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Economics of Steam Traction for the Transportation of Coal by Rail

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1 Economics of Steam Traction for the Transportation of Coal by Rail
Chris Newman Beijing, China

2 Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail
Name: Chris Newman Professional Engineer specializing in materials handling and transportation 21 years in Australian grain handling industry and 15 years in China, including10 years as technical consultant on $1 billion World Bank grain storage and rail transportation project; A leading member of “5AT Project” that aims to build a hew high speed locomotive as a “modern steam” demonstrator; Since 2004 has undertaken several studies on the economics of steam traction for coal haulage and has written and presented papers on the subject.

3 Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail
Synopsis Steam traction was never fully developed before its eclipse by diesel power in the mid 20th century; The development of steam traction was continued through the second half of the 20th century by the late L.D. Porta and several of his disciples, with a doubling of the thermal efficiency of “classic” steam traction. The economics of steam traction for coal haulage from mines to port or to point of use, appear much better than diesel or electric traction in developing countries. The economics of “modern steam” traction appear especially promising over the longer term. Future development of steam traction could see efficiency levels approaching those of diesel traction.

4 Presentation Summary Preliminaries – 4 pages
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Presentation Summary Preliminaries – 4 pages Introduction to Steam Traction – 3 pages “Modern Steam” Advancements – 9 pages Loco Performance Comparisons – 10 pages Railway Operation – 15 pages Rolling Stock Requirements – 15 pages Cost Comparisons – 23 pages Environmental Considerations – 12 pages Local Community Benefits – 1 page Conclusions – 5 pages TOTAL – 97 pages

5 Introduction to Steam Traction
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Part 1 Introduction to Steam Traction Technology dates from 1803 during the time of the Industrial Revolution in Britain; Technology developed empirically over 150 years with inadequate understanding of scientific principles; 1950s-designed steam locomotives were slower, less efficient, less reliable and more polluting than they need have been; Steam’s ability to operate without adequate maintenance meant that it did operate with inadequate maintenance; Steam’s old fashioned image plus “good enough” engineering standards made the diesel option appear modern and attractive

6 Introduction to Steam Traction
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Introduction to Steam Traction Inside a Locomotive Fuel burned in firebox creates high pressure steam in boiler. Superheated steam drives pistons (on both sides of loco) backwards and forwards. Connecting rods transmit piston forces to cranks that cause the driving wheels to rotate

7 Introduction to Steam Traction
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Introduction to Steam Traction Steam’s Image Whilst steam’s image declined in post-war years, it successfully powered the world’s railways for 125 years: Steam locos hauled prodigious loads in the USA. When replaced with diesels, two or three locos had to be substituted for one steamer.

8 Part 2 - “Modern Steam” Advancements
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Part 2 - “Modern Steam” Advancements Thermodynamic theories first put to use by French engineer André Chapelon in the 1930s. Chapelon’s designs achieved Power / weight ratios of >23 kW/tonne and outperformed contemporary electric traction. All developments were done on locomotive rebuilds.

9 Took over steam development when Chapelon retired;
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail “Modern Steam” Advancements L.D. Porta – Argentinean Engineer ( ) Took over steam development when Chapelon retired; At age 24, rebuilt a locomotive that equalled Chapelon’s best power/weight ratio; Director of Argentine’s National Technology Institute from 1960 to 1982; Pioneered several important advancements in steam traction.

10 “Modern Steam” Advancements Porta’s Advancements include:
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail “Modern Steam” Advancements Porta’s Advancements include: Improved coal combustion (reducing fuel consumption and emissions); Improved exhaust system; Increased steam temperature; Improved lubrication; Improved water treatment; Reduced steam leakage; Improved insulation; Improved adhesion; Reduced maintenance costs.

11 “Modern Steam” Advancements Porta’s Achievements: Rio Turbio Railway
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail “Modern Steam” Advancements Porta’s Achievements: Rio Turbio Railway 255km coal railway from mine to port; Narrow gauge (750mm) Poor track quality – light rail, no ballast; Max grade 0.3%; Tight curvature; Low grade coal for locomotives. 18 tonne wagons with high rolling resistance.

12 “Modern Steam” Advancements Porta’s Achievements: Rio Turbio Railway
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail “Modern Steam” Advancements Porta’s Achievements: Rio Turbio Railway 48 tonne locos built by Mitsubishi in 1956 and 1963 Power Output increased from 520 kW to 900 kW by Porta modifications; Ash clinkering problems overcome; 1700 tonne trains routinely hauled (tested to 3000 tonnes); Very high mileages between overhauls.

13 “Modern Steam” Advancements Porta’s Legacy
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail “Modern Steam” Advancements Porta’s Legacy Porta’s theories have been adopted in: …. South Africa by David Wardale; …. Argentina by Shaun McMahon; …. Australia and Russia by Phil Girdlestone; …. Argentina, Paraguay and Cuba by Porta himself. Wardale’s “Red Devil” rebuild of SAR 1950s Krupp-designed Class Achieved 60% increase in power, 40% reduction in specific coal consumption.

14 Porta’s Legacy (continued) The 5AT – “Second Generation Steam”
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Conceived by David Wardale; First new steam loco design to adopt Porta’s developments; Designed for high speed operation - 200kph max, 180 kph continuous; Target – tour and cruise trains in UK and Europe; Fundamental Design Calculations completed; Currently in final planning stage; 2008 launch planned to seek investment funding; Design is readily adapted for freight haulage (using smaller wheels).

15 “Modern Steam” Advancements The 8AT
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail “Modern Steam” Advancements The 8AT Uses same boiler, cylinders, cab, tender and motion as 5AT; 1.325 m dia. driving wheels give 192 kN drawbar tractive force; Max power kW at drawbar at 120 km/h; 1800 kW at 80 km/h; Starting tractive force – 192 kN at the drawbar; 21 tonne axle load (including ballast) to control slipping; Able to haul 3200 tonne coal trains at >80 km/h on level track.

16 Steam Traction Haulage Capacity
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Steam Traction Haulage Capacity American locomotive (c.1912) of similar size and “tractive effort” to the 8AT, but with no superheat, low boiler pressure and journal bearing, hauling 6,500 tonnes (net?)

