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Chapter 8 – Normal Probability Distribution A probability distribution in which the random variable is continuous is a continuous probability distribution. The normal probability distribution is the most common continuous probability distribution.
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Nature of the normal distribution Characteristics of normal distribution 1.Bell-shaped with a single peak 2.Symmetrical so two halves are mirror images Look at figure 8-3 on page 164 There are numerous normal distributions that have the same mean, but different standard deviations. Look at figure 8-4 on page 165.
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Importance of the normal distribution. The normal distribution is very important for two good reasons. 1. It can be used as an approximation for many other distributions. 2. Many random variables in the real world follow a normal distribution.
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The standard normal distribution Any normal distribution with a mean and a standard deviation can be converted to a standard normal distribution. The standard normal distribution has a mean of zero and a standard deviation of one. So the standard normal distribution looks like the one shown below.
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Standard Distribution (con’t) Once converted to the standard normal distribution, the random variable is denoted by Z. The conversion is done by using the following formula: Z=(X- )/ . Formula 8-1 p. 167 Where X is the original random variable with a mean of and a standard deviation of .
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Standard Distribution (con’t) Probability of X being greater than 700 is the same as the probability of Z being greater than 2. P(X>700) = P(Z>2)
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Standard Distribution (con’t) Example Problems 8-1, p. 167 Z = (700-500) / 100 = 2 300 400 500 600 700 X-Scale -2 -1 0 1 2 Z-Scale
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Areas under the normal curve Areas under the normal curve can be found by using appendix D, p. 478. Let’s remember a few things 1. The area under the normal curve totals 100%. 2. Since the normal curve is symmetrical, 50% of the area is to the right of the mean and the other 50% to the left.
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Finding the area Example problem 8-3, p. 168, P(Z >1.64)=1- P(Z < 1.64) =1- 0.9495=0.0505 Example Problem 8-4, page 169 P(Z > -1.65) = P(Z < 1.65) = 0.9505 Example Problem 8-5, p. 169-170 Example Problem 8-6, page 170 Problem #4, page 173 Problem #7, page 174 Problem #10, page 174 Problem #11, page 174
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Applications of Z-score By now, we know how to use appendix D for finding probabilities. Let’s solve some real-life problems using appendix D. Example problem 8-10, p. 175 Example Problem 8-11, p. 176 Problem#6, p. 180 Problem #10, p. 181 Problem #14, p. 181
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Sampling Distribution of Mean If several samples of size n are taken from a population (whose mean is and standard deviation is ) and their means are computed, these means are normally distributed with a mean of and a standard deviation of / n.
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Central Limit Theorem Calculation of probabilities for sample _ mean, X: _ X - Z = -------- / n Formula 8-6, Page 189 Example Problem 8-16 (Page 190) Problem #5 (Page 191-192), Problem #11 (Page 192-193)
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