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Targeting Dispositions by Risk, Need, Responsivity Modeling If / Then Decisions Douglas B. Marlowe, J.D., Ph.D. National Association of Drug Court Professionals.

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Presentation on theme: "Targeting Dispositions by Risk, Need, Responsivity Modeling If / Then Decisions Douglas B. Marlowe, J.D., Ph.D. National Association of Drug Court Professionals."— Presentation transcript:

1 Targeting Dispositions by Risk, Need, Responsivity Modeling If / Then Decisions Douglas B. Marlowe, J.D., Ph.D. National Association of Drug Court Professionals

2 Short-term cost to taxpayers Short-term risk of recidivism Dispositional Continuum Long-term functioning of the individual Pre-plea diversion Post-plea diversion Sentence to incarceration Sentence to restrictive intermediate punishment (IP / RIP) Sentence to probation or community supervision Decriminalization De-felonization TreatmentCourts

3 Post-plea diversion Short-term cost to taxpayers Short-term risk of recidivism Improved functioning of the individual Pre--plea diversion Short-term cost to taxpayers Short-term risk of recidivism Long-term functioning of the individual Sentence to Incarceration Restrictive intermediate Punishment (IP/ RIP) Probation or community supervision Dispositional Continuum Conditional release (parole, probation or community corrections) Unconditional release FRONT-END DIVERSION <------------ FRONT-END DIVERSION --- ------ BACK-END REENTRY---------> DecriminalizationDe-felonization TreatmentCourts

4 Offense vs. Offender Decisions Determinate vs. indeterminate sentencing (vs. guided discretion)Determinate vs. indeterminate sentencing (vs. guided discretion) Evidence-based practices (EBPs)Evidence-based practices (EBPs) Risk-Needs-Responsivity (RNR)Risk-Needs-Responsivity (RNR) Graduated sanctionsGraduated sanctions Positive reinforcementPositive reinforcement Collateral consequences (negative reinforcement)Collateral consequences (negative reinforcement)

5 Risk Principle Not necessarily a risk for violence or dangerousnessNot necessarily a risk for violence or dangerousness Serious prognosis or lesser amenability to treatmentSerious prognosis or lesser amenability to treatment The higher the risk level, the more intensive the supervision and accountability should be; and vice versaThe higher the risk level, the more intensive the supervision and accountability should be; and vice versa Mixing risk levels is contraindicated!Mixing risk levels is contraindicated!

6 Prognostic Risk Factors Current age < 25 yearsCurrent age < 25 years Delinquent onset < 16 yearsDelinquent onset < 16 years Substance abuse onset < 14 yearsSubstance abuse onset < 14 years Prior convictions or incarcerationPrior convictions or incarceration Prior rehabilitation failurePrior rehabilitation failure History of violenceHistory of violence Antisocial Personality Disorder / PsychopathyAntisocial Personality Disorder / Psychopathy Familial history of crime or addictionFamilial history of crime or addiction Criminal or substance abuse associationsCriminal or substance abuse associations

7 Need Principle Clinical syndromes or impairments (diagnosis)Clinical syndromes or impairments (diagnosis) The higher the need level, the more intensive the treatment or rehabilitation services should be; and vice versaThe higher the need level, the more intensive the treatment or rehabilitation services should be; and vice versa Mixing need levels is contraindicated!Mixing need levels is contraindicated!

8 Specific Responsivity Order and timing of intervention is critical: 1.Responsivity needs: interfere with rehabilitation (e.g., deficient housing, mental illness, withdrawal, anhedonia) 2.Criminogenic needs: cause or exacerbate crime (e.g., addiction, criminal thinking) 3.Maintenance needs: degrade rehabilitation gains (e.g., poor education or employment skills) 4.Humanitarian needs: cause distress (e.g., medical or dental illness)

9 Risk & Needs Matrix High Risk Low Risk HighNeeds LowNeeds Supervision Supervision Treatment Treatment Pro-social habilitation Pro-social habilitation Adaptive habilitation Adaptive habilitation Treatment Treatment (Pro-social habilitation) (Pro-social habilitation) Adaptive habilitation Adaptive habilitation Supervision Supervision Pro-social habilitation Pro-social habilitation (Adaptive habilitation) (Adaptive habilitation) Secondary prevention Secondary prevention Diversion Diversion