17 Part 3 – Haulage Capabilities
Coal Transportation in Indonesia The Steam Option _______________________________________________ Part 3 – Haulage Capabilities Alternative Traction Types used in Cost Comparisons Chinese SS kW Electric Loco Chinese DF4-D 2940 kW Diesel Loco Chinese QJ 2600 kW Steam Loco 8AT 2100 kW Modern Steam Loco

18 Principal Data for Alternative Traction Types
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Principal Data for Alternative Traction Types Loco Type QJ Steam 8AT Steam Diesel DF4-D Electric SS-3 Wheel Arrangement 2-10-2 2-8-0 Co-Co Max Power Output kW (wheel rim) 2600 2100 2940 4320 Max Speed (km/h) 80 100 Loco Weight excluding tender (tonnes) 134 96 138 Axle Loading (tonnes) 20.5 21 23 Adhesive Weight (tonnes) 100.5 84 Starting Wheel Rim Tractive Effort (kN) 287 206 480 490 Continuous Wheel Rim TE at 20km/h 244 130 385 Required Starting Friction Coefficient 0.29 0.25 0.36

19 Performance Data for Alternative Traction Types (3)
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Performance Data for Alternative Traction Types (3) SS-3 and DF4-D Performance Graphs Tractive Force vs. Speed Line R1 shows max speed with 3000t train up 0.9% grade Line R2 shows max speed with 3000t train up 0.6% grade Line R3 shows max speed with 3000t train up 0.3% grade Line R4 shows max speed with 3000t train on level grade The results agree closely with figures derived by calculation method described below

20 Performance Data for Alternative Traction Types (1)
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Performance Data for Alternative Traction Types (1) QJ Performance Graphs Tractive Force vs. Speed over a range of cut-offs and steaming rates This is the official CNR performance chart for QJ locomotives. Max power of 2600 kW can only be delivered for short periods at 95 kg/m2/h steaming rate. Normal rated power output of 2200 kW is delivered at 75 kg/m2/h steaming rate.

21 Performance Data for Alternative Traction Types (2)
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Performance Data for Alternative Traction Types (2) 8AT Performance Graphs Maximum Tractive Force and Power vs. Speed 8AT Performance curves are adapted from the 5AT fundamental design calculations. These are represent maximum power and TE curves. These values are progressively reduced for train haulage estimates (see next slide)

22 Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail
Summary of Speed vs. Drawbar TE Characteristics for Traction Options Drawbar Tractive Effort values in kN, Power values in kW QJ1 8AT2 DF4-D SS-33 Speed TE Power 271 192 474 481 10 267 741 180 500 1318 417 1158 20 244 1353 163 906 401 2228 387 2149 30 216 1804 139 1161 277 2308 371 3094 40 176 1954 117 1301 209 2319 360 4002 50 146 2021 100 1389 165 2297 291 4047 60 121 91 1515 136 2266 243 4051 70 102 1980 84 1626 114 2223 207 4017 80 85 1886 77 1711 99 2192 178 3964 Note 1: For QJ locomotives, the TE and Power values are estimated from the Speed-TE curves supplied by China National Railways at steaming rate of 75 kg/hr/m2. Note 2: In order to base the 8AT’s performance on the same assumption as the Chinese locos, its calculated maximum drawbar tractive effort values have been reduced in the same proportion as those of the QJ resulting from the adoption of a 75 kg/h/m2 steaming rate instead of its maximum of 95 kg/hr/m2. Thus the 8AT’s estimated TE and power values have been reduced progressively from zero at low speeds up to 20% at 80 km/h. Note 3: SS-3 figures in italics have been reduced (by estimate) to keep its wheel-rim power below its rated power. TE and Power values are derived from the performance curves shown in previous slides. QJ performance is based on steaming rate of 75 kg/h/sqm (compared to max steaming rate of 95 kg/h/sqm) 8AT TE values progressively reduced from 0% (at slow speed) to 20% of maximum value at 80 km/h to be consistent with QJ curves. NOTE – the difference between the drawbar power of the diesel and its rated value of 2940 kW!!

23 Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail
Comparison of Formulae for Determining Specific Rolling Resistance of Freight Stock Little difference between the majority of resistance values up to 80 km/h. Mauve curve is for passenger carriages which have much lower axle load (hence higher specific resistance). Top two curves below that are SNCF curves. Chinese formulae (for both full and empty wagons) have been adopted for the purpose of this exercise.

24 Chinese Formulae for Specific Rolling Resistance of Wagons
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Chinese Formulae for Specific Rolling Resistance of Wagons Loaded Wagons: RR = V V2 N/tonne;) ) where V is speed in km/h. Empty Wagons : RR = V V2 N/tonne;) Gradients: RG = 10 x G N/tonne where G is the gradient in %; Curvature: RC = (600/r) x LC/LT when LC < LT or RC = (600/r) when LC>LT, where r = the curve radius in metres, LC = the curve length and LT = the train length. Based on these formulae and the speed/traction force values already derived, it is easy to calculate the steepest gradient that a locomotive will be able to climb at constant speed with any given load using the formula: Where TEDB is the drawbar tractive effort of the locomotive.

25 Specific Train Resist'ce
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Max Gradient at Constant Speed over range of Train Loads for QJ class locomotive operating at 75 kg/m2/hr steaming rate. Speed Km/h dbTE on level track Specific Train Resist'ce Gross Train Weight tonne Tonne 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4100 5000 6000 7000 kN N/tonne Climbable Gradient at Given Load and Speed - % 5 275 9.3 2.26 1.57 1.19 0.95 0.79 0.67 0.58 0.56 0.45 0.36 0.30 10 267 9.6 2.19 1.51 1.15 0.92 0.76 0.64 0.55 0.43 0.34 0.28 15 255 10.0 2.08 1.44 1.09 0.87 0.72 0.61 0.52 0.51 0.40 0.32 0.26 20 244 10.5 1.98 1.37 1.03 0.82 0.68 0.57 0.49 0.48 0.38 0.24 25 228 11.0 1.84 1.27 0.62 0.27 0.21 30 212 11.5 1.70 1.17 0.88 0.69 0.47 0.39 0.23 0.19 35 194 12.2 1.54 1.05 0.78 0.50 0.42 0.35 0.20 0.15 40 177 12.9 1.39 0.94 0.70 0.54 0.44 0.29 0.22 0.16 0.12 45 160 13.6 1.25 0.84 0.31 0.25 0.18 0.13 0.09 50 146 14.4 1.11 0.74 0.41 0.33 0.14 0.10 0.06 55 134 15.3 1.00 0.66 0.17 0.11 0.07 0.04 60 122 16.3 0.90 0.59 0.08 0.01 65 113 17.3 0.81 0.05 -0.01 70 103 18.3 0.02 -0.04 75 93 19.5 0.63 0.03 -0.06 80 85 20.6 0.00 -0.08 This is a typical chart showing the maximum gradient that a QJ (steaming at 75 kg/m2/hr) can climb at any constant speed and load. Similar tables can be drawn for the other locomotives. All the numbers are derived on a spreadsheet.

26 Train Haulage Estimates for Steam, Diesel an Electric Traction
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Train Haulage Estimates for Steam, Diesel an Electric Traction Old Steam Mod St Diesel Electric Loco Type QJ 8AT DF4-D SS-3 Loco Weight (including tender) 200 170 138 Power Rating kW (wheel rim) 2200* 1700* 2940 4320 Max Design Speed (km/h) 85 100 Max Continuous Speed with 3,000 t train Max Continuous Speed with 3,500 t train 80 Max Continuous Speed with 4,000 t train 70 95 Max Continuous Speed with 5,000 t train 60 75 Max Continuous Speed with 6,000 t train 65 (55) Max Continuous Speed with 7,000 t train - Max Continuous Speed with 8,000 t train 90 Max Continuous Speed with 9,000 t train 55 78 Max train weight for 80km/h on level track1 4,100 3,200+ 4,700 8,700 Stalling (5 km/h) Grade for Max Train Size 0.56% 0.48% 0.91% 0.41% Sustainable Speed on 0.5% grade (km/h) 17 27 Train (inc loco weight) / Loco Weight Ratio 21.5 19.8 36.5 66.2 Train Weight / Loco Power Ratio (inc loco) 1.96 1.98 2.07 2.12 Max train wt for 20km/h on 1.0% grade (t) 2000 1300 3600 3400 Estimated Max start-able gross train wt (t) 7800 5500 >10000 * Note: The QJ delivers 2600 kW at full boiler output; the 8AT should produce 2100 kW at the drawbar at full power The figures are derived from tables like the one just presented for QJs. The selected maximum load limit for each locomotive (shown in red) is the load that it can haul at a constant speed of 80 km/h on straight level track.

