1. Yellow dots are nodes in the network http://noosphere.princeton.edu Roger Nelson rdnelson@princeton.edu Patterns Where There Should Be None A Glimpse of Global Consciousness?

2. The EGG Project (aka the Global Consciousness Project) International collaboration 75 Scientists, Artists, Friends, … Network of host sites world wide The tools: REG technology, Field application Make an EEG for the earth, an ElectroGaiaGram Identify engaging moments of global events The question: Can we capture a Glimmering of Global Consciousness?

3. When you put a thing in order, and give it a name, and you are all in accord, it becomes. - - From the Navajo, Masked Gods, Waters, 1950

4. The technology is only now available Electronics, Computers, Networking REG/RNG devices run continuously Synchronized computers and software Internet transfer of data to central server Automatic archiving, public access Formal analyses and explorations Background, methods, poetic history

5. A Random Event Generator (REG or RNG) Mindsong REG Orion RNG

6. How it works: Here’s 1000 Trials Each trial is the sum of 200 bits Like flipping 200 coins and counting heads

7. The binomial distribution of 1000 200-bit trials, compared with Theoretical normal distribution 100 is expected

8. What happens in such data over time? Plot cumulative deviation from expectation A General CaseGCP Standard Analysis Should be a Random Walk (a “Drunkard’s Walk”)

9. Laboratory Experiments, PEAR: Intention to change the REG behavior High and Low both depart from expectation HI LO BL

10. Field REG Experiments: No Intentions We simply collect data in the situation We find departures from expectation Queens Chamber Grand Gallery Kings Chamber

11. Departures from expectation correlate with Coherent or Resonant group consciousness Deeply engaging ideas and emotions

12. The next step: A prototype collaboration Colleagues in Europe and the US Collected 12 independent data streams

13. How About a Global Network? Might we see effects of engaging events? Natural disasters Terrible accidents The beginning of war The Pope’s pilgrimage Grand celebrations Political excitement Astrological hot spots World-wide meditations

14. A network of “eggs” around the world: A computer, special software, an REG/RNG

15. Internet transfer of data to Princeton Here we see the combined data For a whole day, from 48 eggs

16. We can see better what’s happening by Plotting the cumulative deviations (    df) Correlation Tilts … Variance Spreads

17. Combine all eggs and plot cumulative deviation May show a trend if there is a common Influence or correlation among the eggs (    df)

18. When we make a composite across eggs, the cumulative deviation may show a trend

19. Maybe a trend in the cumulative Deviation is Meaningful?

20. So far, sporting events seem Not to produce big deviations

21. The Pope’s 6-day pilgrimage to the middle east An occasion of hope for resolution of differences

22. Political events, even big ones, are not necessarily of interest to the EGG Clinton Impeachment Acquittal

23. We’ll try anything once. Significant correlations with astrologically determined “hot” times

24. Tearing the Social Fabric Terrorists Attack Civilians and Diplomats Nato Bombs Kosovo to End Ethnic Cleansing Taliban Destroy Ancient Buddhist Treasure September 11 Enters History of the Earth

25. Major disasters that engage us powerfully Often correlate with big deviations

26. Context explorations: Six hours of data Around the beginning of bombing in Kosovo Cumulative deviation of Z s 2 or  2

27. The Buddhas of Bamiyan Before March 12 2001 After

28. The destruction of a world treasure Approximate time, noon in Afghanistan noon

29. The World Trade Center Fall, 2001 Carol M. Highsmith Al Dove

30. The World Trade Center September 11 2001 Tamara Beckwith

31. What is there to say?

32. The destruction of the World Trade Towers Sept 11 2001 A 50-hour trend followed the attacks

33. Sept 11 prediction: Inter-egg Variance will fluctuate Red is real data, Green is Pseudorandom

34. Autocorrelation on Sept 11 Structure where there should be none Calculations: Peter Bancel

35. Repairing, Restoring The Social Fabric Meditations Prayer Vigils Ceremonies Holidays

36. Chicago, Moment of Silence September 14 2001

37. Three Minutes of Silence September 14 2001

38. Focused Siddhi Meditations September 23 to 27, 2001 Peak Day, Maximum Numbers

39. Synchronized Johrei Ceremonies Around the World, April 1 2001

40. Four Million People Pilgrimage For Ritual and Prayer

41. A Substantial Agreement on Getting Our Ecological Act Together

42. Natural Disasters And Accidents Earthquakes, Floods Planes, Trains, Ships

43. The Great Earthquake in Turkey August 17 1999 Variance Analysis, Bierman Standard Analysis US vs Europe, Bierman

44. Volcano in Nairobi January 17 2002

45. Typhoon in Orissa, India October 29 1999

46. The Concorde Crash July 25 2000

47. The Kursk Submarine Disaster August 12 2000

48. Train Crash in India August 2 2001 All Eggs, 4 hrs Nearby Eggs, 1.5 hrs

49. The Lighter Side Celebrations: What better example than New Years?

50. Global Attention: Sharing New Year’s Eve All over the world, people celebrate the change to a New Year. Since 1998, we have recorded data from a network of physical random event generators (called “eggs”). Here we look at what happens at midnight around the world. The scientific prediction is that there will be a pattern of increased correlation among the eggs. We test for trends away from the expected “random walk”. We have learned to expect reductions in the variation across the eggs. The figures on this page almost speak for themselves. They are pictures of our engagement with each other. Variance Drop, Midnight, 1999-2000 In the first year, 1998-1999, we looked for a change in the average deviation, and compared Maxi- and Mini-celebration time zones. Then, for the infamous Y2K transition, we looked at a measure of the variability among the eggs and predicted it would decrease as we all focused on midnight. We predicted the same pattern for the following year. And again for last year. The pattern is replicated for the third time. More at http://noosphere.princeton.edu