10 Stage in System Legal standards differLegal standards differ Defense or prosecution agreementDefense or prosecution agreement Available time for treatment and supervisionAvailable time for treatment and supervision Differences in base rates for risk and needDifferences in base rates for risk and need Impacts risk or need level (e.g., reentry)Impacts risk or need level (e.g., reentry) **** Need to get 3-dimensional ****

11

12 Court-monitored probation; e.g., HOPE Court Treatment court; e.g., Drug Court, MH Court RIP

13 Pre-Disposition Assessment Use immunity, especially at pre-adjudication stageUse immunity, especially at pre-adjudication stage Require assessment of risk and need after adjudication but prior to disposition (e.g., as part of a PSI)Require assessment of risk and need after adjudication but prior to disposition (e.g., as part of a PSI) Valid, reliable & culturally unbiased instrumentsValid, reliable & culturally unbiased instruments Substance abuse vs. dependence diagnosis guides treatment conditions and response to technical violations involving new drug useSubstance abuse vs. dependence diagnosis guides treatment conditions and response to technical violations involving new drug use

14 Guided Discretion Require professionals to consider risk and need (excluding certain offenses)Require professionals to consider risk and need (excluding certain offenses) Require professionals to consider effectiveness and cost-effectiveness (excluding certain offenses)Require professionals to consider effectiveness and cost-effectiveness (excluding certain offenses) Publish data on recidivism and costs of alternative dispositionsPublish data on recidivism and costs of alternative dispositions Include dispositional rationale on the recordInclude dispositional rationale on the record Restrictive basis for appeal (abuse of discretion)Restrictive basis for appeal (abuse of discretion) Publish data on dispositional decisionsPublish data on dispositional decisions

15 Validated Risk Tools Level of Service Inventory-Revised (LSI-R) https://ecom.mhs.com/(S(zhkd5d55qlwc3lr2gzqq5w55))/product.aspx?gr=saf&prod=lsi-r&id=overview Wisconsin Risk and Need Assessment Scale (WRN) http://j-sat.com/Toolkit/Adult/adf6e846-f4dc-4b1e-b7b1-2ff28551ce85 Risk and Needs Triage (RANT) http://www.trirant.org/ Correctional Offender Management Profiling for Alternative Sanctions (COMPAS) http://www.northpointeinc.com/software-suite.aspx Ohio Risk Assessment System (ORAS) http://www.uscourts.gov/uscourts/FederalCourts/PPS/Fedprob/2010-06/02_creation_validation_of_oras.html Federal Post Conviction Risk Assessment (PCRA) http://www.uscourts.gov/FederalCourts/ProbationPretrialServices/Supervision/PCRA.aspx Risk Prediction Index (RPI) http://www.fjc.gov/public/pdf.nsf/lookup/0013.pdf/$file/0013.pdf

16 Validated Needs Tools Addiction Severity Index (ASI) http://www.tresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/09/ASI_5th_Ed.pdf Global Appraisal of Individual Needs (GAIN) http://www.gaincc.org/products-services/instruments-reports/ Offender Profile Index (OPI) https://www.ncjrs.gov/pdffiles1/Digitization/148829NCJRS.pdf Level of Service/Case Management Inventory (LS/CMI) https://ecom.mhs.com/(S(0aqkan55ovozwq55w2oxt445))/saf_om.aspx?id=Training Correctional Offender Management Profiling for Alternative Sanctions (COMPAS) http://www.northpointeinc.com/software-suite.aspx Offender Screening Tool (OST) http://www.azcourts.gov/apsd/EvidenceBasedPractice/RiskNeedsAssessment/OffenderScreeningTool%28O ST%29.aspx Inventory of Offender Risk, Needs, and Strengths (IORNS) http://www4.parinc.com/Products/Product.aspx?ProductID=IORNS

17 Validated Diagnostic Tools Global Appraisal of Individual Needs (GAIN) http://www.chestnut.org/LI/gain/index.html#Instruments Structured Clinical Interview for the DSM-IV (SCID) http://www.scid4.org/ Psychiatric Research Interview for Substance and Mental Disorders (PRISM) http://www.columbia.edu/~dsh2/prism/ Diagnostic Interview Schedule (DIS) http://www.enotes.com/drugs-alcohol-encyclopedia/diagnostic-interview-schedule-dis Texas Christian University (TCU) Drug Dependence Screen-II http://www.ibr.tcu.edu/pubs/datacoll/Forms/ddscreen-95.pdf

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