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KEY MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF UKRAINE

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Presentation on theme: "KEY MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF UKRAINE"— Presentation transcript:

1 KEY MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF UKRAINE
MINISTRY FINANCE OF UKRAINE KEY MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS OF UKRAINE Analytic information

2 Ukraine Area 603,7 km2 Population 45,6 mln. GDP 2010
nominal - $136,4 billion real – 104,1% GDP 2011 nominal - $165,2 billion real – 105,2% GDP 2012 (forecast) nominal - $187,5 billion real – 103,9%

3 Macroeconomic indicators, 2010-2014
2011 2012* 2013* 2014* Nominal GDP (bl. of ukr. hryvnias) 1082,6 1316,6 1500,0 1687,8 1854,1 Real GDP, % 104,1 105,2 103,9 104,5 104,2 Consumer prices (%, end of period) 109,1% 104,6% 107,9% 105,9% 105,0% Producer prices (%, end of period) 118,7% 114,2% 109,4% 106,3% 105,5% Trade balance (bl.$) -3,98 -8,9 -6,62 -6,25 -6,06 Unemployment rate, % 8,1 7,9 7,2-7,7 7,0 6,8 * Forecast (pessimistic scenario)

4 Real sector of economy The economy grew in 2011 by 5.2%, industry – 7.6%, agriculture %, construction – 11%, freight services – 7.4%

5 Prices Since inflation has fallen by 4,6% (end of period) in From the beginning of 2012 CPI increased by 0.4%, producer prices by 5%.

6 CPI (monthly, % to December of previous year)

7 External trade Billions U.S. dollars

8 Trade balance Billions U.S. dollars
In 2011 Ukrainian export of goods and services increased by 28.3% to $88.8 billions, import – by 33.5% to $97.8 billions. The deficit of trade balance was $9 billions (2010: $3 billions). Main groups of import: mineral products (gas, oil) and investment import (machinery and equipment). Main groups of export: metals, chemical an agriculture goods. Export-import coverage ratio 0.91 in 2011 (0.95 in 2010). Foreign trade transactions in goods Ukraine carried out with partners from 222 countries.

9 International reserves (end of period)
Proceeds of foreign currency from non-residents in 2011 exceeded transfers by $16.9 billion. Central Bank managed to minimize the reduction in international reserves (except funds of IMF): $31.8 billion (equivalent). During 2011 the Central Bank supported the charges Naftogaz of Ukraine for its external obligations.

10 Key performance indicators of banks in Ukraine
Number of registered banks 198 197 194 176 Loans, bl. hryvnias of which: - loans granted to economic entities - loans granted to individuals Investment in securities, bl. hryvnias 28 693 40 610 39 335 83 559 87 719 % of execution of reserve formation  100.04 100.1 100.05 100.01 100.00 bl. hryvnias 18 477 44 502 99 238 Capital, bl. hryvnias 69 578

11 Foreign direct investment in Ukraine
Amount entered in the beginning of investment in the economy of Ukraine in foreign direct investment (equity) on 1 April 2012 amounted to 50.8 billion $, in per capita – $

12 The structure of foreign direct investment in Ukraine
In 2011, Ukraine receive the investments from 128 countries. The top investor countries (accounting for more than 83% of total direct investments) include: Cyprus - $ 12.7 billion, Germany - $ 7.4 billion., Netherlands - $ 4.8 billion, the Russian Federation - $ 3.6 billion, Austria - $ 3.4 billion, United Kingdom - $ 2.5 billion, France - $ 2.2 billion, Sweden - $ 1.74 billion, Virgin Islands (GB ) - $ 1.6 billion and U.S. - $ 1.0 billion.

13 Gross external debt

14 General government balance
6,3% GDP 7,3% GDP 2,7% GDP 1,8% GDP

15 (repayment of credits) The line of budget balance
Financing the State Budget of Ukraine, 2012 Billions hryvnias Lending (repayment of credits) 12,3 12,3 Lending (giving credits) 391,8 366,8 Public debt servicing (payment of interest ) 29,6 Revenue Expenditure Financing: The line of budget balance 25,1 (1,7% ВВП) Privatization 10,0 Deficit 98,5 -17,5 Loans 65,9 Active operations Principal repayment

16 with official transfers
Revenue and Expenditure of the State Budget of Ukraine Billions hryvnias 100,6 % of the plan Revenue with official transfers 98,1 % of the plan Expenditure

17 Relations of state and state-guaranteed debt to GDP

18 Comparative assessment of the State debt of Ukraine and other countries
Italy Canada Ukraine Netherlands Ukraine Poland за даними IMF та Мінфіну

19 The public debt structure (repayment terms) on 31.05.2012

20 The public debt structure (repayment currencies) on 31.05.2012

21 The public debt structure (the types of interest rates) on 31.05.2012


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