1. Statistics 200b. Chapter 5. Chapter 4: inference via likelihood now Chapter 5: applications to particular situations

2. annual max sea levels 1931-81 Y: max cm x: year

3. 5.1 Straight-line regression. How one variable depends on others Response, Y, random Explanatories, x, fixed (covariates)

4. Reparametrize. Simplifies several things

5. Likelihood analysis.

7. Distributions.  j : IN(0,  2 ) Linear combinations of normals

9. Venice sea level. n = 51

10. Prediction. at x +

12. Example.

13. annual max sea levels 1931-81 Y: max cm x: year

14. (Raw) residuals.