1. Galway-related Progress on Ocean Observation and Prediction Doug Wallace MEOPAR Pierre Pepin, DFO Marine Working Group Chairs for Ocean Observation and Prediction

2. The Setting: Canada’s Atlantic Coast Nares Strait to the Gulf of Maine Processes of global significance Sea-ice cover changes Changing freshwater input / storage Variable deep water formation Large and variable atmos-ocean heat exchange Overturning circulation CO 2 and O 2 uptake Ocean acidification / lysocline uplift Arctic to Atlantic connections Nutrient transports Changing Economic Activity and Significance for Canada Major exploited ecosystems Major intl. shipping routes New shipping routes (to Arctic) Resource export (LNG, minerals) Deepwater oil/gas development Aquaculture etc… Canadian Context for Galway: The NW Atlantic is Changing: National/ International Significance Greene et al., Limnol. Oceanogr., 2013

3. Who has an interest in being informed about the Ocean? Of what? Shipping: tides, winds, waves, visibility, icing, sea-ice, icebergs, other ships, currents. Oil/gas: all of above plus extreme events, interior ocean conditions, geohazards, Coastal communities: sea-level, extreme event intensity/frequency. Fishing / aquaculture: all of above plus temperature, ecosystem shifts, acidification. Insurance industry: most of the above as they pertain to insured risks. Governments: all of the above and more. Bottom line: There is overlapping, multisectoral interest in ocean observation and prediction: on short and longer timescales

4. →Strategy Paper: Towards a Canadian Contribution to an Integrated Atlantic Ocean Observing System International Cooperation on Observing Systems Kickoff Meeting: June 10-12, 2015 Partners in Horizon 2020: AtlantOS

5. MEOPAR Strategy Paper www.meopar.ca/wp-content/uploads/WhitePaper_Wallace_deYoung_final.pdf Regional, National and International Interests → Principles for a Canadian contribution to an IAOOS Region definition: Baffin Bay to Gulf of Maine Principles: Multidisciplinary, multisectoral, multi-user Flexible, relocatable, interoperable “Build on what exists” Sustainable: research and public / private sector use Science-led Use RADs (Researcher Aggregating Devices) International involvement whenever possible Link to models and remote sensing

6. Build on what exists, Canadian initiatives Met/Wave Buoys + Industry METOC programs HF Radar:Halifax Placentia Bay St. John’s (in planning) Repeat Hydrography AZMP and AZOMP (DFO)

7. VITALS Canadian Operational Network of Coupled Environmental Prediction Systems (CONCEPTS) Plus several, large, international science projects which address the region.

8. Coordinated Canadian Approach: Atlantic Ocean Observation Strategy FOCUS EFFORT 4 INITIAL SENTINEL AREAS (RAD S ) MULTISECTORAL, INTERNATIONAL LINKS TO EU AND US PROGRAMS