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Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton Unemployment and the BLS.

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Presentation on theme: "Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton Unemployment and the BLS."— Presentation transcript:

1 Lectures in Macroeconomics- Charles W. Upton Unemployment and the BLS

2 Some Issues What do we mean by unemployment?

3 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues What do we mean by unemployment? –What does the BLS mean by Unemployment? –What do economists mean by unemployment?

4 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues What do we mean by unemployment? Is unemployment a good thing? –Why a healthy economy has unemployment –The natural rate of unemployment

5 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues What do we mean by unemployment? Is unemployment a good thing? Unemployment and the Business Cycle

6 Unemployment and the BLS The BLS and Unemployment The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) publishes monthly unemployment data. Interviews a sample of 60,000 workers.

7 Unemployment and the BLS Classification Employed (E)– worked at least one hour for pay last month. Voluntarily unemployed (VU)– not employed and not looking for work (including people in college, prisons, military, retired, stay-at-home mothers, etc.) Involuntarily unemployed (IU) – not employed and actively looking for work

8 Unemployment and the BLS The Unemployment Rate Civilian Labor Force (CLF) Unemployment Rate (U)

9 Unemployment and the BLS A Critique The Idea is good. We want to know the CLF and the percent unemployed.

10 Unemployment and the BLS A Critique The Idea is good. We want to know the CLF and the percent unemployed. Excluding children and Voluntary Employed makes sense

11 Unemployment and the BLS A Critique The Idea is good. We want to know the CLF and the percent unemployed. Excluding children and Voluntary Employed makes sense The BLS also makes seasonal adjustments. –Unadjusted U goes up in June and down in December.

12 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues How do you count this worker? E IU VU

13 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues How do you count this worker? E IU VU John was fired for incompetence and now looking for a comparable job.

14 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues How do you count this worker? E IU VU John was fired for incompetence and now looking for a comparable job. IU

15 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues How do you count this worker? E IU VU Sally quit to have a baby

16 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues How do you count this worker? E IU VU Sally quit to have a baby VU

17 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues How do you count this worker? E IU VU Beth took early retirement. Seeking a new position that does not involve relocation. Knows that nothing local is available

18 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues How do you count this worker? E IU VU Beth took early retirement. Seeking a new position that does not involve relocation. Knows that nothing local is available IU

19 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues How do you count this worker? E IU VU Bill works during tourist season in a dude ranch and draws unemployment compensation the rest of the year.

20 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues How do you count this worker? E IU VU Bill works during tourist season in a dude ranch and draws unemployment compensation the rest of the year. IU

21 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues How do you count this worker? E IU VU Joan has a 15 hour a week job, but wants to get full time employment

22 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues How do you count this worker? E IU VU Joan has a 15 hour a week job, but wants to get full time employment E

23 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues How do you count this worker? E IU VU David was laid off two months ago. Expects to be rehired when demand picks up in a month or two. Doing repairs on the house.

24 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues How do you count this worker? E IU VU David was laid off two months ago. Expects to be rehired when demand picks up in a month or two. Doing repairs on the house. IU

25 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues How do you count this worker? E IU VU Michael expects to graduate from college at the end of the semester, but is in despair about getting a job then.

26 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues How do you count this worker? E IU VU Michael expects to graduate from college at the end of the semester, but is in despair about getting a job then. VU

27 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues How do you count this worker? E IU VU Frank, aged 52, was laid off. Knows he cannot get a job in his profession so doesn’t try.

28 Unemployment and the BLS Some Issues How do you count this worker? E IU VU Frank, aged 52, was laid off. Knows he cannot get a job in his profession so doesn’t try. VU

29 Unemployment and the BLS The Process IU VU E

30 Unemployment and the BLS The Process IU VU E IU VU E

31 Unemployment and the BLS The Process IU VU E IU VU E

32 Unemployment and the BLS The Process IU VU E IU VU E

33 Unemployment and the BLS The Process IU VU E IU VU E

34 Unemployment and the BLS End ©2004 Charles W. Upton. All rights reserved


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