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Georgia Association of School Personnel Administrators November 30, 2011 1Examine the Data for Education in Georgia 2Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates.

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Presentation on theme: "Georgia Association of School Personnel Administrators November 30, 2011 1Examine the Data for Education in Georgia 2Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates."— Presentation transcript:

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2 Georgia Association of School Personnel Administrators November 30, 2011 1Examine the Data for Education in Georgia 2Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates 3Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline 4What Can We Do?

3 Examine the Data for Education in Georgia

4 Academic Achievement Milestones School Readiness Literacy by 3 rd Grade Numeracy by 8 th Grade High School Graduation Workforce and/or College Ready

5 Percent of Children Age 3-5 Enrolled in Early Education, 2009 Source: The Annie E. Casey Foundation, KIDS COUNT Data Center. 20 th State 61% United States 60% Georgia 64%

6 NAEP 2011 4 th Grade Reading At or Above Basic Source: National Center for Education Statistics Georgia & US Average 66% 20 th State 70%

7 NAEP 2011 8 th Grade Math At or Above Basic Source: National Center for Education Statistics United States 72% Georgia 68% 20 th State 77%

8 Source: NCES (2010). Public School Graduates and Dropouts: School Year 2007-08. 20 th State 79% Georgia 65.4% High School Graduation Rates: State-by-State Rankings United States 74.9%

9 Georgia High School Graduation Rates Source: The Governor’s Office of Student Achievement, State Report Cards. Year High School Graduation Rate Number of High School Non-Grads 200772%28,883 200875%27,248 200979%23,567 201081%21,803 201181%21,844 Total123,345

10 Economic Impact of Georgia Non-Graduates

11 Education Pays Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Earnings & unemployment for full-time workers age 25 & older, not seasonally adjusted. EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT & EMPLOYMENT Unemployment RateSept 2011 Median Wkly Earnings (& approx. annual) 15% 10%5%0%02006001000 4.2 Bachelor’s Degree & Higher $1,152 ($58,500) 8.3 Some college/ Associate Degree $731 ($38,012) 9.1 HS Graduates, No College $636 ($33,072) 13.0 Less than a High School Diploma $459 ($23,868)

12 Unemployment Rates by Education Level Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, February 2010.

13 Unemployment Rates by County: Aug. 2011 Source: Georgia Department of Labor; State average = 10.4%

14 State Service Delivery Regions

15 Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion How much could YOUR region benefit from this additional income currently being foregone? Source: Isley, P. & Hill, J. “Updated Economic Impact of High School Non-Completion in Georgia: 2005 Estimate,” Georgia Southern University. April 2007. *According to GSU study, totals may not add due to rounding. Region 1$2.2 billion Region 2$1.2 billion Region 3$4.2 billion Region 4$1.1 billion Region 5$1.1 billion Region 6$1.0 billion Region 7$1.1 billion Region 8$0.9 billion Region 9$0.9 billion Region 10$2.0 billion Region 11$1.0 billion Region 12$1.1 billion TOTAL$18 billion*

16 Compounded Impacts of High School Non-Completion Source: Levin, H., et al., (2007). The Costs and Benefits of an Excellent Education for All of America’s Children. INDIVIDUALSTHE COMMUNITY Lower Lifetime Earnings Reduced buying power & tax revenues; less economic growth Decreased health status; Higher mortality rates; More criminal activity Higher health care & criminal justice costs Higher teen pregnancy rates; Single motherhood Higher public services costs Less voting; Less volunteering Low rate of community involvement

17 Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline

18 KEY ISSUE #1 Early Life Experiences KEY ISSUE #2 Academic Achievement K-12 KEY ISSUE #3 Transitions to Work or College

19 Family Income Affects School Readiness Source: National Center for Education Statistics. (2004). Early Longitudinal Study, Kindergarten Class of 1998-99. Achievement Gap as Children Enter Kindergarten

20 Disparities in Early Vocabulary Growth Source: Hart, B. and Risley, T. R. (2003). “The Early Catastrophe: The 30 Million Word Gap by Age 3.” Professional Families 1,116 words Working Class Families 749 words Welfare Families 525 words

21 Economic Benefits of Early Education: Perry Preschool Study Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40.

22 Economic Benefits of Early Education: Perry Preschool Study Source: Schweinhart, L.J., et al. (2005). Lifetime effects: The High/Scope Perry Preschool study through age 40.

