2, 2+  VDSL, 2  FTTx

9. Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction Access network technologies VDSL-asym. VDSL-sym. ADSL2+ ADSL2 ADSL SHDSL VDSL 2 Optical access Comfortable service ?

10. Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction Wireless Access technologies  3G, 3G+, 4G  HSDPA  MIMO  Wi-Fi and beyond

11. Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction 3G Standards Technology Evolutions IS-2000 Rev A IS-2000 Rev D (1xEV-DV) IS-856 Rev 0 (1xEV-DO) 1994 1998 1999 2000 2004 IS-2000 Rev C (1xEV-DV) 2003 GSM 1998 19971989 Rel’97 (GPRS) Rel’98 (AMR) IS-95AIS-95B IS-2000 (CDMA2000 1x) IS-856 Rev A (1xEV-DO) R’99 (EDGE) Rel 6 (SAIC) Rel 5 (HSDPA) Rel 6 (HSUPA) R’99 (UMTS) 19992002 2004 2005+ Standards Completion Dates (or expected completion dates) shown in RED 4G 2G 3G 3.G+

12. Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction Average Aggregate Data Throughput in 10 MHz (3G vs. 3G+) TD DCH DSCH HSDPA 1xEV-DO Note: Capacities shown represent improvements as each feature is added to the features below it. EDGE 1xEV-DO/DV Rev A/D 1x Note: Average Aggregate Throughputs for CDMA2000 are for six 1.25 MHz carriers (a seventh carrier could be added if the 10 MHz of spectrum is contiguous) = 3G = 3G+ 3G+ technologies provide significant data capacity/throughput improvements over initial 3G systems MRxD

13. Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction Nanotechnologies  MEMS

14. Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction Nanotechnologies (the next step in food chain) MEMS Vacuum Tubes MEMS microphones Why nanotechnologies ?  It will impact our relationship with machines and networks: –Wearable microphones –Compact batteries with low-discharge –Distributed body sensors –  m navigational units (GPS, gyros) Nanotech in the networks  Integrated systems on chip with MEMS design technologies (e.g optical systems) –SOI flip-chip structures –Monolithic structures (OADM, switches) –Lens arrays –MEMS SLMs

15. Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction Service intelligence  Ambient networks  Ambient intelligence

16. Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction In 2 years Weather indicator: –Display weather forecast as a lamp (pulses if rain is coming) –Connects itself to the network using wireless technologies Source MIT

17. Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction In 15 years Human interaction with home area network (HAN) to present personal information. HAN connects to the infrastructure network to retrieve specific information according to PAN profiles Source Philips Research

18. Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction Conclusion

19. Lucent Technologies – Proprietary Use pursuant to company instruction User-centric networks Ambient Intelligence