27 Speed-Power Comparison between Traction Types
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Speed-Power Comparison between Traction Types It is noticeable that the diesel’s power peaks at a slower speed than steam’s. I can’t explain why the electric’s TE and power is lower than the diesel’s at low speed. They derive from the Chinese performance graphs.

28 Acceleration/Speed/Time Comparison between Traction Types
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Acceleration/Speed/Time Comparison between Traction Types Acceleration is calculated from the difference between the loco’s TE and the train’s resistance, and dividing it by the combined mass of loco and train. From that, the Time/Speed and Time/Distance curves can be derived. These curves show the different acceleration rates that can be expected from each locomotive at the “design load” for the railway. The final speed (80km/h) is the same in all cases so the differences relate to acceleration rates. The bottom plots show the time taken to go 50 km on straight level track – I can only assume that the QJ does so well because it is hauling “only” 91% of its rated load, compared to the diesel’s and 8AT’s 99%.

29 Part 4 Railway Operation Basic Premises
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Part 4 Railway Operation Basic Premises Single purpose, single route railway only for transporting coal from a mine site to an export terminal; No connecting routes; no non-coal traffic; Simple 24 hour per day “merry-go-round” train rotation; Single line operation with passing loops; Trains loaded and unloaded as soon as they arrive at the loading and unloading stations; Locomotives remain attached to their trains including during routine servicing.

30 Basic Premises for Idealized Synchronized System
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Railway Operation Basic Premises for Idealized Synchronized System Passing loops are equidistant from one another; Trains all travel at the same speed (50km/h average); Full trains will arrive at passing loop at the same time as an empty train coming the other way; Trains depart from the loading and unloading stations immediately after the arrival of the arrival train coming from opposite direction; Time interval between trains remains constant = twice the time taken to travel between passing loops.

31 Typical Train Movement Diagram Average Travel Speed 50 km/h
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Railway Operation Typical Train Movement Diagram Average Travel Speed 50 km/h

32 Loading System Schematic Diagram
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Railway Operation Loading System Schematic Diagram Empty trains travel round the loop to minimise flange and rail wear. Trains move down a slight grade during filling Full trains leave along the straight track to minimize drag. A later slide describes coaling and watering facility

33 Unloading System Schematic Diagram
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Railway Operation Unloading System Schematic Diagram Full trains approach unloading point along straight track. Empty trains run round loop to minimise rail and flange wear. Wagon pushers may not be needed with bottom dump wagons (loco can haul them through) Full train moves down slight incline during unloading to facilitate controlled movement Loco servicing and repair facilities are located at the Unloading Station because trains are likely to be held up longer there (as described later) Description of servicing facility

34 Passing Loop Schematic Diagram
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Railway Operation Passing Loop Schematic Diagram

35 Basic Premises for Idealized Synchronized System
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Railway Operation Basic Premises for Idealized Synchronized System Time interval between trains remains constant = twice the time it takes to travel between passing loops, or ti = 2 x dL÷ V (where ti = time interval, dL distance between loops and V is the average train speed) Minimum load in each train = target hourly throughput (t/h) x time interval between trains, or Wt = Th x ti (where Wt is train weight and Th is the target hourly throughput). Thus the minimum train capacity Wt = Th x 2 x dL ÷ V. In other words, it is determined by the train speed and the distance between passing loops.

36 Basic Premises for Idealized Synchronized System
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Railway Operation Basic Premises for Idealized Synchronized System Basic principle is: more passing loops allow the operation of smaller trains; thus Smaller locomotives (hauling smaller trains) require more passing loops to deliver the same quantity of coal. large trains hauled by electric traction will require fewer passing loops than shorter trains hauled by 8ATs.

37 Estimating Ideal Train Capacities
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Railway Operation Estimating Ideal Train Capacities We have minimum train capacity Wt = Th x 2 x dL ÷ V. If target annual throughput = 20 million tonnes per year, this equates to 62,500 tonnes per day over a 320 day year. Assume the railway operation is only 75% efficient, then target daily throughput = 83,333 tonnes per day or Th = 3472 t/h x 24 hours. Thus if the railway length is 100 km, V = 50 km/h and there are 4 passing loops, the distance between loops, dL = 20 km from which can be calculated the minimum train capacity Wt = 3472 x 2 x 20 / 50 = 2778 tonnes. If we assume the use of Chinese C70 wagons with a gross weight of 93 tonnes and tare weight of 23 tonnes, we can deduct that the train needs 40 wagons with a gross weight of 3720 tonnes and net weight of 2800 tonnes. We can thus use the maximum train loads for each locomotive type to determine the number of passing loops required for each type (see next slide).

38 Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail
Railway Operation Estimating Optimum Train Sizes to deliver 83,333 tonnes per day in Chinese C70 wagons (93 tonnes gross, 23 tonnes tare) Item units QJ 8AT DF4 SS3 Max Haulage Capacity from Slide 26 Tonne 4,100 3,200* 4,700 8,700 Equiv net capacity with 70t net 23t tare wagons tonne 3,086 2,409 3,538 6,548 Minimum required trains per day No. 27 34.6 23.6 12.7 Max distance between trains at 50km/h Km 44.4 34.7 50.9 94.3 Max distance between passing loops 22.2 17.3 25.5 47.1 Theoretical number of passing loops in 100 km 3.50 4.77 2.93 1.12 Actual minimum number of passing loops 4 5 3 2 Minimum number of trains in transit 6 Distance between passing loops 20.0 16.7 25.0 33.3 Train Arrival Frequency mins 48 40 60 80 Required net tonnes per train 2,778 2,315 3,472 4,630 Minimum number of 70 t wagons 34 50 67 Actual train load (net) 2,800 2,380 3,500 4,690 Actual train weight (gross) 3,720 3,162 4,650 6,231 Percentage of loco capacity required % 91% 99%* 99% 72% Note: Calculated 8AT haulage capacity is 3700 t. Hence a 3162 t load may be no more than 85% of its capacity.