23 Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline KEY ISSUE #2 Academic Achievement K-12

24 6 th Grade Outcomes Can Predict Failure to Graduate High School Source: Balfanz, R. (2007). Preventing Student Disengagement and Keeping Students on the Graduation Path in Urban Middle-Grades Schools: Early Identification and Effective Intervetions. Flag in Sixth Grade Percent with this flag who… Attended ≤ 80% Failed Math Course Failed English Course Suspended Out of School Un- satisfactory Behavior Graduated on time 13 121624 Did not graduate 8381828071

25 Cost of Student Retention in Georgia (2010) 59,999X$8,760= More than $525 million Georgia students retained in 09-10 Average annual cost of education per student Total cost of student retention in 2009 for Georgia Source: Georgia Department of Education; Partnership Calculation Example for Troup County School System: 376X$8,874=$3,336,624

26 Essential Building Blocks of High Performing States Higher Standards Rigorous Curriculum Clear Accountability System Statewide Student Information System Leadership Training

27 3 rd Grade Reading Achievement in Georgia: Closing the Gaps Source: Georgia Department of Education. % of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards

28 8 th Grade Math Achievement in Georgia: Closing the Gaps Source: Georgia Department of Education. % of Students Meeting or Exceeding Standards

29 High School Graduation Rates in Georgia: Closing the Gaps Source: Georgia Department of Education.

30 Strengthening the Birth to Work Pipeline KEY ISSUE #3 Transitions to Work or College

31 Demand for postsecondary education has increased, and will continue to increase during and after the recovery. Source: Anthony Carnevale’s analysis of March CPS data, various years; Center on Education and the Workforce forecast of educational demand to 2018, presented in The Recession: Accelerating the New Economy, September 2011.

32 Job LosersJob Gainers Structural Changes Through 2018 and Beyond Source: : Anthony Carneval’s presentation: The Recession: Accelerating the New Economy, September 2011.

33 Are They College Ready? Source: ACT. “The Condition of College & Career Readiness: Class of 2010.” Percent of Georgia High School Graduates Prepared for College Courses

34 Remediation Among College Freshmen Source: University System of Georgia Percent of 1 st -time Freshmen in Georgia’s Public Colleges & Universities Requiring Learning Support

35 What Can We Do?

36 Look at the Data for Your Community Benchmark against similar communities (demographically alike; geographic proximity) Consider multiple sources (KIDS COUNT, Department of Education, Georgia School Council Institute, etc.)

37 Improving the Pipeline: Low Birth Weight in 2009 GOAL: Reduce the number of low birth weight babies by 10 percent in Troup County. Troup CountyGeorgia Total # of births 909141,332 # of low weight births 9013,412 low birth weight rate 9.9%9.5% RESULT: 9 healthier babies! Source: Kids Count. Georgia Partnership Calculation. 81 8.9%

38 Improving the Pipeline: High School Graduation in 2010 GOAL: Improve the number of graduates by 10 percent in Troup County. Troup CountyGeorgia Total # of Graduates 85291,561 Graduation Rate 80.0%80.8% RESULT: 85 more high school graduates! Source: Georgia Department of Education. Georgia Partnership Calculation. 937 87.9%

39 Aligning Educational Strategies Aligned Acts of Improvement Random Acts of Improvement GOALS

40 How Will You Insulate the Birth to Work Pipeline? LEARNING & SOCIAL SUPPORTS Childcare Providers Afterschool Programs Academic Supports Job Training Civic Opportunities EarlyChildhood K – 12 System PostSecondary Work &Career ESSENTIAL COMMUNITY SERVICES Transportation Health Housing Financial Source: The Forum for Youth Investment

41 Help Insulate the Pipeline PostSecondary Read to children everyday Monitor the Quality Rating of your early learning centers Read and mentor students Volunteer with Junior Achievement Participate in Friday Night /College Lights and/ or Apply to College Month Support joint enrollment programs Provide internships Offer financial planning EarlyChildhood K – 12 System

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