51. An obvious prediction: New Years celebrations Concatenation across all (24) time zones Cumulative excess deviation of means Weak Replication Model Prediction

52. Taking the Electrogaiagram metaphor to heart Maxi-celebrating time zones, Signal averaging Figure by Richard Broughton

53. Evoked Response in the Electrogaiagram: Signal averaging: Mini-Celebrating time zones Figure by Richard Broughton

54. Y2K New Year 1999-2000: Coherent engagement? Radin makes an independent prediction Reduction of Variance across eggs Odds, GMT

55. New Years 2000-2001: Variance Reduction Signal Average over 37 time zones Normalized, Squared, Smoothed

56. New Years 2001-2002: Variance Reduction Signal Average over 37 time zones Normalized as Z-scores, Smoothed 5-Min Smoothing Window

57. New Years 2002-2003: Variance Reduction Shows ambiguous response, But Meanshift is significant again

58. Questions outnumber answers Great numbers contribute Deep engagement is powerful but Does distance from the focus matter? How about relevance to local people? Is human consciousness necessary? Are “experimenter effects” the source? What kinds of events are “strongest”? Is the effect repeatable and reliable?

59. Columbia Explodes: Seven astronauts lost But the eggs apparently do not respond

60. Why do we sometimes see no effect? Perhaps we do, But not in the form we expect

61. The Columbia Explosion: Viewing through a different instrument Note, however, about 1/3 of permutations Have such an extreme deviation sometime in 24 hours

62. Categories: What seems to touch The Global Consciousness? Calculations, Dean Radin

63. Does the distance of the eggs From the event make a difference? Calculations, Dean Radin

64. Current Result: Formal Database 130 global events over 4.5 years Odds: 3.5 in a Million

65. What do we have in hand? Where do we want to go with it? Four years of data 55 eggs around the world More than 130 formal studies About 65% positive outcome About 18% individually significant Many analyses remain to be done

66. Bigger Picture: What is our aspiration? Sharpen and focus our questions Aim for theoretical understanding Capture insight about creative mind Consider evidence that we are one Contribute to better future for culture

67. We think the world apart. What would it be like to think the world together? -- Parker Palmer, educator http://noosphere.princeton.edu

68. Homepage Status Day Sum Results Extract Magic Buttons Primary Links Menu at Bottom http://noosphere.princeton.edu Berger: Web Design

69. Barry Fenn 1950 – 2000 A memorial assessment of GCP data Perhaps the eggs Respond to their hosts

70. A respectful, exploratory look at the death of egg host Barry Fenn All 28 eggs

71. Same time period, Barry’s egg only. After he passes, a 20 hour falling trend

72. Symmetry in the data, maybe even meaning: Barry’s egg and that of his friend, Sze Tan

73. A total solar eclipse was of Special interest to people in the path

74. For most of the formal predictions We specify a “Standard Analysis” Normalized signed deviation of mean, z i = (m i -  )/  Composite across eggs: Stouffer Z s = (  z i )/N 1/2 Composite Z is squared for  2 distributed statistic Large cumulative sum of Z s 2 – 1 or  2 – df Reflects inter-egg correlation, or Consistent large deviations, or both

75. Global Emotion: Transfixed by Tragedy On September 11 2001, early in the morning, a network of physical random event generators (called “eggs”) took on a striking trend. By 8:45 the non-random behavior was unmistakable. It peaked at about 10:30 with odds against chance of a thousand to one. See the red trace below. Other measures also deviated from expectation on that day, creating an unmistakable pattern where there should be none. The eggs became linked across distance and time in some subtle way that we do not yet know how to explain. This is not a physical or electromagnetic effect. It’s not due to extraordinary mobile phone use, or saturation TV. It appears to be related to our profound engagement. On 9/11 deviations began that persisted for 2 days On 9/11 the data showed extraordinary moments On 9/11 the data contained unique sequential structure The jagged red line shows three days of a measure (squared cumulative deviation of variance) that represents the composite randomness of 37 eggs. On September 11, the data show clear structure where there should be none. am More at http://noosphere.princeton.edu …………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..…….…………………. Normal range of variation

76. Squared Cumulative Variance, Sept 10 - 12 The departure begins nearly 4 hours before the first attack

77. Bottom Line Comparison: Formal outcome sequence versus Random draws from distribution