39 Train Movement Diagram SS-3 Electric Traction with two passing loops
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Railway Operation Train Movement Diagram SS-3 Electric Traction with two passing loops Note: 2 passing loops require 3 trains in transit plus extra trains at loading and unloading station

40 Train Movement Diagram DF4-D Diesel Traction with three passing loops
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Railway Operation Train Movement Diagram DF4-D Diesel Traction with three passing loops Note: 3 passing loops require 4 trains in transit plus extra trains at loading and unloading station

41 Train Movement Diagram QJ Steam Traction with four passing loops
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Railway Operation Train Movement Diagram QJ Steam Traction with four passing loops Note: 4 passing loops require 5 trains in transit plus extra trains at loading and unloading station

42 Train Movement Diagram 8AT Steam Traction with five passing loops
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Railway Operation Train Movement Diagram 8AT Steam Traction with five passing loops Note: 5 passing loops require 6 trains in transit plus extra trains at loading and unloading station

43 Train Control (Signalling)
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Railway Operation Train Control (Signalling) Make use of the constant train frequency to create a regular system of train operation that requires rescheduling only in emergencies; Use standard safety systems such as track circuiting interlocked with passing loop crossings fitted with run-away sidings (or catch-points) to prevent trains meeting in opposite directions. Fit each locomotive with GPS system to allow a Central Train Control (CTC) to monitor each train position and send radio instructions to each train operator to adjust speed for coordinating passing operations and for maintaining schedules. GPS positioning system to be linked to the track-circuit interlocking system. On-board “cab signalling” with no line-side signals.

44 Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail PART 5 Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements Process: The train movement diagrams (above) demonstrate that the minimum number of trains (and locomotives) in transit = the number of passing loops plus 1. Further trains and locos need to be added to take account of: loading and unloading operations; Locomotive servicing; Locomotive and wagon maintenance; Breakdowns and emergencies.

45 Estimating Target Loading and Unloading Rates
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements Estimating Target Loading and Unloading Rates Requires a time-study taking into account: Transit time from main line to loading/unloading point; Time for administrative and safety checks; Time for refuelling, watering and servicing locomotives; Other non-productive time requirements. Deducting the sum total of these times from the train arrival/departure frequency allows target loading/unloading rates to be calculated:

46 Estimating Target Train Loading Rates
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements Estimating Target Train Loading Rates Activity units QJ 8AT DF4 SS3 Net Train Capacity tonne 2,800 2,380 3,500 4,690 Train Arrival Frequency mins 48 40 60 80 Arrival checks and documentation 3 Travel round 1.6 km balloon 20km/h 5 Position train under loading chute 1 Time to move train clear of loading chute mins  Refill tender water tank 8 6 - Dispatch checks and documentation inc Time available for train filling 30 24 47 67 Required Coal Loading Rate t/h 5,600 6,000 4,450 4,200

47 Loco Coaling and Watering Facility
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements Loco Coaling and Watering Facility Locos will require coaling and watering at least once each 200km round trip. Loco coal should be the best quality available from mine to guarantee best performance. Main coaling facility should be located at (but separate from) Coal Loading Station.

48 “Scaled” schematic diagram of Train Loading Station
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements “Scaled” schematic diagram of Train Loading Station One train should be ready to leave immediately after one arrives from the opposite direction.

49 Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements Unloading Station More complex than loading system because of the need to take account of the unloading method (rotary or bottom dump) and also locomotive servicing requirements. Steam traction will require ash removal, lubrication, sand refilling etc. at least once per 200 km round trip, and may need refuelling, rewatering and ash removal at each end of the line. Diesels will need refuelling and servicing every 2 or 3 round trips. Time available for unloading wagons may thus be very short, requiring high unloading rates that may be unachievable with a rotary unloader (limited to ~7,000 t/h max). Thus it may be necessary to have two (or more) trains at the unloading station at any time – see next slide.

50 Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements Unloading Sequence Max loco servicing time available – 38 mins Blue train finishes unloading at the same time as the yellow train arrives; Purple train departs immediately after yellow train arrives; Blue train moves to servicing facility to await arrival of next train while the yellow train unloads. Thus blue locomotive has 38 minutes for servicing. Thus also 2 locos and 2 trains are required at the unload station at all times.

51 Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements Loco Servicing For unload sequence shown in previous slide, loco is serviced while still connected to its train. This will require specially designed servicing facility incorporating the following components:

52 Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements If servicing time > 38 minutes, then it is better for locos to be serviced in workshop; This requires detaching locos from trains, and recoupling them after servicing; Reconnected trains need to be brake-tested before departure, which can take 30 to 60 minutes. Following sequence illustrates how this might be done.

53 Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements Unloading Sequence with locos serviced in workshop As before: Blue train finishes unloading at the same time as the yellow train arrives; Purple train departs immediately after yellow train arrives; Blue train moves to brake-test siding to await arrival of next train while the yellow train unloads. Before yellow train unloads, the yellow loco detaches and runs back to loco shed At 30 minutes (half way through unloading) green loco comes off shed and moves forward to couple onto yellow train Yellow loco has 48 minutes to complete servicing. Thus also 3 locos and 2 trains are required at the unload station at all times. If 48 minutes is not long enough for servicing, then an extra loco needs to be added into the servicing sequence (to give 96 minutes servicing time per loco).

54 Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements From similar sequence diagrams drawn for each traction type, the following deductions can be made: Minimum Number of Locos and Trains Required to Operate Railway Item Units QJ 8AT DF4 SS3 Required number of passing loops in 100 km unit 4 5 3 2 Minimum number of trains in transit 6 Required train capacity (net) tonne 2,800 2,380 3,500 4,690 Required train capacity (gross) 3,720 3,162 4,650 6,231 Minimum number of locos/trains at loading station 1 Minimum train loading rate t/h 5,600 6,000 4,450 4,200 Loco detached for servicing at unload station no No Required rotary unloader capacity 1x5000 1x7000 Number of trains at unloading station Number of locos at unloading station Available time for loco servicing mins 43 35 50 25

55 Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements Additional locomotive requirements to cover maintenance can be estimated from maintenance frequency, maintenance downtime, and annual mileage of locomotives. Annual mileage is calculated as follows: Units QJ 8AT DF4 SS3 Number of wagons per train Unit 40 1 Loco standing time at loading station Mins 48 60 80 Number of locos at unloading station unit 2 Loco standing time at unloading station 96 Travel time on line (both ways) 120 Total turnaround time for each loco hours 6.4 6.0 6.5 7.1 Number of round trips per day per loco 3.8 4.0 3.7 3.4 Distance travelled by each loco per day km 750 800 738 675 Annual mileage for each locomotive 240,000 256,000 236,000 216,000

56 Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements Servicing requirements are as follows (from Chinese manufacturers): Annual mileage for each locomotive km 240,000 256,000 236,000 216,000 Major overhaul period 250,000 500,000 700,000 1,200,000 Time to complete major overhaul days* 15 Intermediate overhaul period 83,333 125,000 233,333 400,000 6 Scheduled maintenance period 22,500 24,000 30,000 40,000 Time to complete scheduled maintenance 2 Number of major overhauls per year unit 0.96 0.51 0.34 0.18 Time under major overhauls per year 14.4 7.9 4.4 2.7 Intermediate overhauls per year 1.92 1.54 0.68 0.36 Time under intermediate overhauls 11.5 9.2 3.5 2.2 Scheduled maintenances per year 10.67 6.86 4.86 Time under scheduled maintenance 21.3 11.9 9.7 Total time under maintenance per year 47.3 38.2 19.8 14.6 Percentage of time under maintenance % 15% 12% 6% 5% Percentage of loco fleet under maintenance Number of locos to cover maintenance theory 1.18 1.08 0.43 0.23 actual 1 * The estimated times for overhauls and scheduled maintenance are based on 24 hour per day operation, and have been increased above Chinese time estimates. These times will increase if working days are shorter.

