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Order Quantities when Demand is Approximately Level

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Presentation on theme: "Order Quantities when Demand is Approximately Level"— Presentation transcript:

1 Order Quantities when Demand is Approximately Level
Chapter 5 Inventory Management Dr. Ron Tibben-Lembke

2 Inventory Costs Costs associated with inventory: Cost of the products
Cost of ordering Cost of hanging onto it Cost of having too much / disposal Cost of not having enough (shortage)

3 Shrinkage Costs How much is stolen? Where does the missing stuff go?
2% for discount, dept. stores, hardware, convenience, sporting goods 3% for toys & hobbies 1.5% for all else Where does the missing stuff go? Employees: 44.5% Shoplifters: 32.7% Administrative / paperwork error: 17.5% Vendor fraud: 5.1%

4 Inventory Holding Costs
Category % of Value Housing (building) cost 6% Material handling 3% Labor cost 3% Opportunity/investment 11% Pilferage/scrap/obsolescence 3% Total Holding Cost 26%

5 ABC Analysis Divides on-hand inventory into 3 classes
A class, B class, C class Basis is usually annual $ volume $ volume = Annual demand x Unit cost Policies based on ABC analysis Develop class A suppliers more Give tighter physical control of A items Forecast A items more carefully

6 Classifying Items as ABC
% Annual $ Usage A B C % of Inventory Items

7 ABC Classification Solution
Stock # Vol. Cost $ Vol. % ABC 206 26,000 $ 36 $936,000 105 200 600 120,000 019 2,000 55 110,000 144 20,000 4 80,000 207 7,000 10 70,000 Total 1,316,000

8 ABC Classification Solution

9 Economic Order Quantity
Assumptions Demand rate is known and constant No order lead time Shortages are not allowed Costs: A - setup cost per order v - unit cost r - holding cost per unit time

10 EOQ Inventory Level Q* Decrease Due to Optimal Constant Demand Order
Quantity Decrease Due to Constant Demand Time

11 EOQ Inventory Level Instantaneous Q* Receipt of Optimal Optimal
Order Quantity Instantaneous Receipt of Optimal Order Quantity Time

12 EOQ Inventory Level Q* Optimal Order Quantity Time Lead Time

13 EOQ Inventory Level Q* Reorder Point (ROP) Time Lead Time

14 EOQ Inventory Level Q* Average Inventory Q/2 Reorder Point (ROP) Time
Lead Time

15 Total Costs Average Inventory = Q/2 Annual Holding costs = rv * Q/2
# Orders per year = D / Q Annual Ordering Costs = A * D/Q Annual Total Costs = Holding + Ordering

16 How Much to Order? Annual Cost Holding Cost = H * Q/2 Order Quantity

17 How Much to Order? Annual Cost Ordering Cost = A * D/Q Holding Cost
= H * Q/2 Order Quantity

18 How Much to Order? Total Cost = Holding + Ordering Annual Cost
Order Quantity

19 How Much to Order? Total Cost = Holding + Ordering Annual Cost
Optimal Q Order Quantity

20 Optimal Quantity Total Costs =

21 Optimal Quantity Total Costs = Take derivative with respect to Q =

22 Optimal Quantity Total Costs = Take derivative with respect to Q =
Set equal to zero

23 Optimal Quantity Total Costs = Take derivative with respect to Q =
Set equal to zero Solve for Q:

24 Optimal Quantity Total Costs = Take derivative with respect to Q =
Set equal to zero Solve for Q:

25 Optimal Quantity Total Costs = Take derivative with respect to Q =
Set equal to zero Solve for Q:

26 Sensitivity Suppose we do not order optimal EOQ, but order Q instead, and Q is p percent larger Q = (1+p) * EOQ Percentage Cost Penalty given by: EOQ = 100, Q = 150, so p = 0.5 50*(0.25/1.5) = 8.33 a 8.33% cost increase

27 Figure 5.3 Sensitivity

28 A Question: If the EOQ is based on so many horrible assumptions that are never really true, why is it the most commonly used ordering policy?

29 Benefits of EOQ Profit function is very shallow
Even if conditions don’t hold perfectly, profits are close to optimal Estimated parameters will not throw you off very far

30 Tabular Aid 5.1 For A = $3.20 and r = 0.24%
Calculate Dv =total $ usage (or sales) Find where Dv fits in the table Use that number of months of supply D = 200, v = $16, Dv=$3,200 From table, buy 1 month’s worth Q = D/12 = 200/12 = 16.7 = 17

31 How do you get a table? Decide which T values you want to consider: 1 month, etc. Use same v and r values for whole table For each neighboring set of T’s, put them into

32 How do you get a table? For example, A = $3.20, r = 0.24
To find the breakpoint between 0.25 and 0.5 Dv = 288 * 3.2 / (0.25 * 0.5 * 0.24) = / 0.03 = 30,720 So if Dv is less than this, use 0.25, more than that, use 0.5 Find 0.5 and 0.75 breakpoint: Dv = 288 * 3.2/(0.5 * 0.75 * 0.24) = 10,2240

33 Why care about a table? Some simple calculations to get set up
No thinking to figure out lot sizes Every product with the same ordering cost and holding cost rate can use it Real benefit - simplified ordering Every product ordered every 1 or 2 weeks, or every 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 12 months Order multiple products on same schedule: Get volume discounts from suppliers Save on shipping costs Savings outweigh small increase from non-EOQ orders

34 Uncoordinated Orders Time

35 Simultaneous Orders Time
Same T = number months supply allows firm to order at same time, saving freight and ordering expenses Adjusted some T’s, changed order times

36 Offset Orders Same T = number months supply allows firm to control
maximum inventory level by coordinating replenishments With different T, no consistency

37 Quantity Discounts How does this all change if price changes depending on order size? Explicitly consider price:

38 Discount Example D = 10,000 A = $20 r = 20% Price Quantity EOQ
v = Q < 3.90 Q >=

39 Discount Pricing X 633 X 666 X 716 Total Cost Price 1 Price 2 Price 3
,000 Order Size

40 Discount Pricing X 633 X 666 X 716 Total Cost Price 1 Price 2 Price 3
,000 Order Size

41 Discount Example Order 666 at a time: Hold 666/2 * 4.50 * 0.2= $299.70
Mat’l 10,000*4.50 = $45, ,599.70 Order 1,000 at a time: Hold 1,000/2 * 3.90 * 0.2= $390.00 Order 10,000/1,000 * 20 = $200.00 Mat’l 10,000*3.90 = $39, ,590.00

42 Discount Model 1. Compute EOQ for each price
2. Is EOQ ‘realizeable’? (is Q in range?) If EOQ is too large, use lowest possible value. If too small, ignore. 3. Compute total cost for this quantity 4. Select quantity/price with lowest total cost.

43 Adding Lead Time Use same order size Order before inventory depleted
R = DL where: D = annual demand rate L = lead time in years


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