1. Scenarios for Tourism in 2023: The Role of Technology Dr Graham Miller Director of International Studies Reader in Management

2. Tourism in 2023?

3. Certain and significant Uncertain, but significant Certain, but not significant Uncertain, but not significant Significant Not certainCertain Not significant

4. Certain about... Climate Change Drought and water scarcity Growth in visitor numbers Cost of resources Ageing UK population Political instability, regional conflict and terrorism

5. Less certain about... The way people view mobility and the environment The extent and effect of legislation How expensive energy might be How strong the UK economy will be Will new technologies be successful? How active will older people be? How will the new global economies develop? How attractive and welcoming will destinations be?

6. The Scenarios

7. Overseas travel is attractive and easy

11. The Scenarios

12. Demand for overseas travel down as ethical issues to the fore

15. With thanks to... http://www.forumforthefuture.org