57 Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements Summary of Loco Requirements Minimum number of trains in transit unit 5 6 4 3 Minimum number of locos/trains at loading station 1 Number of locos at unloading station 2 Number of locos to cover maintenance actual Stand-by locos to cover breakdown etc§ est’d Total Loco Fleet Required 13 14 10 7 § The number of standby locomotives is based on subjective judgement, taking into account the difference between the actual number of locos provided to cover maintenance and the theoretical number that are required.

58 Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Estimating Rolling Stock Requirements Summary of Wagon Requirements Note:- Longer trains require more wagons. This is because individual wagons spend more time idle waiting for their (longer) trains to unload. At $75,000 per wagon, the cost difference between the cost of the wagon fleets for diesel and 8AT steam traction is around $4.5 million - a “hidden” saving for steam. Other hidden savings from smaller (steam hauled) trains include lower drawgear loads and lower rail and flange wear on curves. Number of trains in transit unit 5 6 4 3 Number of trains at loading station 1 Number of trains at unloading station 2 Number of trains to cover maintenance est’d Total number of trains required 9 10 8 Number of wagons per train 40 34 50 67 Total Wagon Fleet Required 360 340 400 402 Point out the savings from using shorter trains.

59 Locomotive Cost Comparisons
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail PART 6 Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimate capital cost (including locomotive infrastructure requirements), and amortization period; Estimate annual maintenance costs; Estimate labour costs associated with loco operation & servicing; Estimate water costs for steam locos, including treatment; Estimate fuel consumption and compare with recorded data; Estimate fuel costs.

60 Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Capital Costs
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Capital Costs Steam loco fuelling and servicing facilities – estimated price $4 million; Diesel loco fuelling and servicing facilities – estimated price $2 million; Electric loco servicing facilities – estimated price $1 million; Electrical infrastructure - $530,000 per km (from Chinese data) QJ cost including reconditioning and shipping ~ $0.4 million (quoted) DF4-D and SS-3 cost including shipping ~ $1.25 million (quoted) 8AT steam loco (built in China or similar) ~ $2.5 million (estimated) Note: Estimate unit cost of 8AT locomotives includes a margin to cover the cost of design, building and testing of a prototype loco.

61 Estimating Capital Costs
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Capital Costs Capital Cost and Depreciation Estimates units QJ 8AT DF4 SS3 Electrical infrastructure cost $m 61.3 Servicing infrastructure cost 4.0 2.0 1.0 Number of locomotives required unit 13 14 10 7 Cost per locomotive 0.40 2.5 1.25 Cost of locomotive fleet 5.20 35.0 12.0 8.40 Depreciation period for infrastructure years 25 Depreciation period for locos Years Amortized cost of infrastructure $m/year 0.160 0.080 2.493 Amortized cost of locomotives 0.520 1.400 0.480 0.360 Total Amortization Cost of Traction 0.680 1.560 0.560 2.829

62 Estimating Loco Maintenance Costs
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Loco Maintenance Costs Maintenance Schedules for Chinese Locomotives Item QJ Steam DF4 Diesel SS3 Electric Major Overhaul Period 250,000 km or 3 yrs 700,000 km or 6 yrs 1,200,000 km or 10 yrs Major Overhaul Cost $45,000 (2006) $200,000 (1997) $250,000 (1997) Intermediate Overhaul Period 83,000 km or 1 yr 250,000 km or 2 yrs 400,000 km or 3 yrs Intermediate Overhaul Cost $25,000 (2006) $50,000 (1997) $65,000 (1997) Regular Maintenance Period 22,500 km (assumed) 30,000 km or 3 mths 40,000 km or 6 mths Regular Maintenance Cost $5000 (assumed) $10,000 (1997) $12,000 (1997)

63 Estimating Loco Maintenance Costs
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Loco Maintenance Costs 8AT maintenance frequencies are based on the mileages achieved by the Porta-modified RFIRT locomotives operating in Argentina (see next slide). Costs are based on quoted maintenance costs for Chinese steam locos. Proposed Maintenance Schedules for 8AT Locos Major Overhaul Period 500,000 km or 3 yrs Major Overhaul Cost $50,000 Intermediate Overhaul Period 125,000 km or 1 yr Intermediate Overhaul Cost $25,000 Regular Maintenance Period 24,000 km Regular Maintenance Cost $5,000

64 Reliability Record from Rio Turbio Railway’s Locos that incorporated some (minor) Porta improvements
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail 480,000 km before main (white metal) bearings needed replacing = 180 million revolutions of the 850mm dia driving wheels; 70,000 km between tyre profiling = 26 million revolutions; No superheater replacements in 500,000 km despite high steam temperatures (>400oC); No boiler tube replacement in 400,000 km (apart from tubes damaged during installation); No boiler repairs in 400,000 km of service; Piston rod packings lasted 400,000 km (150 million revolutions); Max steam leakage 1.7% of max evaporation after 70,000 km.

65 Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Loco Maintenance Costs
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Loco Maintenance Costs units QJ 8AT DF4 SS3 Major overhaul frequency km 250,000 500,000 700,000 1.2m Major overhaul cost $ 45,000 50,000 230,000 287,500 Intermediate overhaul frequency 83,000 125,000 233,000 400,000 Intermediate overhaul cost 25,000 57,500 74,750 Regular maintenance frequency 22,500 24,000 30,000 40,000 Regular maintenance cost 5,000 11,500 13,800 Average loco km per year 111,000 123,000 115,200 123,400 Major maintenance cost / loco / year 19,900 12,300 37,800 29,600 Interm’t maintenance cost / loco / year 16,600 16,500 14,200 Regular maintenance cost / loco/ year 24,600 25,700 44,100 42,600 Total maintenance cost / loco / year 61,100 54,500 96,200 83,700 Number of locos in fleet unit 13 14 10 7 Total cost of maintenance per year $m 0.795 0.763 0.962 0.586

66 Locomotive Cost Comparisons
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Labour Costs (associated with locomotive operation and servicing) Each operating steam loco will require 2 operators or “enginemen”; Each operating diesel and electric loco will require 1 operator; “Old steam” traction will require 8 people for locomotive servicing duties; “Modern steam” traction will require 4 people for locomotive servicing duties; Diesel traction will require only 2 servicemen at the servicing depot; Electric traction will require 6 servicemen, including 2 at the servicing depot and one linesman in each section of track between passing loops; No allowance is made for maintenance personnel whose costs are included maintenance cost estimates. Operating and servicing personnel will cost $5,000 per annum.

