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Wet season (May-October) temperature (°C) trend over 1951-2010 period. Source: NASA GISS.

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Presentation on theme: "Wet season (May-October) temperature (°C) trend over 1951-2010 period. Source: NASA GISS."— Presentation transcript:

1 Wet season (May-October) temperature (°C) trend over period. Source: NASA GISS

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3 CityWet Season (May- Oct.) Average Temperature Wet Season (May- Oct.) Average Precipitation Puebla16.69°C108 mm/month Mexico City17.16°C92 mm/month

4 Aedes aegypti Development and Temperature Focks et al. 1993; Tun-Lin et al. 2000; Kearney et al Mexico City Average Wet Season Temperature

5 Precipitation trend for stations in and within 100 km of the state of Veracruz, have at least 59 years worth of records, 85% complete, and run through 2000, for Source: Dr. Saúl Miranda Alonso, Centro de Estudios Climatológicos, Secretaría de Protección Civil, Gobierno del Estado de Veracruz, using data from Unidad del Servicio Meteorológico Nacional. Veracruz

6 Stations with statistically significant summer (JJA) daily maximum temperature trends over period. Positive trends orange, negative trends blue. Triangles indicate urban stations. Source: Pavia et al. 2009, Int. J. Climatol.

7 Ensemble average (from 17 different climate models in CMIP3 dataset) May difference in 2- m air temperature between A1B ( ) minus 20 th century ( ). Source: Rauscher et al. 2008, Clim. Dyn.

8 Ensemble average (from 17 different climate models in CMIP3 dataset) summer (JJA) percent difference in precipitation between A1B ( ) minus 20 th century ( ). Source: Rauscher et al. 2008, Clim. Dyn.

9 Number of models with A1B ( ) minus 20C ( ) ensemble average precipitation differences greater than (less than) 0.1 (-0.1) mm day -1 in green (brown). Source: Rauscher et al. 2008, Clim. Dyn.

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