1. cities21@cities21.org Make your city Super Cool, unlike Palo Alto  You 4 background slides, advice, pause (Irv, etc), more –Smart land use is inconveniently complex –Prod Sierra Club/ICLEI Cool Cities into smart land use EPA Grant: “Transforming Office Parks into Transit Villages” ---- suburban Bay Area.

2. cities21@cities21.org You Sierra Club 7 Berkeley 5, Livable Berkeley 3 Grad Students, Bike Advocates 3 Alameda, Albany 2 Bay Rail, Greenbelt, CCCTA, ACTIA, EPA, MTC, Bay Localize (2), AIA Vallejo, Hayward, Petaluma, San Rafael, Emeryville.

3. cities21@cities21.org © Jonathan Rose Companies, LLC Family Energy Consumption “Free parking suburban”: much more than rest of world

4. cities21@cities21.org Efficient Human Settlement Patterns For each person, minimize the distances in the triangle below. Miles  feet Efficient: lower cost of living ($4,000 less auto cost), more convenient, more lively/vibrant, less time wasted in traffic, more family time, more walking / healthier, stronger community, bump into neighbors! Mobility for kids/seniors. Home Job Activities

5. cities21@cities21.org 3 stage path to sustainability Can’t go straight there 1) Populist: Consciousness raising, recycling, sea bass, Prius, non-threatening to government, current smart growth best practices, light bulbs 2) Fundamental (2020 goals): efficient human settlement patterns. Land-use conversant population, government restructuring. Green building. Smarter smart growth 3) Profound (2050 goals): 80% NRG & resource reduction, 4B population, accurate pricing, renewable NRG, diet restructuring, anti-materialism, lower GNP, etc.

6. cities21@cities21.org Split: smart land use & warming Empathy: PhDs, anti-growthers, Prius & VMT Palo Alto: ABAG RHNA 3,716 homes by 2014 –Irv and Steve: OpEds & agitation tactics. Who: James Hansen, Sierra, Palo Alto Cool, ICLEI, “anti- growth” suburbanites, EPA, Oak Ridge Natl Labs, Pew Who: CA State Climate Action Team, Al Gore, TALC, Greenbelt, Don Weden, Calthorpe, SVLG, Cervero, Bill McKibben, Jared Diamond, Lester Brown, Bill Fulton Solutions: solar, high mpg, lite bulbs, cap and trade, green building, etc. Solutions: Do what TALC tells you! Smart land use! Reduce demand Superset: Handles population growth Subset: Will miss 2020 & 2050

7. cities21@cities21.org Improved Cool Cities Process Palo Alto committees: energy, transportation, green building, education, waste reduction –Form a “land use” committee!!!! Ensure that carbon measure includes in and out-commuting. IE regional impacts, not parochial Have Don Weden come speak about regional population growth, smart land use, and carbon Ask for a professional cost/benefit carbon study. (EDAW’s Irvine Park study.) Else, random list of “solutions” from volunteers –Cities, Sierra Club, TALC, and ICLEI should pool resources on one study. Google.org is sympathetic. Limit to planning firms, not climatologist PhDs.

8. cities21@cities21.org Improved Cool Cities Process Add an innovation plank. Can’t meet 2020 carbon targets with current best practices –MTC 2030 smart growth scenario: 50% population growth, 40% VMT growth –You could propose: cap VMT at 2007! Prod, collaborate with, compete with other cool cities –Consider offering a huge carbon reduction if 5 other local cool cities join –Example: charge for parking at offices (provided other cities do the same).

9. cities21@cities21.org Cool Cities smart land use (suburbs) Ask TALC and Greenbelt for help! Network with other cool cities campaigns. You are not alone! Charge for parking. Stanford is low CO2 Tactic: Be anguished about CO2 and growth –Pro growth is unpopular, but you can educate Meet ABAG RHNA. Put homes near jobs (duh). More effective than mixed use TOD (Cervero, JAPA ‘06) Extended TOD (more, bigger. Circulator transit).

10. cities21@cities21.org Cool Cities smart land use (suburbs) 3 story 50 DU/acre supports retail, de- generating auto trips. Pearl District is low CO2 Prioritize new housing for short/green commuters TDM (commute trip reduction, etc) is good EIRs: add climate / sustainability impact Engage on all “big projects:” 100 DU, 50K sf office, 25K sf retail –Local politics is 50% about real-estate, that’s where you can make a difference.