67 Locomotive Cost Comparisons
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Labour Costs (associated with locomotive operation and servicing) Note: $5000 p.a. wage rate is generous for developing countries units QJ JS SY 8AT DF4 SS3 Labour shifts per day 3 Crew members per loco 2 1 Number of locos in operation 8 9 16 7 5 Total loco crew 48 54 96 21 15 Servicing crew per shift 4 6 Total servicing crew 24 12 18 Total labour requirement 72 78 120 66 27 33 Unit labour cost per annum $ 5,000 Labour cost per annum $m 0.360 0.390 0.600 0.330 0.135 0.165

68 Locomotive Cost Comparisons
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Water Costs (steam locos only) Assumed water cost - $0.30 per tonne; Assumed water treatment cost - $1.00 per tonne (based on UK costs) QJ performance curves used to estimate water consumption based on the steaming rate required to maintain the horsepower outputs derived fr coal consumption estimates. 8AT consumption figures are conservatively estimated to be 80% those of an equivalent size Chinese loco (JS type) hauling the same load.

69 Locomotive Cost Comparisons
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Water Consumption For Loaded Journey Item Units QJ JS 8AT Gross train weight tonne 3,720 3,162 Wheel rim TE at 50 km/h (see note) kN 119 101 - Wheel rim power at 50 km/h kW 1,653 1,403 Steam consumption per hour per m2 kg 59 66 Heating surface area (excluding superheater) m2 255.3 213 Steam production kg/hr 15,063 14,058 Journey time over 100 km railway h 2.0 Steam consumption 30 28 22 Note: The wheel rim TE values include a 100% load factor applied to train rolling resistance values on straight level track to account for grades and curvatures.

70 Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Water Consumption
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Water Consumption For Empty Journey Item Units QJ JS 8AT Empty train weight tonne 920 782 Wheel rim TE at 50 km/h (see note) kN 85 73 - Wheel rim power at 50 km/h kW 1,181 1,014 Steam consumption per hour per m2 kg 43 46 Heating surface area (excluding superheater) M2 255.3 213 Steam production kg/hr 10,978 9,798 Journey time over 100 km railway h 2.0 Steam consumption 22 20 16 Note: The wheel rim TE values include a 100% load factor applied to train rolling resistance values on straight level track to account for grades and curvatures.

71 Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Annual Water Costs
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Annual Water Costs Item Units QJ JS 8AT Steam consumption Loaded Journey tonne 30 28 22 Steam consumption 20 16 Total water consumption per round trip 52 48 38 Number of round trips per year unit 7,143 8.403 8,403 Total Water Consumed 371,863 400,941 320,753 Water cost including treatment $/t 1.30 Total Water Cost including treatment $m 0.483 0.521 0.417

72 Locomotive Cost Comparisons
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating cost per kWh of energy output for each traction type Assumptions: Coal used is the NAR value for Lumut BA70 coal with NAR calorific value of 6500 kg/kcal. Calorific value for diesel is an industry average of 10,200 kg/kcal; Representative drawbar thermal efficiencies used for each traction type; “Fuel consumption” of electric loco = kWh consumed ÷ kWh supplied; Electrical losses from the point of supply to the loco drawbar = 20%; Unit cost for electric power $0.08 per kWh and $700 per tonne for gas oil; Ex-mine coal price = $20 per tonne. Note: Export coal price is not used because it includes costs of loading, transportation, storage, blending, loading onto ship, plus profit, which do not apply to coal used for locomotive fuel.

73 Locomotive Cost Comparisons
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating cost per kWh of energy output for each traction type Units QJ 8AT DF4 SS3 Energy Conversion Factor kcal/kW-h 860 - Max Drawbar Thermal Efficiency % 8% 15% 30% Assumed Drawbar Thermal Efficiency 6% 10% 25% 80% Fuel Calorific Value Kcal/kg 6,500 10,200 Fuel Consumption Kg/kWh 2.205 1.323 0.337 1.250 Fuel Cost per tonne $/t $20 $700 $0.08 Cost of Fuel per kW-h of loco’s output US cents 4.41 2.65 23.61 10.00 Draw attention to very large differences in cost of energy delivered by each loco type.

74 Locomotive Cost Comparisons
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Fuel Consumption for each traction type Assumptions: Train rolling resistance calculated using Chinese formulae - viz: RRF = V V2 N/tonne for full wagons and RRE = V V2 N/tonne for empty wagons . At average train speed = 50 km/h, RRF = 15 kN/t and RRE = 42.6 kN/t; Arbitrary 100% “Load Factor” added to allow for trains stopping, starting, climbing hills, braking when descending, and negotiating curves.

75 Estimating Fuel Consumption for Loaded Journeys
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Fuel Consumption for Loaded Journeys Note: Fuel consumption figures per 106 t-km are consistent with Chinese statistical data – see next slide. Units QJ 8AT DF4 SS3 Gross train weight Tonne 3,720 3,162 4,650 6,231 Specific rolling resistance full train N/t 15 Rolling resistance (level track) kN 55.8 47.5 69.8 93.5 Load factor for curves and grades % 100 Rolling resistance (curved track) 111.7 94.9 139.6 187.1 Power consumed overcoming resistance kN-km/h 5,584 4,746 6,980 9,353 kW 1,511 1,319 1,939 2,599 Specific fuel consumption Kg/kWh or kW/kWh 2.205 1.323 0.337 1.250 Fuel consumption rate for loaded journey kg/h or kWh/h 3,421 1,745 654 3,248 Fuel consumption for loaded journey kg/km or kWh/km 68.4 39.4 13.1 65.0 Fuel consumed on loaded journey t or kWh 6.84 3.94 1.31 5,500 Fuel consumption per million tonne-km tonne/106 t-km 18.39 11.04 2.81 10,426

76 Comparative figures - Steam vs. Diesel from China National Railways
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Comparative figures - Steam vs. Diesel from China National Railways Year Available locos per day Train Gross mT-km (106 t-km) Loco Failures per 106 t-km Av. Fuel Consumption per 106 t-km (tonne) Unit Price of Fuel ($US/tonne)* Fuel Cost of Traction $US/106 t-km Steam Diesel 1987 5,317 3,282 770,009 750,090 3.0 11.0 11.09 2.59 24 367 267 951 1995 3,061 6,224 268,998 1,435,365 3.4 16.8 13.74 2.43 331 893 1999 1,013 7,825 32,475 1,682,046 13.1 20.66 2.62 497 962 2003 - 8,585 1,384,996 7.0 2.54 993 Note - Fuel consumption figures would have applied to loaded trains because Chinese trains never ran empty in those days (and seldom run empty today). Notes: These figures are taken from official statistics of the Operating Department of China’s National Railway, as published by State authorities in March 2004. * “Unit Price of Fuel” figures do not include contemporary fuel costs; costs are used for comparative purposes (converted at RMB 8.3 per USD).

