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Published byPearl Fisher Modified over 9 years ago
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RMA SAN DIEGO CHAPTER COMMUNITY BANKING IN 2015 JANUARY 14, 2015 THE FINDLEY GROUP Gary Steven Findley, Esq. 3808 E. La Palma Ave. Anaheim, California 92807 (714)630-7136
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INTRODUCTION & THOUGHTS COMMUNITY BANKING IS CHANGING Where Are We Now? Regulatory Hot Topics 2015 Predictions Landscape Next Five Years What Does It Take To Be Exceptional? Local Bank Thoughts
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WHERE ARE WE NOW? -2014 / 2015 GENERAL COMMENTS Performance Improving But Still Illusionary For Some - - Core Profitability Questionable Dodd-Frank and Compliance a Burden - - Burden Index Loan Growth Improving But Is Still a Challenge For Some - - Where Do You Find? ALLL Earnings Driver in 2014 - - 2015? Strategic Direction For Some Still a Mystery Bank Number to Reduce Further Question of Viability Remains - - Who Is Last Bank Standing? Further Separation Between Banks Continues!
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WHAT ARE REGULATORY HOT TOPICS? Rising Interest Rates Cyber Security Compliance & Operations / BSA & AML Further Economic Shock Strategic & Succession Planning Credit Losses in Areas of Rapid Growth CRE Concentration Levels (Repeat?)
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Hot Topic Radar
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2015 PREDICTIONS GDP 2% To 2.5% Interest Rates - Flat to 0.25 Enforcement Actions 20% Mergers - 14 Recapitalizations - 7 Branch / Subsidiary Sales - 8 Failures - 0 New Bank - 0 ?
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WHAT WILL LANDSCAPE LOOK LIKE IN FIVE YEARS? Further Reduction In Numbers Focus Remains On Efficiency Ratio and NII Return Will Improve But Still Marginal Due to Cost & NIM Compression Market Value Will Continue to Improve Regulatory Burden to Remain Still Capital Focused / But Some Loosening
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PERFORMANCE FOCUS NEXT 3+ YEARS (AFTER TAX) - 2015 ROAA0.70 to 1.10 ROAE6.00% to 12.00% MV/BV1.00 to 1.40 Numbers Depend Upon Size and Focus!
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Merger Prices Will Improve Slightly No Big Payday For Smaller Banks! Price Improves With Size Most Deals Will Be Among Smaller Size Entities – Building Mass
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Regulatory Burden Will Remain - Impact On ROAA / ROAE Significant (.30+ ROAA) - While They Say It Doesn’t Apply - - Often It Does
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CHALLENGES TO BUILDING VALUE OVER NEXT FIVE YEARS Succession - - Board & Management Economic Changing Clientele Regulatory Other
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WHAT ARE BOARDS TALKING ABOUT Capital Plan Shareholder Value Human Capital Banking Succession Planning Technology Customer Needs Mergers & Acquisitions
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WHAT DOES IT TAKE TO BE EXCEPTIONAL? Starts With People - - Aligning to a Common Vision Who Always Looks to Get Better - - Don’t Settle! Investing in Human Capital
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DIRECTORS CommunityShareholder Other Directors ManagementStaffRegulatorsBorrowersDepositors UNDERSTANDING EXPECTATIONS WHAT IS EXPECTED FROM PARTNERS?
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LOCAL THOUGHTS SAN DIEGO / IMPERIAL / SOUTH ORGANGE COUNTIES 9 BANKS
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Question & Answer Period Thank you – Open to comments, thoughts, suggestions and questions.
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