11. cities21@cities21.org PAUSE Coming up: Advanced topics –6 slides.

12. cities21@cities21.org 3,716 ABAG homes in Palo Alto Housing – Global Warming “Anguish” ABAG is the good guy Palo Alto has too many jobs. Jobs/housing imbalance –59,000 population, 87,000 jobs –Need 90,000 additional residents CO2 impact: 15 tons per year per “avoided home” –Assumes homes are built beyond the first ring of foothills in Tracy, Gilroy, & in the Central Valley –Check Sunday real-estate section in Merc or Chron Chief planner, Ira Ruskin, 3 councilmembers, planning commissioner on record as opposed –Had e-mail discussions with two councilmembers.

13. cities21@cities21.org Fake solutions Hydrogen economy (A better battery, so nice increment. Entrenched interests) –ADM corn fuel AHS (auto-pilot cars) – “low friction” long distance transportation  ultra sprawl Outer ring solar roof McMansion “Socially responsible” companies –w/ bad settlement patterns.

14. cities21@cities21.org Paid Parking / Tragedy of Commons Paid parking (at suburban offices) reduces commute trips (and CO2) by 23% Tragedy of the Commons – no office wants to be the first to charge  less competitive. Need to all “jump in together” –Example: smoking ban in bars: Bloomington, St. Paul, Minneapolis From Cool Cities web: Mountain View, Santa Clara, Cupertino, Sunnyvale, San Jose, Menlo Park, Redwood City, Palo Alto Complicated to implement –Redevelop parking spaces & distribute “found” wealth –Start with $1 per day & increase each year.

15. cities21@cities21.org Quantum Innovation / Public Policy Innovations produce winners & losers Political subsystems favor incremental change –ag, defense, energy, transit, healthcare, edu, etc. –“analysis is politics by other means” –Auto/highway subsystem trumps transit Public sector: huge penalty for failure Media stifles innovation, accentuates conflict Macropolitical system can impose quantum change – earmarks, etc –’79+: mature democracy, entrenched interests Billionaires & tech foundations: quantum Strong govt: Dubai, China.

16. cities21@cities21.org More: Human Settlement Patterns Big required change: demand/behavior side. There’s no quick transportation or energy supply fix. (dilithium) –Frustration: environment  smart growth links are weak For each person, minimize the distances in the triangle below. Miles  feet –4 story urbanist mixed use TV  50% of trips w/o car, mostly walk, not transit (GB Arrington, TCRP 102) – “walk to quart of milk” πr 2 :: pipes, wires, streets, distribution. Infrastructure cost savings in the billions for Envision Utah. (25% -TCRP74) Home Job Activities

17. cities21@cities21.org Regional Visioning 30 big U.S. metro regions are “visioning” –CA @ 50M, CNU/RV, CA’s Future in the Balance, Compass, MTC, Frego/Calthorpe 80% share In 25 years, 50% population growth. w/ smart scenario, only 40% VMT increase –Scenario implementation not guaranteed –Things get worse. Only slows the acceleration of degradation. Calthorpe: “We should be doing more to reduce ecological footprint” (www.ecofoot.org) –Current TOD/SG isn’t a fix. Only 200 small transit villages Need more, bigger, smarter SG faster, dang it! –Toolbox doesn’t work. Have to go outside of the box Frego/Calthorpe held back by clients. Unchecked, Calthorpe would have: –Carbon tax, new transit circulator (not “90 year old transit technology”), strong office park Rx..

18. cities21@cities21.org THE END

19. cities21@cities21.org Steve Raney Resume Cities21 (next generation smart growth) founder –Palo Alto, CA. Bay Area EPA grant: Transform Office Parks to Transit Villages Columbia MBA, RPI Computer Science Masters, Berkeley Transportation Planning Masters Project Mgr: BART Group Rapid Transit Study MS Technology Evangelist, Silicon Valley GPS / cellular carpool assistant patent 6 Transportation Research Board, 3 TRR papers Habitat for Humanity Training Coordinator.