77 Estimating Fuel Consumption for Empty Journeys
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Fuel Consumption for Empty Journeys Units QJ 8AT DF4 SS3 Tare weight of empty train T 920 782 1,150 1,541 Specific rolling resistance empty train N/t 42.6 Load factor for curves and grades % 100 Rolling resistance (curved track) kN 78.4 66.7 98.1 131.4 Power consumed overcoming resistance kW 1,090 926 1,362 1,825 Fuel consumption for empty journey kg/km or kWh/km 48.1 24.5 9.2 45.6 Fuel consumed on empty journey t or kWh 4.81 2.45 0.92 4,560 Fuel consumption per million tonne-km tonne/106 t-km 52.24 31.34 7.99 29,614

78 Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Fuel Costs per Annum
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Locomotive Cost Comparisons Estimating Fuel Costs per Annum Units QJ 8AT DF4 SS3 Annual Tonnage Throughput m.t 20 Distance hauled km 100 Total net million tonne-km per year m.t-m/y 2,000 Gross wagon weight t 93 Net wagon weight 70 Ratio gross to net tonnes - 1.33 Total million tonne-km per year (full) m.t-km/y 2,657 Fuel consumption per million tonne-km t or kWh 18.39 11.04 2.81 10,426 Total fuel consumed hauling full trains 48,871 29,322 7,474 27.7m Total million tonne-km per year (empty) 657 52.24 31.34 7.99 29,614 Total fuel consumed hauling empty trains 34,330 20,598 5,250 19.5m Total fuel consumed - full and empty trains 83,201 49,921 12,725 47.2m Cost of Fuel per tonne or kWh $ 700 0.08 Cost of Fuel per year of operation $m 1.664 0.998 8.907 3.773 Draw attention to large differences in fuel costs

79 Locomotive Cost Comparisons
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Locomotive Cost Comparisons Comparison of Overall Costs per Annum Notes: 1: Electrical costs exclude maintenance of electrical infrastructure; 2: Extra capital cost of 8AT vs. diesel will be recovered within 3½ years. 3: 8AT costs are likely to be lower than those assumed in this study Units QJ 8AT DF4 SS3 Amortized Cost of Locos and servicing infrastructure: $m 0.680 1.560 0.560 2.829 Total cost of maintenance per year 0.795 0.763 0.962 0.586 Labour cost per year 0.360 0.330 0.135 0.165 Total water cost including treatment 0.483 0.417 nil Total fuel cost per year 1.664 0.998 8.907 3.773 Total Operating Cost per Year 3.983 4.069 10.564 7.353 Cost per tonne of freight hauled $/t 0.20 0.53 0.37 Cost per million-net-tonne-km $/mt-km 1,991 2,034 5,282 3,676 Cost ratio compared to QJ option % 100% 102% 265% 185% Cost difference compared to QJ - 0.085 6.581 3.370 8AT costs are likely to be lower than shown – for instance, its maintenance costs should be much lower than the QJ (not so here); capital cost should not be twice the cost of a Chinese diesel or electric loco (as assumed here). Water costs should probably be lower than shown.

80 Locomotive Cost Comparisons
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Locomotive Cost Comparisons Sensitivity of Cost Assumptions on Cost Comparisons Annual costs in $ million, taken from spreadsheet analysis Notes: 1: Even with $25 per tonne “carbon tax”, the 8AT would remain cheaper than other options (see later slide). 2: Diesel costs very sensitive to fuel prices, because they are largest component. Diesel traction costs are likely to escalate much more rapidly than steam’s. QJ 8AT DF4 SS3 Calculated Operating Cost per Year from Table 21 3.983 4.069 10.564 7.353 Doubling of labour costs to $10,000 p.a. 4.343 4.398 10.699 7.518 Doubling of water cost to $2.60 per tonne 4.466 4.486 Doubling steam locomotive maintenance costs 4.777 4.831 Doubling steam loco and infrastructure capital cost 4.662 5.682 Doubling steam locomotive fuel cost (to $40 per t) 5.646 5.067 50% increase in price of diesel (to $1050 per t) 15.018 Note – even if labour costs are increased to £100,000 per year (developed country wages), the QJ is still 20% cheaper than diesel and the 8AT still cheaper than both electric and diesel. If coal costs were also higher, this would have a negative effect on steam’s economics.

81 Environmental Considerations
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Part 7 Environmental Considerations CO2 emissions Smoke emissions Other considerations Positive considerations

82 Environmental Considerations Carbon Emissions
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Environmental Considerations Carbon Emissions Coal-burning steam locos will inevitably generate more CO2 than diesels, because of coal’s higher carbon content and steam’s lower thermal efficiency; Coal-burning “modern steam” traction cannot compete with diesel in terms of carbon emissions; A recent study by Brian McCammon has produced estimates of “carbon dioxide equivalent” footprints for different traction types – see next slide:

83 Environmental Considerations
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Environmental Considerations Comparison of CO2-e Emission between Traction Types when hauling a 2800 tonne train at 45 km/h over 100 km, taken from report by Brian McCammon Item Units Old Steam Mod Steam Electric Diesel Fuel Sub-bituminous Coal Fuel Oil Drawbar efficiency (assumed) % 6 10 23 25 Average drawbar power (estimated) kW 932 Drawbar energy output kW-h 2071 Energy input 34,518 20,711 9,005 8,282 GJ 124.3 74.6 29.8 32.4 Fuel net calorific value MJ/kg 20.9 42.7 Mass of fuel burned Tonne 5.6 3.4 1.5 0.6 Direct Emissions Factor kg CO2-e/GJ 92.8 82.6 Fugitive Emissions Factor 1.9 11.8 Total Emissions Factor 94.7 94.4 Total Emissions tonnes of CO2-e 7.1 3.1 2.8 Total Emissions per tonne of fuel burned t-CO2-e/t fuel 2.11 4.33 Total Emissions per tonne-km of haulage gm - CO2-e 42.0 25.2 11.0 10.1 Total Emissions per unit of energy output kg(CO2)/db-kWh 5.70 3.42 1.37 1.19 Notes: 1: “CO2-e” = “CO2 equivalent”. Includes equivalent weight of CO2 of other greenhouse gases such as nitrous oxide and methane that are released in the mining, processing, transportation and burning of the fuels; 2: Efficiency of electric traction includes power station and transmission losses as well as the railway’s local losses in the power distribution system and locomotive. 83

84 Environmental Considerations
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Environmental Considerations Effects of a $25 CO2 Emissions Charge on Traction Costs Units QJ 8AT DF4 SS3 Fuel Consumption Kg/kWh 2.205 1.323 0.337 1.250 Assumed cost of fuel $/t or $/kWh 20 700 0.08 CO2-e per tonne of fuel t-CO2-e/t 2.11 4.33 CO2-e per tonne tax rate $/t CO2-e 25 Carbon tax charge $/t of fuel 53 108 Effective fuel cost (including tax) $ per t or $ per kWh 73 808 0.10 Cost of energy input (including tax) cents per kWh 16.04 27.26 13.01 84

85 Environmental Considerations
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Environmental Considerations Note: 1: the 8AT is still clearly cheaper than all other traction options. 2: By the time a $25 per tonne carbon tax is applied to developing countries, the cost of oil is likely to have risen substantially. Effects of a $25 CO2 Emissions Charge on Traction Costs Units QJ 8AT DF4 SS3 Total fuel used per round trip (from Table 20) t or kWh 83,201 49,921 12,725 47.2m Cost of Fuel per tonne or kWh (from Tbl 24a) $ 73 808 0.10 Cost of Fuel per year of operation $m 6.053 3.632 10.284 4.908 From previous cost table: Total Amortization Cost of Locos and infrastructure: 0.680 1.560 0.560 2.829 Total cost of maintenance per year 0.795 0.763 0.962 0.586 Labour cost per year 0.360 0.330 0.135 0.165 Total water cost including treatment 0.483 0.417 nil Total Operating Cost per Year 8.371 6.701 11.941 8.488 Cost per tonne of freight hauled $/t 0.42 0.34 0.60 Cost per million-net-tonne-km $/mt-km 4,186 3,351 5,971 4,244 Cost ratio compared to QJ option % - 80 143 101 Cost difference compared to QJ -1.669 3.570 0.116 85

