1. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis March 3, 2011 Springfield, Missouri Bill Elder Ozarks Chapter of AGA 2011 Membership Professional Development Seminar “Understanding and Utilizing Data”

2. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis DataData InformationInformation KnowledgeKnowledge WisdomWisdom “The construction of knowledge involves more the orderly loss of information than it’s meaningless accumulation.” -- Kenneth Boulding Http://WWW.OSEDA.MISSOURI.EDU OSEDA…

3. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Aligning indicators to questions To know you have asked the “right” questions and produced “useful” answers….focus on decision makers and decision-making. Michael Quinn Patton Discussion … “New Media…”

4. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Aligning indicators to questions To know you have asked the “right” questions and produced “useful” answers….focus on decision makers and decision-making. Michael Quinn Patton Discussion … “New Media…” “..No one of us is as good as all of us…” Dave Steckel

5. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Many Types of Models or Plans Formative –“Improve” –Periodic and timely –Focus on program activities and outputs –Leads to early recommendations for program improvement Summative –“Prove” –Were resources committed worthwhile –Focus on outcomes and impact –Measures value of program based on impact * Kellogg logic model development guide

6. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis New Census information … World: 6,892,893,953 U.S.: 311,874,651 (9.7%) Missouri: 5,988,927 (7.0%) 2010 Population Count & Percent Change from 2000 Check out new Census tools at census.gov and OSEDA and…. Elsewhere…

7. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis New Census information … Complete Count Data American Community Survey (ACS) “Period Estimates by Size” Just Google “Census” or “OSEDA” for More information

8. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis About to Lose the Missouri Ninth…

9. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Rapid growth and large states Five states account for 17% of U.S. Growth Six states account for 54% of U.S. Growth not just fast but.. Big 37 M 25 M 18.8 M

10. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Diverse Trends: Regions within Regions More Regions of growth near regions of decline

11. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis

21. Speaking English Less than “Very Well” In 2009, the ACS estimated that over 24.5 million persons in the U.S. speak English less than “very well” -- 8.6% of U.S. population over 5 years old. The corresponding number in Missouri was 118,793 or 2.1%. The Missouri five year ACS period estimates reflect a distribution of this population among service centers and certain agricultural industries.

22. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Male Female Male Female Population Pyramids of Missouri Percent of Total Population 20002020 New Pyramids in March

23. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis

24. Quality of Life

25. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Percent Population Over 65

26. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Aging in Place in the North Percent 85+

27. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis

28. Quality of Life --- Children

29. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Married-Couple Families In 2009, married-couple families comprised less than 50% of Missouri households. (Missouri, US Census, 2009 American Community Survey) County Estimates from 5-Year ACS Data.

30. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Married Couple Families with Children Missouri married couple families with children declined to 19.4% of households in 2009 -- nearly 29,000 fewer than in 2006 (ACS, 2009) County Estimates from 5-Year ACS Data.

31. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Commuting….. Percent of Working Outside County of Residence, 2005-2009 ACS County Estimates from 5-Year ACS Data.

32. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Household Income Missouri median household income increase by 5.3% between 2006 and 2009 from $42,841 to $45,229. Meanwhile, U.S. Median household income rose 3.5% from $48,451 to $50,221. Not surprisingly, the five year ACS period estimates show higher incomes associated with urban areas and major transportation routes.

33. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Sample ACS Information

34. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Challenging Times….

35. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Challenging Times... Regional Differences

36. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis High School Completers The 2009 ACS reported that 1.3 million Missourians 25 and older had a high school education (32.0%). The corresponding U.S. number is 57.6 million (28.5%). The ACS five year estimates show relatively lower rates of high school completion in south central Missouri and the “Bootheel.” Regions also associated lower income levels and higher poverty rates.

37. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Bachelor’s Degrees The 2009 ACS reported that nearly a million Missourians 25 and older had completed a bachelor’s degree (25.2%). That is up from 17.8% in 1990 and 21.6% in 2000. The corresponding U.S. number of persons with a bachelor’s degree in 2009 was 53.3 million (27.9%). Five-Year period ACS Estimates Shows Missourians with higher education are centered in regional trade and service centers

38. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis From the “Employer” Report: Returns to Associate Degrees

39. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis From the “Employer” Report: Returns to Bachelor Degrees

40. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Using Data Well

41. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis Indicators of Progress

42. Office of Social and Economic Data Analysis March 3, 2011 Springfield, Missouri Bill Elder Ozarks Chapter of AGA 2011 Membership Professional Development Seminar “Understanding and Utilizing Data”