86 Environmental Considerations
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Environmental Considerations Comparison of CO2-e Emission between Traction Types when hauling a 2800 tonne train at 45 km/h over 100 km, taken from report by Brian McCammon Item Units Old Steam Mod Steam Electric Diesel Fuel Sub-bituminous Coal Gas Oil Drawbar efficiency (assumed) % 6 10 23 25 Average drawbar power (estimated) kW 932 Drawbar energy output kW-h 2071 Energy input 34,518 20,711 9,005 8,282 GJ 124.3 74.6 29.8 32.4 Fuel net calorific value MJ/kg 20.9 42.7 Mass of fuel burned Tonne 5.6 3.4 1.5 0.6 Direct Emissions Factor kg CO2-e/GJ 92.8 82.6 Fugitive Emissions Factor 1.9 11.8 Total Emissions Factor 94.7 94.4 Total Emissions tonnes of CO2-e 7.1 3.1 2.8 Total Emissions per tonne of fuel burned t-CO2-e/t fuel 2.11 4.33 Total Emissions per tonne-km of haulage gm - CO2-e 42.0 25.2 11.0 10.1 Total Emissions per unit of energy output kg(CO2)/db-kWh 5.70 3.42 1.37 1.19 Notes: 1: “CO2-e” = “CO2 equivalent”. Includes equivalent weight of CO2 of other greenhouse gases such as nitrous oxide and methane that are released in the mining, processing, transportation and burning of the fuels; 2: Efficiency of electric traction includes power station and transmission losses as well as the railway’s local losses in the power distribution system and locomotive. 86

87 Environmental Considerations Smoke Emissions
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Environmental Considerations Smoke Emissions Steam locos in good condition do not normally emit large quantities of “nuisance” smoke when operating; Modern steam locos with GPCS fireboxes should emit less smoke because of more complete combustion; Smoke nuisance is normally limited to large locomotive storage sheds when located near residential areas. Not likely to be a problem for a railway with only 12 locos operating 24 hours a day (i.e. not put into storage at night). 87

88 Environmental Considerations Smoke Emissions
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Environmental Considerations Smoke Emissions Chinese locos are renown for smoke-free operation. Diesels are not smoke-free 88

89 Environmental Considerations Other Considerations
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Environmental Considerations Other Considerations Ash disposal; Treatment of high pH water disposal after boiler washes; Disposal of waste lubricant disposal before overhauls; Controlling coal dust during refuelling operations; Controlling coal smoke inside workshop buildings. 89

90 Environmental Considerations Positive Considerations
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Environmental Considerations Positive Considerations Steam engines can generate carbon-neutral power through combustion of any form of bio-fuel (solid or liquid). Steam engines (stationary or mobile) have commonly burned carbon-neutral fuels including wood and agricultural waste products like bagasse and rice husks; McCammon’s research shows that a coal-fired 8AT will produce only 2½ times more CO2 than diesel or electric traction. Further development will see its carbon footprint reduced much further; Improvements can only be achieved through investment in research and development. Re-establishment of steam traction for coal haulage may provide an incentive for further development of the technology. 90

91 Potential Development Path for Modern Steam Traction
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Potential Development Path for Modern Steam Traction Further development opportunities include: Pulverized coal for improved combustion and automated firing; Steam Condensing; Steam Turbine Generator with Electric Drive; Regenerative Braking. Benefits will include: Lower manning levels (competitive with diesel traction) Thermal Efficiencies >20% (competitive with diesel traction) Lower carbon emissions (competitive with diesel traction). 91

92 Potential Development Path for Modern Steam Traction
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Potential Development Path for Modern Steam Traction “Garratt” formation with central boiler, twin engine units and end-cabs

93 Benefits of adopting Steam Traction to Local Communities
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Part 8 Benefits of adopting Steam Traction to Local Communities Tourism Opportunities: Steam locos attract tourists; Employment Opportunities: Steam employs more people both for operating and servicing; Business Opportunities: Steam parts can be made by local manufacturers. So too can locomotives, offering a export possibilities to other coal producing countries . 93

94 Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail
Part 9 Conclusions Steam traction is a technically viable option for freight haulage, especially where gradients are not steep; Steam traction is (by a substantial margin) the most cost-competitive option for haulage of coal where coal and labour costs are low; Steam’s cost advantage is insensitive to large changes in cost assumptions; Diesel’s costs are highly sensitive to increases in fuel costs which are likely to occur in the future; Modern steam offers the lowest operating costs, and its cost advantage will increase as fuel and labour costs rise. Steam’s cost advantage is enhanced by the smaller wagon fleet that is needed, and by haulage of shorter trains; Further study is needed in some areas to more clearly define the design requirements for a steam-driven railway system (see next slide). 94

95 Recommendations for Further Study
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Conclusions Recommendations for Further Study Railway’s Efficiency: If the assumed efficiency (75%) is too high, it will affect train sizes, loops siding spacing, and rolling stock requirements (but not enough to affects steam’s cost supremacy); Fuel and Water Consumption need more detailed analysis based on the actual grades and curvature of the railway. If locos have to be refuelled at both ends of the line, then the project design needs to allow for transportation of loco fuel to the unloading station. Flow Properties of Export Coal must be undertaken if any consideration is given to use of bottom-dump wagons. The type of wagon and unloading system affects the turn-around time of trains and therefore the locomotive (and wagon) fleet requirements. Locomotive Servicing needs more detailed analysis to determine servicing times that can be reliably achieved. Servicing time affects the turn-around time of trains and therefore the loco fleet numbers. 95

96 Supplementary Recommendations
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Conclusions Supplementary Recommendations Ruling Gradient of Railway: It is strongly recommended that where economically practical, the ruling gradient of any steam operated railway should not exceed 0.5% (1 in 200). Because of their limited adhesion, steam locomotives do not climb well. Coal Quality: The calculations in this study imply that locomotive fuel consumption is directly related to the CV of the fuel. Whilst this is true in theory, in practice fuel consumption increases exponentially as coal quality declines. It is of utmost importance that the best available coal (high CV; low ash; high volatiles; low moisture; lump coal with few fines) be reserved for locomotive fuel. 96

97 Conclusions New Steam Locos can be built in 21st Century
Economics of Modern Steam Traction in Transportation of Coal by Rail Conclusions New Steam Locos can be built in 21st Century Switzerland UK South Africa

98 End Sincere thanks to: Malcolm Cluett (Australia)
Brian McCammon (New Zealand) Alan Fozard and John Hind (UK) Hugh Odom (USA) Feb 2008


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